Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2023-24
Mon 23 Oct 2023 · 18:30 UTC Renzo Barbera HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio — Serie B at Renzo Barbera.

Match Details

  • Referee Francesco Forneau (Italy)

Head-to-Head

3
2
1
Palermo FC 6 games · Avg 2.5 goals Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Spezia Calcio H 2–2 D
07 Oct Modena FC 2018 A 2–0 W
01 Oct FC Südtirol H 2–1 W
26 Sep Venezia FC A 3–1 W
22 Sep Cosenza Calcio H 0–1 L
16 Sep Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Palermo FC A 2–2 D
08 Oct AC Pisa 1909 H 0–0 D
30 Sep FeralpiSalo A 2–1 W
26 Sep Brescia Calcio H 0–0 D
23 Sep AC Reggiana H 1–2 L
15 Sep Venezia FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Renzo Barbera. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Palermo FC and Spezia Calcio.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pietro Ceccaroni suffering a number of foals already.
  • 7' It’s gonna be a card for Matteo Brunori Sandri.
  • 12' Bartlomiej Dragowski has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 111 appearances.
  • 17' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nicolo Bertola on 17 minutes.
  • 22' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
  • 31' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Arkadiusz Reca makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 36' The referee has no hesitation. Fabio Lucioni is booked for Palermo FC — card on 36.
  • 41' It looks surprising Spezia Calcio does not make any changes. Roberto Insigne has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Roberto Insigne as he leaves the pitch. Leonardo Mancuso steps in for Palermo FC.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 57' The referee has no hesitation. Bartlomiej Dragowski is booked for Spezia Calcio — card on 57.
  • 62' The 29-year-old Jacopo Segre has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 63' It’s a booking for Spezia Calcio player. Szymon Zurkowski gets a card.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Luca Moro as he leaves the pitch. Francesco Esposito steps in for Spezia Calcio.
  • 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Spezia Calcio that had 228 games and scored 244 goals.
  • 70' The deadlock is broken! Francesco Esposito gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
  • 73' The Italy forward Leonardo Mancuso breaks the deadlock on 73 minutes. 1-2!
  • 74' The Palermo FC bench stirs into life. Matteo Brunori Sandri is withdrawn and Edoardo Soleri gets his opportunity.
  • 75' The whistle greets Kristoffer Lund as he departs to be replaced by Giuseppe Aurelio.
  • 78' A change in the Spezia Calcio ranks — Salvatore Elia exits the field as Joao Moutinho enters on 78.
  • 83' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 87' It’s gonna be a card for Pietro Ceccaroni.
  • 90' Dimitrios Nikolaou is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Arkadiusz Reca as he leaves the pitch. Niccolo Pietra steps in for Spezia Calcio.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Palermo FC or Spezia Calcio 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Palermo FC43% Draw26% Spezia Calcio31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
57%
Palermo FC or Spezia Calcio
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Palermo FC29% Draw45% Spezia Calcio26%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.