Fagiano Okayama FC vs Shimizu S-Pulse, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Shimizu S-Pulse — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 3–4 | L |
| 29 Oct | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #7 |
| 26 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 41 | Scored | 40 |
| 46 | Conceded | 42 |
| -5 | GD | -2 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 44% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Shimizu S-Pulse kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Takashi Inui has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Shimizu S-Pulse backline.
- 15' A quiet spell here at City Light Stadium. Shimizu S-Pulse seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Fagiano Okayama FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' The travelling Shimizu S-Pulse supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shimizu S-Pulse that had 367 games and scored 286 goals.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 40' Koya Kitagawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' Yutaka Yoshida makes way for Kengo Kitazume at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yutaka Yoshida made 279 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 56' Shimizu S-Pulse is showing some good football. However, Shimizu S-Pulse are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 64' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 64 minute. Kazunari Ichimi leaves to be changed by Lucao.
- 65' Takaya Kimura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroto Iwabuchi on 65 minute.
- 68' Jelani Sumiyoshi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
- 73' Fagiano Okayama FC ring the changes. Yuta Kamiya has done his job and it is now time for Ryo Takeuchi to step up.
- 75' Takaya Kimura does the damage! The net is bulging and Fagiano Okayama FC surge ahead!
- 77' Fagiano Okayama FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 77' A change in the Shimizu S-Pulse ranks — Koya Kitagawa exits the field as Douglas Tanque enters on 77.
- 80' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 80 minute. Reon Yamahara leaves to be changed by Motoki Nishihara.
- 83' Poor challenge from Kengo Kitazume. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Fagiano Okayama FC 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↓ Hijiri Kato 73'
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 64'
- 2
- 8
- 28
- 24
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 73'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 65'
Bench
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 73'
- 1
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↑ 73'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 65'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 64'
- 4
- 6
- 3
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
-
28
Yutaka Yoshida ↓ Kengo Kitazume 46'
- 1
-
23
Koya Kitagawa ↓ Douglas Tanque 77'
- 98
- 4
- 14
- 66
- 11
- 36
- 70
Bench
-
99
Douglas Tanque ↑ 77'
- 3
- 8
-
5
Kengo Kitazume ↑ 46'
- 6
- 29
-
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↑ 80'
-
55
Motoki Nishihara ↑ 80'
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kosuke Shirai | 1 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 1 |
| Jelani Sumiyoshi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Toshiki Takahashi | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
2025-03-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
2025-02-26
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-02-22
Shimizu S-Pulse
2–0
Albirex Niigata
W
2025-02-16
Tokyo Verdy
0–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
2022-11-05
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
4–3
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
2022-10-29
Shimizu S-Pulse
0–1
Kashima Antlers
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.1
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
55%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Shimizu S-Pulse
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
4%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Shimizu S-Pulse covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

