Thursday , 2 July 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 9 Nov 2025 · 06:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–4 L
25 Oct Tokyo Verdy H 1–0 W
18 Oct Kawasaki Frontale A 3–5 L
04 Oct FC Tōkyō H 1–1 D
27 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
23 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Shimizu S-Pulse A 4–1 W
25 Oct Kawasaki Frontale H 2–0 W
18 Oct Fagiano Okayama FC A 2–1 W
04 Oct Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
28 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
23 Sep Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Cerezo Osaka FC
#7 Position #2
24 Points 31
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
40 Scored 48
42 Conceded 38
-2 GD +10
1.33 PPG 1.72
44% Win % 61%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Shimizu S-Pulse is hosting Cerezo Osaka FC for another epic battle.
  • 3' Magnificent from Rafael Ratao! That is 47 goals in 20 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 8' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Togo Umeda made 367 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 11' Magnificent from Vitor Bueno! That is 18 goals in 371 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 16' Thiago Andrade is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shimizu S-Pulse so far.
  • 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 26' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sen Takagi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 27' The Shimizu S-Pulse bench stirs into life. Sen Takagi is withdrawn and Yutaka Yoshida gets his opportunity.
  • 28' Fresh legs for Shimizu S-Pulse! Shinya Yajima comes on to replace Yudai Shimamoto.
  • 33' Shimizu S-Pulse are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
  • 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kai Matsuzaki, as he is very good at scoring at IAI Stadium Nihondaira with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 42' What a strike from Rafael Ratao! The score is 0-3.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Shimizu S-Pulse team. Kai Matsuzaki is replaced by Takashi Inui on 46 minute.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' Shunta Tanaka is replacing Vitor Bueno for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
  • 61' Shimizu S-Pulse have won 286 goals from 367 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 66' Controversy at the stadium! Hayato Okuda argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 70' Alfredo Stephens is ready to make an impact after coming on for Koya Kitagawa at the 70 minute mark.
  • 75' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 77' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dion Cools is hanging Thiago Andrade on the field on 77 minute.
  • 78' A change in the Shimizu S-Pulse ranks — Capixaba exits the field as Hikaru Nakahara enters on 78.
  • 83' Shimizu S-Pulse are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 84' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Takashi Inui makes it 1-3.
  • 89' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 90' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Hayato Okuda departs to be replaced by Rikito Inoue.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Cerezo Osaka FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.86 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.55 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse29% Draw22% Cerezo Osaka FC49%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
51%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
71%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse24% Draw35% Cerezo Osaka FC41%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 4
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 8% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 14% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 19% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 15% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
9%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.