Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 3–5 | L |
| 04 Oct | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #2 |
| 24 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 40 | Scored | 48 |
| 42 | Conceded | 38 |
| -2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Shimizu S-Pulse is hosting Cerezo Osaka FC for another epic battle.
- 3' Magnificent from Rafael Ratao! That is 47 goals in 20 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 8' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Togo Umeda made 367 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 11' Magnificent from Vitor Bueno! That is 18 goals in 371 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 16' Thiago Andrade is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shimizu S-Pulse so far.
- 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 26' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sen Takagi suffering a number of foals already.
- 27' The Shimizu S-Pulse bench stirs into life. Sen Takagi is withdrawn and Yutaka Yoshida gets his opportunity.
- 28' Fresh legs for Shimizu S-Pulse! Shinya Yajima comes on to replace Yudai Shimamoto.
- 33' Shimizu S-Pulse are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
- 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kai Matsuzaki, as he is very good at scoring at IAI Stadium Nihondaira with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 42' What a strike from Rafael Ratao! The score is 0-3.
- 46' It is a substitution in Shimizu S-Pulse team. Kai Matsuzaki is replaced by Takashi Inui on 46 minute.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' Shunta Tanaka is replacing Vitor Bueno for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
- 61' Shimizu S-Pulse have won 286 goals from 367 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 66' Controversy at the stadium! Hayato Okuda argues furiously but the card stands.
- 70' Alfredo Stephens is ready to make an impact after coming on for Koya Kitagawa at the 70 minute mark.
- 75' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 77' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dion Cools is hanging Thiago Andrade on the field on 77 minute.
- 78' A change in the Shimizu S-Pulse ranks — Capixaba exits the field as Hikaru Nakahara enters on 78.
- 83' Shimizu S-Pulse are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 84' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Takashi Inui makes it 1-3.
- 89' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 90' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Hayato Okuda departs to be replaced by Rikito Inoue.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Cerezo Osaka FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Capixaba ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 78'
- 23
- 16
- 98
- 4
- 14
- 66
-
19
Kai Matsuzaki ↓ Takashi Inui 46'
- 38
-
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↓ Shinya Yajima 28'
-
70
Sen Takagi ↓ Yutaka Yoshida 27'
Bench
-
33
Takashi Inui ↑ 46'
-
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 28'
-
50
Alfredo Stephens ↑ 70'
-
28
Yutaka Yoshida ↑ 27'
- 1
- 8
-
11
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 78'
- 24
- 15
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 44
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Kengo Furuyama 77'
- 13
- 5
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Shunta Tanaka 56'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Dion Cools 77'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Rikito Inoue 90'
- 48
- 22
- 1
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 77'
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 90'
- 2
-
10
Shunta Tanaka ↑ 56'
-
31
Rikito Inoue ↑ 90'
- 21
- 19
-
29
Kengo Furuyama ↑ 77'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Ratao | 3 |
| Koya Kitagawa | 2 |
| Crislan | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Crislan | 2 |
| Hiroshi Kiyotake | 2 |
| Reon Yamahara | 1 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.86
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.55
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
51%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
71%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 4
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 8% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 19% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 15% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

