Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 3–5 | L |
| 04 Oct | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #2 |
| 24 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 40 | Scored | 48 |
| 42 | Conceded | 38 |
| -2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
| Se-hun Oh | 2 G |
| Koya Kitagawa | 1 G |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Shimizu S-Pulse have kicked off against Cerezo Osaka FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 3' Rafael Ratao doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 8' Rikito Inoue needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 11' Vitor Bueno has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 11 minutes.
- 16' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Toshiki Takahashi made 443 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 21' Koya Kitagawa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
- 27' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-Pulse — Yutaka Yoshida on, Sen Takagi off on 27 minutes.
- 28' Fresh legs for Shimizu S-Pulse! Shinya Yajima comes on to replace Yudai Shimamoto.
- 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Shimizu S-Pulse side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 42' Assisted by Thiago Andrade with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rafael Ratao makes no mistake. 0-3!
- 46' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-Pulse — Takashi Inui on, Kai Matsuzaki off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Shimizu S-Pulse started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 56' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Vitor Bueno has done his job and it is now time for Shunta Tanaka to step up.
- 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tadahiro Akiba might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 66' It’s a booking for Cerezo Osaka FC player. Hayato Okuda gets a card.
- 70' The Shimizu S-Pulse bench stirs into life. Koya Kitagawa is withdrawn and Alfredo Stephens gets his opportunity.
- 75' Shimizu S-Pulse are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 77' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Dion Cools on, Thiago Andrade off on 77 minutes.
- 78' Capixaba makes way for Hikaru Nakahara at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
- 83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arthur Papas will be considering his options from the bench.
- 84' What composure from Takashi Inui! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-3.
- 89' It’s high time Tadahiro Akiba made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 90 minute. Hayato Okuda leaves to be changed by Rikito Inoue.
- 1-4 the final result. Shimizu S-Pulse will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Capixaba ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 78'
- 23
- 16
- 98
- 4
- 14
- 66
-
19
Kai Matsuzaki ↓ Takashi Inui 46'
- 38
-
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↓ Shinya Yajima 28'
-
70
Sen Takagi ↓ Yutaka Yoshida 27'
Bench
-
33
Takashi Inui ↑ 46'
-
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 28'
-
50
Alfredo Stephens ↑ 70'
-
28
Yutaka Yoshida ↑ 27'
- 1
- 8
-
11
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 78'
- 24
- 15
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 44
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Kengo Furuyama 77'
- 13
- 5
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Shunta Tanaka 56'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Dion Cools 77'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Rikito Inoue 90'
- 48
- 22
- 1
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 77'
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 90'
- 2
-
10
Shunta Tanaka ↑ 56'
-
31
Rikito Inoue ↑ 90'
- 21
- 19
-
29
Kengo Furuyama ↑ 77'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Ratao | 3 |
| Koya Kitagawa | 2 |
| Crislan | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Crislan | 2 |
| Hiroshi Kiyotake | 2 |
| Reon Yamahara | 1 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.86
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.55
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
51%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
71%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 4
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 8% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 19% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 15% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.