Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Wed 4 Dec 2024 · 19:30 UTC Saint Mary's 31,193 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Axel Disasi
Joe Aribo 11' 1–1
1–2 17' Christopher Nkunku
1–3 34' Noni Madueke
1–4 77' Cole Palmer
1–5 87' Jadon Sancho

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Chelsea FC — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
  • Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)
7 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 12.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec Chelsea FC H 1–5 L
29 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
24 Nov Liverpool FC H 2–3 L
09 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
02 Nov Everton FC H 1–0 W
26 Oct Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec Southampton FC A 5–1 W
01 Dec Aston Villa FC H 3–0 W
23 Nov Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
10 Nov Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
03 Nov Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
27 Oct Newcastle United FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
7/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 5 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 5 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 3 G 3 A
Pedro Neto 3 G 1 A
Jordan Henderson 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Saint Mary's. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Southampton FC and Chelsea FC.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Saint Mary's. Southampton FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 7' Magnificent from Axel Disasi! That is 24 goals in 429 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 11' A stunning finish from Joe Aribo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 16' Chelsea FC come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 17' Magnificent from Christopher Nkunku! That is 94 goals in 530 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 22' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 27' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 32' It is a cagey affair so far. Southampton FC in their 5-3-2 trying to find a way past Chelsea FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 34' Magnificent from Noni Madueke! That is 22 goals in 448 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 39' Southampton FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 39.
  • 44' Ryan Fraser is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Chelsea FC so far.
  • 47' The referee has no hesitation. Adam Armstrong is booked for Southampton FC — card on 47.
  • 52' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 57' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Southampton FC and Chelsea FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Ryan Fraser is replaced by Kamal Deen Sulemana.
  • 67' Southampton FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 72' The Chelsea FC manager makes a substitution. Noni Madueke departs to be replaced by Jadon Sancho.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Cameron Archer is replaced by Yukinari Sugawara.
  • 77' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Cole Palmer makes it 1-4.
  • 79' The crowd applauds James Bree as he leaves the pitch. Ronnie Edwards steps in for Southampton FC.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 87' Against the run of play, Jadon Sancho has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-5 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC24% Draw24% Chelsea FC52%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Chelsea FC
76%
Southampton FC or Chelsea FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC18% Draw40% Chelsea FC42%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 21% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.