Spain vs Germany, European Championship 2024 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Spain vs Germany — European Championship at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Taylor
- Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
- Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
19 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 8.2 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Spain this season
Spain this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Germany this season
Germany this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Germany
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Spain
| Dani Olmo | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nico Williams | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 G | |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 G |
Germany
| Jamal Musiala | 3 G | |
| Kai Havertz | 2 G | 1 A |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 2 G | |
| Florian Wirtz | 2 G | |
| Ilkay Gundogan | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Spain vs Germany — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 8' Pedri makes way for Dani Olmo at the 8 minute mark. A tactical switch from Spain.
- 13' The referee shows Germany player a card on 13.
- 18' Spain are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Germany backline.
- 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Spain and Germany are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 28' The referee calls foul for David Raum. He receives a card.
- 29' A moment of madness from Robin Le Normand on 29 minutes earns him a card. Spain will be frustrated.
- 34' Florian Wirtz needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 26 Yellow cards this season.
- 39' Both keepers have barely been tested. Spain and Germany are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 44' Spain are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' Another change for Spain made on 46 minute. Robin Le Normand leaves to be changed by Nacho.
- 51' GOAL! Dani Olmo fires home to make it 1-0!
- 56' A moment of madness from Robert Andrich on 56 minutes earns him a card. Germany will be frustrated.
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Maximilian Mittelstadt. He replaces David Raum on 57 minute.
- 62' Spain has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 63' The crowd applauds Lamine Yamal as he leaves the pitch. Ferran Torres steps in for Spain.
- 67' Toni Kroos picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fabian Ruiz suffering a number of foals already.
- 73' A moment of madness from Maximilian Mittelstadt on 73 minutes earns him a card. Germany will be frustrated.
- 74' Ferran Torres was booked on 74.
- 79' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Spain and Germany are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 80' A change in the Spain ranks — Nico Williams exits the field as Mikel Merino enters on 80.
- 82' It’s a booking for Spain player. Unai Simon gets a card.
- 87' Emre Can has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 89' A stunning finish from Florian Wirtz — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nico Schlotterbeck on 89.
- With this win, Spain is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Spain Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Mikel Oyarzabal 80'
- 14
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 24
-
8
Fabian Ruiz ↓ Joselu 102'
-
3
Robin Le Normand ↓ Nacho 46'
- 20
-
17
Nico Williams ↓ Mikel Merino 80'
-
19
Lamine Yamal ↓ Ferran Torres 63'
Bench
- 26
-
9
Joselu ↑ 102'
- 1
-
11
Ferran Torres ↑ 63'
-
6
Mikel Merino ↑ 80'
- 22
- 13
- 5
-
4
Nacho ↑ 46'
-
10
Dani Olmo ↑ 8'
- 12
- 18
-
21
Mikel Oyarzabal ↑ 80'
- 15
- 25
Coach
Luis de la Fuente
Germany Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 21
-
19
Leroy Sane ↓ Florian Wirtz 46'
- 1
- 6
-
4
Jonathan Tah ↓ Thomas Muller 80'
-
7
Kai Havertz ↓ Waldemar Anton 91'
- 3
- 8
-
25
Emre Can ↓ Robert Andrich 46'
- 10
Bench
- 5
- 20
-
13
Thomas Muller ↑ 80'
-
9
Niclas Fullkrug ↑ 57'
-
16
Waldemar Anton ↑ 91'
- 12
-
18
Maximilian Mittelstadt ↑ 57'
- 24
- 11
-
23
Robert Andrich ↑ 46'
- 22
- 15
- 14
-
17
Florian Wirtz ↑ 46'
- 26
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mikel Merino | 1 |
| Dani Olmo | 1 |
| Antonio Rudiger | 1 |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Florian Wirtz | 1 |
Head to Head
Spain Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.72
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Germany xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spain win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
78%
Draw or Germany
47%
Spain or Germany
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Germany covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Germany keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.