Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Exeter City FC vs Oxford United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 6,149 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 14' Matt Phillips
Demetri Mitchell 22' 1–1
Demetri Mitchell 40' 2–1
Vincent Harper 64' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Oxford United FC — FA Cup at St. James Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Scott Oldham
  • Assistant 1 Grant Taylor
  • Assistant 2 Dumitru-Ravel Cheosiaua
3 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 3.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Oxford United FC H 3–1 W
04 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Crawley Town FC H 4–4 D
26 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 3–1 W
21 Dec Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Exeter City FC A 1–3 L
04 Jan Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Millwall FC A 1–0 W
29 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–0 W
26 Dec Cardiff City FC H 3–2 W
21 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–4 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Exeter City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Exeter City FC
Jack Aitchison 2 G
Jayden Wareham 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Exeter City FC have kicked off against Oxford United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marselino Ferdinan suffering a number of foals already.
  • 14' Matt Phillips has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
  • 19' England international Ryan Woods has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 22' What composure from Demetri Mitchell! The England international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 27' Oxford United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 37' Siriki Dembele has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 40' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Demetri Mitchell makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 45' Exeter City FC have won 203 goals from 198 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' Exeter City FC make a change. Johnly Yfeko trudges off to be replaced by Ed Francis on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Exeter City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Oxford United FC's shape.
  • 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 61' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 64' Brilliant from the ! Vincent Harper makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 64.
  • 64' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Idris El Mizouni exits the field as Tyler Goodrham enters on 64.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Johnly Yfeko made 409 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' The whistle greets Matt Phillips as he departs to be replaced by Peter Kioso.
  • 71' Oxford United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 75' Patrick Jones gets the nod from Exeter City FC. He replaces Demetri Mitchell and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Exeter City FC and Oxford United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 81' Tyler Goodrham catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
  • 82' Poor challenge from Jake Richards. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 85' Louie Sibley catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
  • 86' The whistle greets Jake Richards as he departs to be replaced by Kevin McDonald.
  • 89' Marselino Ferdinan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Siriki Dembele on 89 minute.
  • 90' Marselino Ferdinan is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Oxford United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Exeter City FC or Oxford United FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC44% Draw26% Oxford United FC30%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Oxford United FC
56%
Exeter City FC or Oxford United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC32% Draw44% Oxford United FC24%
Actual: Exeter City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 20% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.