Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Cuiaba EC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

0 0
Full Time
Sun 26 Nov 2023 · 21:30 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Cuiaba ECSerie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov Cuiaba EC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
12 Nov Santos FC A 0–0 D
08 Nov RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
02 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 1–0 W
29 Oct CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
12 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
09 Nov EC Bahia A 3–0 W
07 Nov Santos FC A 0–0 D
02 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
29 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Sao Paulo FC welcome Cuiaba EC for this crunch clash at Morumbi.
  • 5' Robert Arboleda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 25 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' Raniele has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cuiaba EC's shape.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 45' Isidro Pitta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and Cuiaba EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 55' Cuiaba EC is showing some good football. However, Cuiaba EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' Michel Araujo makes way for Talles Costa at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 65' James Rodriguez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cuiaba EC so far.
  • 69' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Lucas Moura by Wellington Rato on 69 minute.
  • 71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Robert Arboleda on 71.
  • 72' Sao Paulo FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 72.
  • 75' Wellington Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Isidro Pitta at the 75 minute mark.
  • 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 85' A tactical swap from Cuiaba ECFernando Sobral on, Jonathan Cafu off on 85 minutes.
  • 90' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Walter has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Cuiaba EC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Sao Paulo FC or Draw 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC36% Draw34% Cuiaba EC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Cuiaba EC
64%
Sao Paulo FC or Cuiaba EC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC22% Draw59% Cuiaba EC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
5.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
2.6%
3 – 0
2%
3 – 1
1.8%
0 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Cuiaba EC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 21% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 20% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
44%
Cuiaba EC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.