Birmingham City FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Birmingham City FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at St Andrew's Ground.
- Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Jan | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Leeds United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Bristol City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Dec | Stoke City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Dec | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | Birmingham City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Jan | Morecambe FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Coventry City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Dec | Southampton FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 22 Dec | Preston North End FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Birmingham City FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #11 |
| 64 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 17 / 13 / 16 | W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 18 |
| 57 | Scored | 57 |
| 56 | Conceded | 59 |
| +1 | GD | -2 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 37% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Birmingham City FC is hosting Swansea City AFC for another epic battle.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Siriki Dembele made 383 appearances and scored 41 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Birmingham City FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Swansea City AFC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dion Sanderson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Birmingham City FC.
- 25' Birmingham City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 29' Ivan Sunjic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 29.
- 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tony Mowbray will be considering his options from the bench.
- 36' The England Harry Darling breaks the deadlock on 36 minutes. 0-1!
- 38' What an equalizer from Siriki Dembele!
- 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Jay Stansfield argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 55' Joe Allen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 56' Scott Hogan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 56.
- 58' A goal from the Jamaica international Jamal Lowe! He fires home on 58 to make it 1-2!
- 63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 65' The whistle greets Ivan Sunjic as he departs to be replaced by Juninho Bacuna.
- 66' A tactical swap from Birmingham City FC — Tyler Roberts on, Scott Hogan off on 66 minutes.
- 67' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Jay Stansfield exits the field as Jordan James enters on 67.
- 70' The referee shows Swansea City AFC player a Yellow card on 70.
- 74' Bashir Humphreys makes way for Kyle Naughton at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Swansea City AFC.
- 76' Controversy at the stadium! Joe Allen argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 81' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tony Mowbray might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 83' Birmingham City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 84' Swansea City AFC ring the changes. Jamie Paterson has done his job and it is now time for Charlie Patino to step up.
- 85' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Kevin Long is replaced by Emanuel Aiwu.
- 90' Swansea City AFC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
26
Kevin Long ↓ Emanuel Aiwu 85'
- 21
-
9
Scott Hogan ↓ Tyler Roberts 66'
- 6
- 17
-
34
Ivan Sunjic ↓ Juninho Bacuna 65'
-
11
Koji Miyoshi ↓ Lukas Jutkiewicz 84'
- 3
- 5
-
28
Jay Stansfield ↓ Jordan James 67'
- 12
Bench
-
7
Juninho Bacuna ↑ 65'
- 45
- 1
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↑ 84'
- 20
-
8
Tyler Roberts ↑ 66'
- 14
-
44
Emanuel Aiwu ↑ 85'
-
19
Jordan James ↑ 67'
Coach
Tony Mowbray
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Jamal Lowe ↓ Jerry Yates 67'
-
12
Jamie Paterson ↓ Charlie Patino 84'
- 4
- 8
- 20
- 23
- 6
- 14
- 22
- 33
-
41
Sam Parker ↓ Joe Allen 65'
Bench
-
7
Joe Allen ↑ 65'
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↑ 74'
- 3
- 17
- 1
-
9
Jerry Yates ↑ 67'
- 31
- 15
-
18
Charlie Patino ↑ 84'
Coach
Martyn Margetson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Scott Hogan | 3 |
| Lukas Jutkiewicz | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Siriki Dembele | 2 |
| Oliver McBurnie | 2 |
| Matt Grimes | 2 |
| Troy Deeney | 2 |
| Jamal Lowe | 1 |
Head to Head
Birmingham City FC Form
2024-01-13
Birmingham City FC
2–2
Swansea City AFC
D
2024-01-06
Hull City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2024-01-01
Leeds United FC
3–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2023-12-29
Birmingham City FC
0–0
Bristol City FC
D
2023-12-26
Birmingham City FC
1–3
Stoke City FC
L
2023-12-23
Plymouth Argyle FC
3–3
Birmingham City FC
D
Swansea City AFC Form
2024-01-13
Birmingham City FC
2–2
Swansea City AFC
D
2024-01-06
Swansea City AFC
2–0
Morecambe FC
W
2024-01-01
Swansea City AFC
1–0
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
2023-12-29
Coventry City FC
2–2
Swansea City AFC
D
2023-12-26
Southampton FC
5–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2023-12-22
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Preston North End FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69
Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Birmingham City FC or Swansea City AFC 74% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Birmingham City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
57%
Birmingham City FC or Swansea City AFC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC
| Handicap | Birmingham City FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

