Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Porto vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 20:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs Sport Lisboa e BenficaPrimeira Liga .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–0 D
02 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
29 Sep FC Arouca A 4–0 W
25 Sep FC Red Bull Salzburg A 1–0 W
19 Sep Rio Ave FC A 3–0 W
13 Sep CD Nacional H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct FC Porto A 0–0 D
30 Sep Chelsea FC A 0–1 L
26 Sep Gil Vicente FC H 2–1 W
23 Sep Rio Ave FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep AVS A 3–0 W
16 Sep Qarabag Agdam FK H 2–3 L

Season Stats

FC Porto Sport Lisboa e Benfica
#1 Position #3
88 Points 80
34 Played 34
28 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 23 / 11 / 0
66 Scored 74
18 Conceded 25
+48 GD +49
2.59 PPG 2.35
82% Win % 68%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
62% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
41% Clean Sheets
Sport Lisboa e Benfica this season

FC Porto are 1st (88 pts). Sport Lisboa e Benfica are 3rd (80 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Porto
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
0-15
6/
16-30
4/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

Sport Lisboa e Benfica Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.1 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
I would bet for: FC Porto or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Porto40% Draw31% Sport Lisboa e Benfica29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
72%
Draw or Sport Lisboa e Benfica
60%
FC Porto or Sport Lisboa e Benfica
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto25% Draw54% Sport Lisboa e Benfica21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
40%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.