Saturday , 14 November 2026

Exeter City FC vs Oxford United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 6,149 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 14' Matt Phillips
Demetri Mitchell 22' 1–1
Demetri Mitchell 40' 2–1
Vincent Harper 64' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Oxford United FC — FA Cup at St. James Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Scott Oldham
  • Assistant 1 Grant Taylor
  • Assistant 2 Dumitru-Ravel Cheosiaua
7 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Oxford United FC H 3–1 W
04 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Crawley Town FC H 4–4 D
26 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 3–1 W
21 Dec Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Exeter City FC A 1–3 L
04 Jan Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Millwall FC A 1–0 W
29 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–0 W
26 Dec Cardiff City FC H 3–2 W
21 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–4 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Exeter City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Exeter City FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Exeter City FC
Charlie Cummins 1 G
Jack Taylor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Exeter City FC vs Oxford United FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Exeter City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 14' Matt Phillips has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
  • 19' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Exeter City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 22' Demetri Mitchell has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 22 minutes.
  • 27' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Oxford United FC that had 376 games and scored 503 goals.
  • 37' It is a cagey affair so far. Exeter City FC in their trying to find a way past Oxford United FC's compact .
  • 40' Demetri Mitchell makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Exeter City FC are in front.
  • 45' Johnly Yfeko has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' A change in the Exeter City FC ranks — Johnly Yfeko exits the field as Ed Francis enters on 46.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at St. James Park. Exeter City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' Joe Whitworth has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 64' Vincent Harper adds to his 0 season tally! Exeter City FC lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Oxford United FC team. Idris El Mizouni is replaced by Tyler Goodrham on 64 minute.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dane Scarlett made 393 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Oxford United FC make a change. Matt Phillips trudges off to be replaced by Peter Kioso on 70 minutes.
  • 71' Oxford United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 75' Patrick Jones gets the nod from Exeter City FC. He replaces Demetri Mitchell and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 81' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tyler Goodrham on 81.
  • 82' Jake Richards catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 85' Poor challenge from Louie Sibley. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 86' Exeter City FC make a change. Jake Richards trudges off to be replaced by Kevin McDonald on 86 minutes.
  • 89' It is a substitution in Oxford United FC team. Siriki Dembele is replaced by Marselino Ferdinan on 89 minute.
  • 90' Marselino Ferdinan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Oxford United FC will have plenty to reflect on. Exeter City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Exeter City FC or Oxford United FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC44% Draw26% Oxford United FC30%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Oxford United FC
56%
Exeter City FC or Oxford United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC32% Draw44% Oxford United FC24%
Actual: Exeter City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 20% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.