Spain vs Germany, European Championship 2024 QUARTER FINALS
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Match Preview
Spain vs Germany — European Championship at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Taylor
- Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
- Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
47 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 4 totalHead-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history43% Clean Sheets
Spain this season40% Clean Sheets
Germany this seasonGoal Timing (This Season)
Spain0-151/116-303/–31-453/–46-603/–61-751/176+3/1■ Scored ■ ConcededGermany0-151/–16-302/131-451/–46-601/161-753/–76+3/1■ Scored ■ ConcededTop Scorers (This Season)
SpainDani Olmo 3 G 2 A Fabian Ruiz 2 G 2 A Nico Williams 2 G 1 A Alvaro Morata 1 G Dani Carvajal 1 G GermanyJamal Musiala 3 G Kai Havertz 2 G 1 A Niclas Fullkrug 2 G Florian Wirtz 2 G Ilkay Gundogan 1 G 1 A -
Spain Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
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7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Mikel Oyarzabal 80'
- 14
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 24
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8
Fabian Ruiz ↓ Joselu 102'
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3
Robin Le Normand ↓ Nacho 46'
- 20
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17
Nico Williams ↓ Mikel Merino 80'
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19
Lamine Yamal ↓ Ferran Torres 63'
Bench
- 26
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9
Joselu ↑ 102'
- 1
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11
Ferran Torres ↑ 63'
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6
Mikel Merino ↑ 80'
- 22
- 13
- 5
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4
Nacho ↑ 46'
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10
Dani Olmo ↑ 8'
- 12
- 18
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21
Mikel Oyarzabal ↑ 80'
- 15
- 25
Coach Luis de la FuenteGermany Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 21
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19
Leroy Sane ↓ Florian Wirtz 46'
- 1
- 6
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4
Jonathan Tah ↓ Thomas Muller 80'
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7
Kai Havertz ↓ Waldemar Anton 91'
- 3
- 8
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25
Emre Can ↓ Robert Andrich 46'
- 10
Bench
- 5
- 20
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13
Thomas Muller ↑ 80'
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9
Niclas Fullkrug ↑ 57'
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16
Waldemar Anton ↑ 91'
- 12
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18
Maximilian Mittelstadt ↑ 57'
- 24
- 11
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23
Robert Andrich ↑ 46'
- 22
- 15
- 14
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17
Florian Wirtz ↑ 46'
- 26
Coach Julian Nagelsmann -
7
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H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Dani Olmo 1 Antonio Rudiger 1 Niclas Fullkrug 1 Alvaro Morata 1 Florian Wirtz 1 Mikel Merino 1 Head to Head
Spain Form
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Prediction accuracy4 / 41.72 Spain xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.04 Germany xGI would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spain winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.76Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 92% 8% ± 1.5 76% 24% ± 2.5 51% 49% ± 3.5 30% 70% ± 4.5 15% 85% Double Chance
Spain or Draw 78%Draw or Germany 47%Spain or Germany 75%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 12.2%1 – 0 10.1%2 – 1 Actual2 – 0 9.2%0 – 0 8.2%0 – 1 5.7%1 – 2 5.6%3 – 1 5.4%3 – 0 5.2%2 – 2 4.9%0 – 2 3.4%3 – 2 2.9%Asian Handicap — Spain
Handicap Spain covers Push Germany covers -2.5 13% — 87% -2 13% 16% 71% -1.5 29% — 71% -1 29% 23% 48% -0.5 52% — 48% +0.5 78% — 22% +1 78% 13% 8% +1.5 92% — 8% +2 92% 6% 2% +2.5 98% — 2% Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet 36% ✓Germany keeps clean sheet 19% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.