Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio — Serie B at Renzo Barbera.
- Palermo FC 38 games · 72 pts (2025/26)
- Spezia Calcio 38 games · 35 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Francesco Forneau (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia FC | 38 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone Calcio | 38 | 81 |
| 3 | AC Monza | 38 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo FC | 38 | 72 |
| 5 | US Catanzaro | 38 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena FC 2018 | 38 | 55 |
| 7 | SS Juve Stabia | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Calcio Avellino SSD | 38 | 49 |
| 9 | Mantova 1911 SSD | 38 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova Calcio | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | AC Cesena | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese Calcio | 38 | 44 |
| 13 | UC Sampdoria | 38 | 44 |
| 14 | ACD Virtus Entella | 38 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli FC | 38 | 41 |
| 16 | FC Sudtirol | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | SSC Bari | 38 | 40 |
| 18 | AC Reggiana | 38 | 37 |
| 19 | Spezia Calcio | 38 | 35 |
| 20 | Delfino Pescara 1936 | 38 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Modena FC 2018 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | FC Sudtirol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Venezia FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | Cosenza Calcio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | Palermo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Oct | AC Pisa 1909 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | FeralpiSalo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Brescia Calcio | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Sep | AC Reggiana | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | Venezia FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Palermo FC | Spezia Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #19 |
| 72 | Points | 35 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 12 / 6 | W / D / L | 8 / 11 / 19 |
| 61 | Scored | 43 |
| 33 | Conceded | 59 |
| +28 | GD | -16 |
| 1.89 | PPG | 0.92 |
| 53% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
45%
Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season
Palermo FC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Spezia Calcio this season
Spezia Calcio this season
Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts). Spezia Calcio are 19th (35 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Palermo FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spezia Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Renzo Barbera. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Spezia Calcio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 7' It’s a booking for Palermo FC player. Matteo Brunori Sandri gets a card.
- 12' Jacopo Segre is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Spezia Calcio so far.
- 17' Spezia Calcio receives a card for a hard tackle on 17.
- 22' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 27' Palermo FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Spezia Calcio's shape.
- 31' Arkadiusz Reca has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 31 minutes.
- 36' It’s a booking for Palermo FC player. Fabio Lucioni gets a card.
- 41' Palermo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 46' Another change for Palermo FC made on 46 minute. Roberto Insigne leaves to be changed by Leonardo Mancuso.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Palermo FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 57' A moment of madness from Bartlomiej Dragowski on 57 minutes earns him a card. Spezia Calcio will be frustrated.
- 62' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Palermo FC and Spezia Calcio are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 63' The referee has no hesitation. Szymon Zurkowski is booked for Spezia Calcio — card on 63.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Francesco Esposito. He replaces Luca Moro on 64 minute.
- 69' It is a cagey affair so far. Palermo FC in their trying to find a way past Spezia Calcio's compact .
- 70' A stunning finish from Francesco Esposito — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 73' The deadlock is broken! Leonardo Mancuso gets on the scoresheet on 73 minutes.
- 74' Another substitution for Palermo FC to replace Matteo Brunori Sandri by Edoardo Soleri on 74 minute.
- 75' Palermo FC ring the changes. Kristoffer Lund has done his job and it is now time for Giuseppe Aurelio to step up.
- 78' Fresh legs for Spezia Calcio! Joao Moutinho comes on to replace Salvatore Elia.
- 83' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Pietro Ceccaroni on 87 minutes.
- 90' Spezia Calcio player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' A change in the Spezia Calcio ranks — Arkadiusz Reca exits the field as Niccolo Pietra enters on 90.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Palermo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Jacopo Segre ↓ Leo Stulac 74'
- 4
-
53
Liam Henderson ↓ Aljosa Vasic 46'
- 11
- 17
- 37
- 32
- 22
- 5
- 3
- 9
Bench
- 15
-
6
Leo Stulac ↑ 74'
-
7
Leonardo Mancuso ↑ 46'
- 18
-
31
Giuseppe Aurelio ↑ 75'
- 13
- 1
-
27
Edoardo Soleri ↑ 74'
- 2
-
20
Aljosa Vasic ↑ 46'
- 30
Coach
Eugenio Corini
Spezia Calcio Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Salvatore Elia ↓ Joao Moutinho 78'
- 27
-
13
Arkadiusz Reca ↓ Niccolo Pietra 90'
- 69
- 10
- 29
- 48
- 43
-
17
Szymon Zurkowski ↓ Rachid Kouda 78'
-
24
Luca Moro ↓ Francesco Esposito 64'
- 77
Bench
- 1
-
25
Filippo Bandinelli ↑ 64'
- 99
-
4
Joao Moutinho ↑ 78'
- 11
- 5
-
15
Niccolo Pietra ↑ 90'
- 19
-
80
Rachid Kouda ↑ 78'
- 21
-
9
Francesco Esposito ↑ 64'
- 33
Coach
Massimiliano Alvini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Francesco Esposito | 2 |
| Arkadiusz Reca | 1 |
| Leo Stulac | 1 |
| Leonardo Mancuso | 1 |
| Giuseppe Di Serio | 1 |
| Rayyan Baniya | 1 |
| Giuseppe Aurelio | 1 |
| Filippo Ranocchia | 1 |
Head to Head
Palermo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2
Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Palermo FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
47%
Palermo FC or Spezia Calcio
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Spezia Calcio win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
5.4%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Palermo FC
| Handicap | Palermo FC covers | Push | Spezia Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 21% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

