Fagiano Okayama FC vs Shimizu S-Pulse, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Shimizu S-Pulse — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 3–4 | L |
| 29 Oct | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #7 |
| 26 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 41 | Scored | 40 |
| 46 | Conceded | 42 |
| -5 | GD | -2 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 44% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Fagiano Okayama FC and Shimizu S-Pulse is underway.
- 5' Shimizu S-Pulse seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Masaya Matsumoto suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and Shimizu S-Pulse are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' A quiet spell here at City Light Stadium. Shimizu S-Pulse seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' Shimizu S-Pulse fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 35' Hikaru Nakahara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fagiano Okayama FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 45' It looks surprising Shimizu S-Pulse does not make any changes. Takashi Inui has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 46' Kengo Kitazume is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yutaka Yoshida at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Fagiano Okayama FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Shimizu S-Pulse backline.
- 56' Ataru Esaka is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shimizu S-Pulse so far.
- 61' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 64' Lucao is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kazunari Ichimi at the 64 minute mark.
- 65' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Hiroto Iwabuchi is withdrawn and Takaya Kimura gets his opportunity.
- 68' Jelani Sumiyoshi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Ryo Takeuchi. He replaces Yuta Kamiya on 73 minute.
- 75' Magnificent from Takaya Kimura! That is 7 goals in 56 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 77' Masaya Matsumoto was booked on 77.
- 77' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Koya Kitagawa is replaced by Douglas Tanque.
- 80' Motoki Nishihara gets the nod from Shimizu S-Pulse. He replaces Reon Yamahara and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' The referee calls foul for Kengo Kitazume. He receives a card.
- 88' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 88 minutes.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↓ Hijiri Kato 73'
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 64'
- 2
- 8
- 28
- 24
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 73'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 65'
Bench
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 73'
- 1
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↑ 73'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 65'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 64'
- 4
- 6
- 3
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
-
28
Yutaka Yoshida ↓ Kengo Kitazume 46'
- 1
-
23
Koya Kitagawa ↓ Douglas Tanque 77'
- 98
- 4
- 14
- 66
- 11
- 36
- 70
Bench
-
99
Douglas Tanque ↑ 77'
- 3
- 8
-
5
Kengo Kitazume ↑ 46'
- 6
- 29
-
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↑ 80'
-
55
Motoki Nishihara ↑ 80'
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kosuke Shirai | 1 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 1 |
| Jelani Sumiyoshi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Toshiki Takahashi | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
2025-03-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
2025-02-26
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-02-22
Shimizu S-Pulse
2–0
Albirex Niigata
W
2025-02-16
Tokyo Verdy
0–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
2022-11-05
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
4–3
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
2022-10-29
Shimizu S-Pulse
0–1
Kashima Antlers
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.1
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
55%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Shimizu S-Pulse
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
4%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Shimizu S-Pulse covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

