Sunday , 16 August 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 9 Nov 2025 · 06:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–4 L
25 Oct Tokyo Verdy H 1–0 W
18 Oct Kawasaki Frontale A 3–5 L
04 Oct FC Tokyo H 1–1 D
27 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
23 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Shimizu S-Pulse A 4–1 W
25 Oct Kawasaki Frontale H 2–0 W
18 Oct Fagiano Okayama FC A 2–1 W
04 Oct Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
28 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
23 Sep Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Cerezo Osaka FC
#7 Position #2
24 Points 31
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
40 Scored 48
42 Conceded 38
-2 GD +10
1.33 PPG 1.72
44% Win % 61%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at IAI Stadium Nihondaira!
  • 3' Rafael Ratao makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Cerezo Osaka FC are in front.
  • 8' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 11' Vitor Bueno makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Cerezo Osaka FC are in front.
  • 16' Sen Takagi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shimizu S-Pulse tonight.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Shimizu S-Pulse winning 50% of all matches.
  • 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Shimizu S-Pulse side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 27' Another substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse to replace Sen Takagi by Yutaka Yoshida on 27 minute.
  • 28' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Yudai Shimamoto is replaced by Shinya Yajima.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shimizu S-Pulse needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' Shimizu S-Pulse are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
  • 42' What a strike from Rafael Ratao! The score is 0-3.
  • 46' Takashi Inui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kai Matsuzaki at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 369 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 56' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Vitor Bueno departs to be replaced by Shunta Tanaka.
  • 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 66' Cerezo Osaka FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 70' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-PulseAlfredo Stephens on, Koya Kitagawa off on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Cerezo Osaka FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 75.
  • 77' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Thiago Andrade has done his job and it is now time for Dion Cools to step up.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-PulseHikaru Nakahara on, Capixaba off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Jelani Sumiyoshi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 335 appearances.
  • 84' GOAL! Takashi Inui scores on 84. Assisted by Toshiki Takahashi
  • 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matheus Bueno made 135 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Hayato Okuda has done his job and it is now time for Rikito Inoue to step up.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Cerezo Osaka FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.86 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.55 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse29% Draw22% Cerezo Osaka FC49%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
51%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
71%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse24% Draw35% Cerezo Osaka FC41%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 4
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 8% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 14% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 19% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 15% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
9%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.