Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee FC, Premier League 2023-24 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 11 May 2024 · 14:00 UTC Tynecastle 18,757 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kenneth Vargas 35' 3–0
Alan Forrest 53' 4–0
Lawrence Shankland 90' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee FCPremier League at Tynecastle.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
  • Assistant 1 Sean Carr
  • Assistant 2 John McCrossan
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Dundee FC H 3–0 W
04 May Celtic FC A 0–3 L
27 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 0–0 D
13 Apr Livingston FC H 4–2 W
06 Apr St. Mirren FC A 2–1 W
30 Mar Kilmarnock FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–3 L
04 May St. Mirren FC H 1–3 L
28 Apr Celtic FC H 1–2 L
17 Apr Rangers FC H 0–0 D
13 Apr Aberdeen FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Motherwell FC H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Dundee FC
#1 Position #9
70 Points 33
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 16
58 Scored 34
28 Conceded 53
+30 GD -19
2.12 PPG 1.00
64% Win % 24%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Dundee FC are 9th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Dundee FC gets underway.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Dundee FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Curtis Main made 293 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Heart of Midlothian FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' What a strike from Kenneth Vargas! The score is 1-0.
  • 40' The 23-year-old Malachi Boateng has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Amadou Bakayoko on 45 minutes.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Howley. He replaces Jordan McGhee on 46 minute.
  • 51' Dundee FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 53' What a moment for Alan Forrest! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 57' Dundee FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 57.
  • 62' Toby Sibbick gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Dexter Lembikisa and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heart of Midlothian FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 68' Another substitution for Dundee FC to replace Owen Dodgson by Dara Costelloe on 68 minute.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Aidan Denholm. He replaces Cameron Devlin on 71 minute.
  • 76' Aaron Donnelly is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
  • 78' Josh Mulligan gets the nod from Dundee FC. He replaces Malachi Boateng and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' Scott Fraser is ready to make an impact after coming on for Barrie McKay at the 79 minute mark.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Curtis Main. He replaces Lyall Cameron on 83 minute.
  • 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Craig Gordon suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' Magnificent from Lawrence Shankland! That is 78 goals in 1 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • Another three points for Heart of Midlothian FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.35 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Dundee FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC70% Draw19% Dundee FC11%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Dundee FC
30%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Dundee FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC52% Draw39% Dundee FC9%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
10.6%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
6.1%
4 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 1
2.7%
5 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Dundee FC covers
-2.5 29% 71%
-2 29% 22% 50%
-1.5 50% 50%
-1 50% 23% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
49%
Dundee FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.