Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs Arsenal FC, FA Cup 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

FA Cup · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,067 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ross Stewart 36' 1–0
1–1 68' Viktor Gyokeres
Shea Charles 85' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Arsenal FC — FA Cup at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 James Mainwaring
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith
7 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 14.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
21 Mar Oxford United FC H 2–0 W
18 Mar Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
14 Mar Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
11 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Fulham FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Southampton FC A 1–2 L
17 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–0 W
14 Mar Everton FC H 2–0 W
11 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
07 Mar Mansfield Town FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Southampton FC launch into their encounter with Arsenal FC.
  • 5' It looks surprising Southampton FC does not make any changes. Daniel Peretz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Arsenal FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 27' That is a card for Southampton FC. Ryan Manning will be fuming at that decision.
  • 32' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 36' Against the run of play, Ross Stewart has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 41' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Southampton FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 46' Viktor Gyokeres is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Arsenal FC so far.
  • 51' Kepa Arrizabalaga needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Saint Mary's. Arsenal FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 60' Viktor Gyokeres is replacing Gabriel Jesus for the Arsenal FC side.
  • 61' Another change for Arsenal FC made on 61 minute. Martin Odegaard leaves to be changed by Noni Madueke.
  • 66' Southampton FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 68' Viktor Gyokeres is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 70' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Ross Stewart by Cyle Larin on 70 minute.
  • 71' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Leo Scienza by Samuel Edozie on 71 minute.
  • 72' The Arsenal FC manager makes a substitution. Gabriel departs to be replaced by William Saliba.
  • 76' Shea Charles has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cameron Bragg on 76 minute.
  • 79' The whistle greets Kai Havertz as he departs to be replaced by Martin Zubimendi.
  • 84' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Southampton FC and Arsenal FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 85' GOAL! Shea Charles fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Caspar Jander.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Martinelli. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Southampton FC! Joshua Quarshie comes on to replace Ryan Manning.
  • 2-1 the final result. Arsenal FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Arsenal FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC44% Draw27% Arsenal FC29%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Arsenal FC
56%
Southampton FC or Arsenal FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC30% Draw48% Arsenal FC22%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.