Shonan Bellmare vs Vissel Kobe, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Shonan Bellmare

1 – 1

Full Time

Vissel Kobe

Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 05:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'

Yuki Ohashi 11' 1–0

1–1 53' Yuya Osako pen

Y 20' Haruya Ide

Takuya Okamoto 84' Y

Y 85' Tetsushi Yamakawa

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Vissel Kobe — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Vissel Kobe 18 games · 35 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shonan Bellmare 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Vissel Kobe

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-28 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Vissel Kobe 2023-04-29 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-12 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Shonan Bellmare 2022-05-21 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Vissel Kobe 2021-07-03 Vissel Kobe 3–1 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	Vissel Kobe	H	1–1	D
21 Oct	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–0	W
30 Sep	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–0	W
24 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–2	L
16 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–0	W
02 Sep	Kashima Antlers	H	2–2	D

Vissel Kobe

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–1	D
21 Oct	Kashima Antlers	H	3–1	W
29 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	2–0	W
23 Sep	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–0	W
16 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–2	L
03 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vissel Kobe

0-15

–/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

3/4

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka!
5' Shonan Bellmare is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
10' Yuki Honda is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Vissel Kobe so far.
11' Yuki Ohashi puts Shonan Bellmare on the lead.
16' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hiroyuki Abe made 439 appearances and scored 28 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Haruya Ide on 20.
25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shonan Bellmare and Vissel Kobe are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
35' Japan international Masaki Ikeda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
40' Vissel Kobe fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
45' Jean Patric needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
46' Vissel Kobe make a change. Nanasei Iino trudges off to be replaced by Jean Patric on 46 minutes.
51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kazuki Oiwa suffering a number of foals already.
53' Magnificent from Yuya Osako! That is 72 goals in 414 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
62' The Vissel Kobe manager makes a substitution. Daiju Sasaki departs to be replaced by Thuler.
67' The energy levels are beginning to show. Takayuki Yoshida might look to freshen things up shortly.
68' Shonan Bellmare ring the changes. Masaki Ikeda has done his job and it is now time for Kohei Okuno to step up.
73' Daiki Tomii has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
77' It is a substitution in Vissel Kobe team. Haruya Ide is replaced by Mizuki Arai on 77 minute.
78' Hiroyuki Abe makes way for Junnosuke Suzuki at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Satoshi Yamaguchi will be considering his options from the bench.
84' Takuya Okamoto catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
85' The referee shows Vissel Kobe player a card on 85.
86' The crowd applauds Takuya Okamoto as he leaves the pitch. Hirokazu Ishihara steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

22
Kazuki Oiwa
7
Hiroyuki Abe ↓ Junnosuke Suzuki 78'
23
Daiki Tomii
6
Takuya Okamoto ↓ Hirokazu Ishihara 86'
2
Daiki Sugioka
8
Kazunari Ono
17
Yuki Ohashi ↓ Sho Fukuda 78'
5
Satoshi Tanaka
13
Taiyo Hiraoka ↓ Akito Suzuki 68'
27
Masaki Ikeda ↓ Kohei Okuno 68'
47
Min-tae Kim

Bench

3
Hirokazu Ishihara ↑ 86'
15
Kohei Okuno ↑ 68'
21
Hiroki Mawatari
14
Akimi Barada
29
Akito Suzuki ↑ 68'
30
Junnosuke Suzuki ↑ 78'
19
Sho Fukuda ↑ 78'

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

Vissel Kobe Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

3
Thuler ↑ 62'
25
Leo Osaki
26
Jean Patric ↑ 46'
14
Koya Yuruki
20
Mizuki Arai ↑ 77'
28
Yuya Tsuboi
44
Mitsuki Hidaka

Coach Takayuki Yoshida

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yoshinori Muto	3
Shuto Machino	3
Mitsuki Saito	2
Kyogo Furuhashi	2
Daiki Sugioka	2
Yuya Osako	2
Hirotaka Mita	2
Takahiro Ogihara	2

Head to Head

Shonan Bellmare Form

2023-10-28 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Vissel Kobe D 2023-10-21 Kyoto Sanga FC 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2023-09-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2023-09-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2023-09-16 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2023-09-02 Shonan Bellmare 2–2 Kashima Antlers D

Vissel Kobe Form

2023-10-28 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Vissel Kobe D 2023-10-21 Vissel Kobe 3–1 Kashima Antlers W 2023-09-29 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–2 Vissel Kobe W 2023-09-23 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-09-16 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Vissel Kobe L 2023-09-03 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Kyoto Sanga FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.1 Shonan Bellmare xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.27 Vissel Kobe xG

I would bet for: Shonan Bellmare or Vissel Kobe 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Shonan Bellmare34% Draw30% Vissel Kobe36%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.37

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw

64%

Draw or Vissel Kobe

66%

Shonan Bellmare or Vissel Kobe

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shonan Bellmare22% Draw50% Vissel Kobe28%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

11.6%

0 – 1

10.7%

1 – 0

9.1%

1 – 2

0 – 2

7.3%

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 0

5.5%

2 – 2

4.5%

1 – 3

3.4%

0 – 3

3 – 1

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap	Shonan Bellmare covers	Push	Vissel Kobe covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	18%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	21%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.