Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Jan | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Dec | Watford FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Dec | Birmingham City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Dec | Millwall FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan | Stoke City FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 02 Jan | West Ham United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Tottenham Hotspur FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Dec | Crystal Palace FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Dec | Arsenal FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Olympique de Marseille | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Bet365 Stadium as Stoke City FC face off against Brighton & Hove Albion FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mehdi Leris suffering a number of foals already.
- 8' It’s gonna be a card for Jan Paul van Hecke.
- 13' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a card on 13.
- 16' Jan Paul van Hecke doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 21' Ben Wilmot, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 26' Brighton & Hove Albion FC have won 453 goals from 336 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 31' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 36' It looks surprising Brighton & Hove Albion FC does not make any changes. Lewis Baker has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 37' The referee calls foul for Facundo Buonanotte. He receives a card.
- 42' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
- 45' Luke McNally gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Mehdi Leris and will look to change the dynamic.
- 46' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Michael Rose by Andre Vidigal on 46 minute.
- 48' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a card on 48.
- 51' Goal! Pervis Estupinan scores his 9 goal in 358 matches.
- 52' GOAL! Lewis Dunk scores on 52. Assisted by Pascal Gross
- 57' Another change for Brighton & Hove Albion FC made on 57 minute. Facundo Buonanotte leaves to be changed by Danny Welbeck.
- 58' The Brighton & Hove Albion FC bench stirs into life. Jakub Moder is withdrawn and Adam Webster gets his opportunity.
- 63' GOAL! Lewis Baker scores on 63.
- 68' Brighton & Hove Albion FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 71' Magnificent from Joao Pedro! That is 63 goals in 387 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 74' Wesley makes way for Nathan Lowe at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stoke City FC.
- 75' Stoke City FC make a change. Daniel Johnson trudges off to be replaced by Liam McCarron on 75 minutes.
- 80' Joao Pedro with the second goal in the match!
- 82' Adam Lallana gets the nod from Brighton & Hove Albion FC. He replaces Joao Pedro and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' Brighton & Hove Albion FC ring the changes. Lewis Dunk has done his job and it is now time for Carlos Baleba to step up.
- 85' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Lewis Baker departs to be replaced by Sol Sidibe.
- 90' Billy Gilmour makes way for Jack Hinchy at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
- With this win, Brighton & Hove Albion FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
12
Daniel Johnson ↓ Liam McCarron 75'
-
8
Lewis Baker ↓ Sol Sidibe 85'
- –
- 6
-
20
Sead Haksabanovic ↓ Ryan Mmaee 58'
-
27
Mehdi Leris ↓ Luke McNally 45'
- 17
-
5
Michael Rose ↓ Andre Vidigal 46'
-
18
Wesley ↓ Nathan Lowe 74'
- 22
Bench
- 11
- 13
-
–
Liam McCarron ↑ 75'
-
7
Andre Vidigal ↑ 46'
-
19
Ryan Mmaee ↑ 58'
-
23
Luke McNally ↑ 45'
-
35
Nathan Lowe ↑ 74'
-
30
Sol Sidibe ↑ 85'
- 21
Coach
Paul Gallagher
Brighton & Hove Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Lewis Dunk ↓ Carlos Baleba 83'
- 13
- 30
- 29
-
9
Joao Pedro ↓ Adam Lallana 82'
-
11
Billy Gilmour ↓ Jack Hinchy 90'
- 1
-
15
Jakub Moder ↓ Adam Webster 58'
- 28
- 40
- 41
Bench
-
4
Adam Webster ↑ 58'
-
18
Danny Welbeck ↑ 57'
-
14
Adam Lallana ↑ 82'
- 6
- 23
-
20
Carlos Baleba ↑ 83'
-
45
Jack Hinchy ↑ 90'
- 47
Coach
Roberto De Zerbi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Evan Ferguson | 2 |
| Pervis Estupinan | 1 |
| Lewis Baker | 1 |
| Lewis Dunk | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Brighton & Hove Albion FC Form
2024-01-06
Stoke City FC
2–4
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
W
2024-01-02
West Ham United FC
0–0
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
D
2023-12-28
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
4–2
Tottenham Hotspur FC
W
2023-12-21
Crystal Palace FC
1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
D
2023-12-17
Arsenal FC
2–0
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
L
2023-12-14
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
1–0
Olympique de Marseille
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.18
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54
Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
71%
Stoke City FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.