Sunday , 16 August 2026

Spain vs Germany, European Championship 2024 QUARTER FINALS

2 1
Full Time
Fri 5 Jul 2024 · 16:00 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 54,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Dani Olmo 51' 1–0
1–1 89' Florian Wirtz
Mikel Merino 119' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Spain vs GermanyEuropean Championship at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

  • Spain 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Germany 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
  • Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
19 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 8.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Germany H 2–1 W
30 Jun Georgia H 4–1 W
24 Jun Albania A 1–0 W
20 Jun Italy H 1–0 W
15 Jun Croatia H 3–0 W
06 Dec Morocco A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Spain A 1–2 L
29 Jun Denmark H 2–0 W
23 Jun Switzerland A 1–1 D
19 Jun Hungary H 2–0 W
14 Jun Scotland H 5–1 W
01 Dec Costa Rica A 4–2 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Spain this season
40% Clean Sheets
Germany this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/
31-45
3/
46-60
3/
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Germany
0-15
1/
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Spain
Dani Olmo 3 G 2 A
Fabian Ruiz 2 G 2 A
Nico Williams 2 G 1 A
Alvaro Morata 1 G
Dani Carvajal 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Spain vs Germany — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 8' Pedri makes way for Dani Olmo at the 8 minute mark. A tactical switch from Spain.
  • 13' The referee shows Germany player a card on 13.
  • 18' Spain are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Germany backline.
  • 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Spain and Germany are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 28' The referee calls foul for David Raum. He receives a card.
  • 29' A moment of madness from Robin Le Normand on 29 minutes earns him a card. Spain will be frustrated.
  • 34' Florian Wirtz needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 26 Yellow cards this season.
  • 39' Both keepers have barely been tested. Spain and Germany are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 44' Spain are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' Another change for Spain made on 46 minute. Robin Le Normand leaves to be changed by Nacho.
  • 51' GOAL! Dani Olmo fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 56' A moment of madness from Robert Andrich on 56 minutes earns him a card. Germany will be frustrated.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Maximilian Mittelstadt. He replaces David Raum on 57 minute.
  • 62' Spain has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Lamine Yamal as he leaves the pitch. Ferran Torres steps in for Spain.
  • 67' Toni Kroos picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fabian Ruiz suffering a number of foals already.
  • 73' A moment of madness from Maximilian Mittelstadt on 73 minutes earns him a card. Germany will be frustrated.
  • 74' Ferran Torres was booked on 74.
  • 79' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Spain and Germany are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 80' A change in the Spain ranks — Nico Williams exits the field as Mikel Merino enters on 80.
  • 82' It’s a booking for Spain player. Unai Simon gets a card.
  • 87' Emre Can has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 89' A stunning finish from Florian Wirtz — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nico Schlotterbeck on 89.
  • With this win, Spain is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.72 Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Germany xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spain53% Draw25% Germany22%
Actual: Spain win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Spain or Draw
78%
Draw or Germany
47%
Spain or Germany
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spain37% Draw45% Germany18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Spain

Handicap Spain covers Push Germany covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Spain keeps clean sheet
36%
Germany keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.