Stade Brestois 29 vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stade Brestois 29 vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stade Francis-Le Ble.
- Stade Brestois 29 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Montpellier HSC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Romain Lissorgue
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Francois Boudikian
3 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 10.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans FC | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Montpellier HSC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Olympique de Marseille | A | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Apr | Racing Club de Lens | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | AS Saint-Étienne | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Apr | AS Monaco FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Toulouse FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Stade de Reims | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Apr | Olympique de Marseille | A | 1–5 | L |
| 13 Apr | Angers SCO | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Le Havre AC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | AJ Auxerre | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Stade Brestois 29 this season
Stade Brestois 29 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stade Brestois 29
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stade Brestois 29
| Kamory Doumbia | 4 G | 1 A |
| Romain Del Castillo | 1 G | |
| Ludovic Ajorque | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Stade Brestois 29 get us underway at Stade Francis-Le Ble.
- 5' Stade Brestois 29 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 13' The referee has no hesitation. Rabby Nzingoula is booked for Montpellier HSC — card on 13.
- 15' What a strike from Romain Del Castillo! The score is 1-0.
- 20' The 33-year-old Pierre Lees Melou has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' Montpellier HSC come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stade Brestois 29 and Montpellier HSC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' Theo Sainte-Luce is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Montpellier HSC tonight.
- 46' Wilfried Bille is ready to make an impact after coming on for Enzo Tchato at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Stade Brestois 29 and Montpellier HSC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 56' It is a substitution in Montpellier HSC team. Jordan Ferri is replaced by Joris Chotard on 56 minute.
- 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 66' Time for substitution for Montpellier HSC. Tanguy Coulibaly is replaced by Wahbi Khazri.
- 68' The crowd applauds Kamory Doumbia as he leaves the pitch. Hugo Magnetti steps in for Stade Brestois 29.
- 73' Controversy at the stadium! Pierre Lees Melou argues furiously but the card stands.
- 75' Bamo Meite has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yael Mouanga on 75 minute.
- 80' Stade Brestois 29 are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Montpellier HSC's 5-4-1 shape.
- 81' Ludovic Ajorque makes way for Mama Balde at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stade Brestois 29.
- 86' It looks surprising Stade Brestois 29 does not make any changes. Lucas Mincarelli has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 87' The Stade Brestois 29 bench stirs into life. Mahdi Camara is withdrawn and Jonas Martin gets his opportunity.
- 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Khalil Fayad on 88.
- Stade Brestois 29 celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Stade Brestois 29 Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 40
- 10
-
19
Ludovic Ajorque ↓ Mama Balde 81'
- 7
-
45
Mahdi Camara ↓ Jonas Martin 87'
- 20
- 5
- 26
- 22
-
9
Kamory Doumbia ↓ Hugo Magnetti 68'
- 3
Bench
- 21
-
28
Jonas Martin ↑ 87'
- 30
-
8
Hugo Magnetti ↑ 68'
- 6
-
14
Mama Balde ↑ 81'
-
17
Abdallah Sima ↑ 68'
- 2
- 12
Coach
Eric Roy
Montpellier HSC Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 40
-
12
Jordan Ferri ↓ Joris Chotard 56'
- 27
- 17
-
70
Tanguy Coulibaly ↓ Wahbi Khazri 66'
-
29
Enzo Tchato ↓ Wilfried Bille 46'
- 22
-
47
Yael Mouanga ↓ Bamo Meite 75'
- 21
-
41
Junior Ndiaye ↓ Teji Savanier 66'
- 19
Bench
- 16
-
10
Wahbi Khazri ↑ 66'
-
11
Teji Savanier ↑ 66'
- 77
- 4
-
13
Joris Chotard ↑ 56'
-
2
Bamo Meite ↑ 75'
- 44
-
49
Wilfried Bille ↑ 46'
Coach
Zoumana Camara
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sepe Elye Wahi | 4 |
| Teji Savanier | 4 |
| Valere Germain | 3 |
| Gaetan Laborde | 3 |
| Wahbi Khazri | 3 |
| Nicolas Cozza | 2 |
| Kamory Doumbia | 1 |
| Hugo Magnetti | 1 |
Head to Head
Stade Brestois 29 Form
2025-05-04
Stade Brestois 29
1–0
Montpellier HSC
W
2025-04-27
Olympique de Marseille
4–1
Stade Brestois 29
L
2025-04-20
Stade Brestois 29
1–3
Racing Club de Lens
L
2025-04-13
AS Saint-Étienne
3–3
Stade Brestois 29
D
2025-04-05
Stade Brestois 29
2–1
AS Monaco FC
W
2025-03-30
Toulouse FC
2–4
Stade Brestois 29
W
Montpellier HSC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49
Stade Brestois 29 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stade Brestois 29 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Stade Brestois 29 or Draw
77%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
49%
Stade Brestois 29 or Montpellier HSC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Stade Brestois 29 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Stade Brestois 29
| Handicap | Stade Brestois 29 covers | Push | Montpellier HSC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Stade Brestois 29 keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

