Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 3–5 | L |
| 04 Oct | FC Tokyo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #2 |
| 24 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 40 | Scored | 48 |
| 42 | Conceded | 38 |
| -2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at IAI Stadium Nihondaira!
- 3' Rafael Ratao makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Cerezo Osaka FC are in front.
- 8' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 11' Vitor Bueno makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Cerezo Osaka FC are in front.
- 16' Sen Takagi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shimizu S-Pulse tonight.
- 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Shimizu S-Pulse winning 50% of all matches.
- 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Shimizu S-Pulse side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 27' Another substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse to replace Sen Takagi by Yutaka Yoshida on 27 minute.
- 28' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Yudai Shimamoto is replaced by Shinya Yajima.
- 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shimizu S-Pulse needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 38' Shimizu S-Pulse are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
- 42' What a strike from Rafael Ratao! The score is 0-3.
- 46' Takashi Inui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kai Matsuzaki at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 369 games and scored 396 goals.
- 56' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Vitor Bueno departs to be replaced by Shunta Tanaka.
- 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 66' Cerezo Osaka FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 70' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-Pulse — Alfredo Stephens on, Koya Kitagawa off on 70 minutes.
- 75' Cerezo Osaka FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 75.
- 77' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Thiago Andrade has done his job and it is now time for Dion Cools to step up.
- 78' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-Pulse — Hikaru Nakahara on, Capixaba off on 78 minutes.
- 83' Jelani Sumiyoshi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 335 appearances.
- 84' GOAL! Takashi Inui scores on 84. Assisted by Toshiki Takahashi
- 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matheus Bueno made 135 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 90' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Hayato Okuda has done his job and it is now time for Rikito Inoue to step up.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Cerezo Osaka FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Capixaba ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 78'
- 23
- 16
- 98
- 4
- 14
- 66
-
19
Kai Matsuzaki ↓ Takashi Inui 46'
- 38
-
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↓ Shinya Yajima 28'
-
70
Sen Takagi ↓ Yutaka Yoshida 27'
Bench
-
33
Takashi Inui ↑ 46'
-
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 28'
-
50
Alfredo Stephens ↑ 70'
-
28
Yutaka Yoshida ↑ 27'
- 1
- 8
-
11
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 78'
- 24
- 15
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 44
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Kengo Furuyama 77'
- 13
- 5
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Shunta Tanaka 56'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Dion Cools 77'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Rikito Inoue 90'
- 48
- 22
- 1
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 77'
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 90'
- 2
-
10
Shunta Tanaka ↑ 56'
-
31
Rikito Inoue ↑ 90'
- 21
- 19
-
29
Kengo Furuyama ↑ 77'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Ratao | 3 |
| Hiroshi Kiyotake | 2 |
| Koya Kitagawa | 2 |
| Crislan | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Crislan | 2 |
| Souza | 1 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.86
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.55
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
51%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
71%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 4
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 8% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 19% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 15% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

