Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Tue 26 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's HT 45' · FT 45'
Joe Aribo 17' 1–0
Samuel Edozie 48' 2–0
Ryan Fraser 74' 3–0
Ryan Fraser 87' 4–0
Che Adams 90+4' 5–0
Y 24' Liam Cullen
Jan Bednarek 34' Y
Joe Aribo 38' Y
Y 55' Josh Tymon
Y 56' Jay Fulton
Y 83' Joe Allen

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFCChampionship at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Keith Stroud
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)

Head-to-Head

4
1
Southampton FC 5 games · Avg 3.0 goals Swansea City AFC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Swansea City AFC H 5–0 W
23 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–0 W
16 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC H 4–0 W
13 Dec Coventry City FC A 1–1 D
09 Dec Watford FC A 1–1 D
02 Dec Cardiff City FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Southampton FC A 0–5 L
22 Dec Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
16 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 1–2 L
12 Dec Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
09 Dec Rotherham United FC A 2–1 W
02 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Southampton FC Swansea City AFC
#4 Position #11
80 Points 64
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 18 / 10 / 18
82 Scored 57
56 Conceded 59
+26 GD -2
1.74 PPG 1.39
48% Win % 39%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Saint Mary's as Southampton FC face off against Swansea City AFC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Taylor Harwood-Bellis has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Swansea City AFC have won 472 goals from 383 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Oliver Cooper suffering a number of foals already.
  • 17' What a strike from Joe Aribo! The score is 1-0.
  • 22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 24' Liam Cullen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 24.
  • 29' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jan Bednarek.
  • 38' It’s a booking for Southampton FC player. Joe Aribo gets a Yellow card.
  • 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 348 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 46' Oliver Cooper is replacing Liam Cullen for the Swansea City AFC side.
  • 48' The deadlock is broken! Samuel Edozie gets on the scoresheet on 48 minutes.
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' Swansea City AFC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 55.
  • 56' Controversy at the stadium! Jay Fulton argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 57' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Flynn Downes exits the field as William Smallbone enters on 57.
  • 59' Charlie Patino is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jerry Yates at the 59 minute mark.
  • 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josh Tymon on 63.
  • 68' A quiet spell here at Saint Mary's. Swansea City AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 70' Another change for Southampton FC made on 70 minute. Samuel Edozie leaves to be changed by Ryan Fraser.
  • 71' The Swansea City AFC manager makes a substitution. Jamal Lowe departs to be replaced by Yannick Bolasie.
  • 74' Ryan Fraser adds to his 0 season tally! Southampton FC lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 79' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alan Sheehan might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 80' A change in the Swansea City AFC ranks — Jamie Paterson exits the field as Mykola Kukharevych enters on 80.
  • 83' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Joe Allen on 83 minutes.
  • 87' What a strike from Ryan Fraser! The score is 4-0.
  • Southampton FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.11 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC to win 76% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC76% Draw15% Swansea City AFC9%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 3.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
91%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
24%
Southampton FC or Swansea City AFC
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC64% Draw30% Swansea City AFC6%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.2%
3 – 0
11.2%
4 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.2%
4 – 1
5.8%
1 – 1
5.4%
5 – 0
Actual
5 – 1
3.7%
0 – 0
3.3%
6 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 44% 56%
-2 44% 21% 34%
-1.5 66% 34%
-1 66% 18% 17%
-0.5 83% 17%
+0.5 95% 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
51%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
5%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.