Thursday , 2 July 2026

Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2023-24
Mon 23 Oct 2023 · 18:30 UTC Renzo Barbera HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs Spezia CalcioSerie B at Renzo Barbera.

Match Details

  • Referee Francesco Forneau (Italy)

Head-to-Head

3
2
1
Palermo FC 6 games · Avg 2.5 goals Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Spezia Calcio H 2–2 D
07 Oct Modena FC 2018 A 2–0 W
01 Oct FC Sudtirol H 2–1 W
26 Sep Venezia FC A 3–1 W
22 Sep Cosenza Calcio H 0–1 L
16 Sep Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Palermo FC A 2–2 D
08 Oct AC Pisa 1909 H 0–0 D
30 Sep FeralpiSalo A 2–1 W
26 Sep Brescia Calcio H 0–0 D
23 Sep AC Reggiana H 1–2 L
15 Sep Venezia FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Palermo FC Spezia Calcio
#4 Position #19
72 Points 35
38 Played 38
20 / 12 / 6 W / D / L 8 / 11 / 19
61 Scored 43
33 Conceded 59
+28 GD -16
1.89 PPG 0.92
53% Win % 21%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
45% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season
16% Clean Sheets
Spezia Calcio this season

Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts). Spezia Calcio are 19th (35 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spezia Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Renzo Barbera. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Spezia Calcio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 7' It’s a booking for Palermo FC player. Matteo Brunori Sandri gets a card.
  • 12' Jacopo Segre is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Spezia Calcio so far.
  • 17' Spezia Calcio receives a card for a hard tackle on 17.
  • 22' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 27' Palermo FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Spezia Calcio's shape.
  • 31' Arkadiusz Reca has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 31 minutes.
  • 36' It’s a booking for Palermo FC player. Fabio Lucioni gets a card.
  • 41' Palermo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 46' Another change for Palermo FC made on 46 minute. Roberto Insigne leaves to be changed by Leonardo Mancuso.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Palermo FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 57' A moment of madness from Bartlomiej Dragowski on 57 minutes earns him a card. Spezia Calcio will be frustrated.
  • 62' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Palermo FC and Spezia Calcio are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 63' The referee has no hesitation. Szymon Zurkowski is booked for Spezia Calcio — card on 63.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Francesco Esposito. He replaces Luca Moro on 64 minute.
  • 69' It is a cagey affair so far. Palermo FC in their trying to find a way past Spezia Calcio's compact .
  • 70' A stunning finish from Francesco Esposito — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 73' The deadlock is broken! Leonardo Mancuso gets on the scoresheet on 73 minutes.
  • 74' Another substitution for Palermo FC to replace Matteo Brunori Sandri by Edoardo Soleri on 74 minute.
  • 75' Palermo FC ring the changes. Kristoffer Lund has done his job and it is now time for Giuseppe Aurelio to step up.
  • 78' Fresh legs for Spezia Calcio! Joao Moutinho comes on to replace Salvatore Elia.
  • 83' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Pietro Ceccaroni on 87 minutes.
  • 90' Spezia Calcio player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' A change in the Spezia Calcio ranks — Arkadiusz Reca exits the field as Niccolo Pietra enters on 90.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Palermo FC53% Draw24% Spezia Calcio23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
47%
Palermo FC or Spezia Calcio
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Palermo FC39% Draw41% Spezia Calcio20%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
5.4%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.