Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 3–5 | L |
| 04 Oct | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #2 |
| 24 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 40 | Scored | 48 |
| 42 | Conceded | 38 |
| -2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/4
61-75
4/6
76+
1/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
| Se-hun Oh | 2 G |
| Koya Kitagawa | 1 G |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Osaka FC has kicked off!
- 3' Rafael Ratao is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 8' Ryosuke Shindo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shimizu S-Pulse tonight.
- 11' What composure from Vitor Bueno! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 16' Yudai Shimamoto has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 380 appearances.
- 21' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 26' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 27' The supporters are chanting for Yutaka Yoshida. He replaces Sen Takagi on 27 minute.
- 28' Shinya Yajima is replacing Yudai Shimamoto for the Shimizu S-Pulse side.
- 33' Capixaba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shimizu S-Pulse so far.
- 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 42' Magnificent from Rafael Ratao! That is 47 goals in 20 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' A change in the Shimizu S-Pulse ranks — Kai Matsuzaki exits the field as Takashi Inui enters on 46.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matheus Bueno suffering a number of foals already.
- 56' The supporters are chanting for Shunta Tanaka. He replaces Vitor Bueno on 56 minute.
- 61' The 24-year-old Masaya Shibayama has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 66' Hayato Okuda was booked on 66.
- 70' The Shimizu S-Pulse bench stirs into life. Koya Kitagawa is withdrawn and Alfredo Stephens gets his opportunity.
- 75' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 77' The crowd applauds Thiago Andrade as he leaves the pitch. Dion Cools steps in for Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 78' Shimizu S-Pulse manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hikaru Nakahara is hanging Capixaba on the field on 78 minute.
- 83' Jelani Sumiyoshi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 7 Yellow cards this season.
- 84' The deadlock is broken! Takashi Inui gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
- 89' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 90' Rikito Inoue has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hayato Okuda on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Shimizu S-Pulse.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Capixaba ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 78'
- 23
- 16
- 98
- 4
- 14
- 66
-
19
Kai Matsuzaki ↓ Takashi Inui 46'
- 38
-
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↓ Shinya Yajima 28'
-
70
Sen Takagi ↓ Yutaka Yoshida 27'
Bench
-
33
Takashi Inui ↑ 46'
-
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 28'
-
50
Alfredo Stephens ↑ 70'
-
28
Yutaka Yoshida ↑ 27'
- 1
- 8
-
11
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 78'
- 24
- 15
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 44
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Kengo Furuyama 77'
- 13
- 5
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Shunta Tanaka 56'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Dion Cools 77'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Rikito Inoue 90'
- 48
- 22
- 1
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 77'
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 90'
- 2
-
10
Shunta Tanaka ↑ 56'
-
31
Rikito Inoue ↑ 90'
- 21
- 19
-
29
Kengo Furuyama ↑ 77'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Ratao | 3 |
| Hiroshi Kiyotake | 2 |
| Koya Kitagawa | 2 |
| Crislan | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Crislan | 2 |
| Carlinhos | 1 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.86
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.55
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
51%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
71%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 4
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 8% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 19% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 15% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.