Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Cuiaba EC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

0 0
Full Time
Sun 26 Nov 2023 · 21:30 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Cuiaba ECSerie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov Cuiaba EC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
12 Nov Santos FC A 0–0 D
08 Nov RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
02 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 1–0 W
29 Oct CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
12 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
09 Nov EC Bahia A 3–0 W
07 Nov Santos FC A 0–0 D
02 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
29 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Morumbi. Sao Paulo FC are looking to make home advantage count against Cuiaba EC.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Pablo Maia, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 20' It’s high time Antonio Oliveira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Brazil international Jonathan Cafu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' Cuiaba EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' Rikelme has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 152 appearances.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and Cuiaba EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and Cuiaba EC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 60' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Michel Araujo exits the field as Talles Costa enters on 60.
  • 65' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dorival Júnior might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 69' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Lucas Moura trudges off to be replaced by Wellington Rato on 69 minutes.
  • 71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Robert Arboleda on 71.
  • 72' Controversy at the stadium! Robert Arboleda argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Cuiaba EC team. Isidro Pitta is replaced by Wellington Silva on 75 minute.
  • 80' It looks like no one’s ball. Cuiaba EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 85' Fernando Sobral is replacing Jonathan Cafu for the Cuiaba EC side.
  • 90' Robert Arboleda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 25 cards already picked up this season.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Cuiaba EC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Sao Paulo FC or Draw 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC36% Draw34% Cuiaba EC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Cuiaba EC
64%
Sao Paulo FC or Cuiaba EC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC22% Draw59% Cuiaba EC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
5.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
2.6%
3 – 0
2%
3 – 1
1.8%
0 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Cuiaba EC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 21% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 20% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
44%
Cuiaba EC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.