Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 0

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 19 Dec 2020 · 05:00 UTC Paloma Mizuho Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shuichi Majima
Referee Koichiro Fukushima
Referee Toshiyuki Tanaka
Referee Osamu nomura

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 21 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2020-12-19 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2020-11-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus 2019-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Nagoya Grampus 2019-04-28 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2018-11-24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Dec	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–0	W
12 Dec	Yokohama FC	H	0–0	D
05 Dec	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–0	W
28 Nov	Ōita FC Trinita	H	0–0	D
21 Nov	Shonan Bellmare	H	3–1	W
15 Nov	FC Tōkyō	H	1–0	W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Dec	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
16 Dec	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–1	L
12 Dec	FC Tōkyō	A	0–1	L
28 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	2–2	D
25 Nov	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–1	D
21 Nov	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3	Position	#4
31	Points	30
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
46	Scored	41
44	Conceded	33
+2	GD	+8
1.72	PPG	1.67
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

5/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/5

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/2

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Yuya Yamagishi	3 G
Takuya Uchida	2 G	1 A
Yudai Kimura	2 G	1 A
Naomichi Ueda	1 G	1 A

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	10 G	4 A
Mutsuki Kato	3 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	3 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — let the football do the talking.
5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hiroyuki Abe, as he is very good at scoring at Paloma Mizuho Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
15' Yuya Asano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Hiroshi Jofuku might look to freshen things up shortly.
25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
30' With 3 assists to his name this season, Shunki Higashi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
35' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yusuke Chajima made 347 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
45' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
50' Mateus is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 451 games and scored 412 goals.
56' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Hiroyuki Abe is replaced by Naoki Maeda on 56 minute.
57' Yuki Nogami is replacing Sho Sasaki for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
62' Yuichi Maruyama has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
63' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Takuji Yonemoto is withdrawn and Joao Schmidt gets his opportunity.
68' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
73' A quiet spell here at Paloma Mizuho Stadium. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
78' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
83' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Ryogo Yamasaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
86' Naoki Maeda puts Nagoya Grampus on the lead.
88' Yusuke Chajima makes way for Yoshifumi Kashiwa at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
89' The crowd applauds Mateus as he leaves the pitch. Shumpei Naruse steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
90' The crowd applauds Toshihiro Aoyama as he leaves the pitch. Hiroya Matsumoto steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nagoya Grampus to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki C ↓ Yuki Nogami 57'
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↓ Hiroya Matsumoto 90'
1
Takuto Hayashi
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Kodai Dohi 90'
8
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Tomoya Fujii 88'
3
Akira Ibayashi
9
Douglas Vieira
23
Hayato Araki
29
Yuya Asano
25
Yusuke Chajima ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 88'

Bench

26
Kodai Dohi ↑ 90'
38
Keisuke Osako
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 57'
30
Kosei Shibasaki
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 88'
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 90'
50
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 88'

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kasper Junker	4
Mateus	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Gakuto Notsuda	2
Mutsuki Kato	2
Akito Suzuki	2
Shuto Nakano	2
Tsukasa Morishima	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2020-12-19 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2020-12-12 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Yokohama FC D 2020-12-05 Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2020-11-28 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Ōita FC Trinita D 2020-11-21 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2020-11-15 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 FC Tōkyō W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2020-12-19 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2020-12-16 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol L 2020-12-12 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2020-11-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2020-11-25 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2020-11-21 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.71 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.47 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus48% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima28%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.18

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

72%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

52%

Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus32% Draw43% Sanfrecce Hiroshima25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

7.4%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 2

6.3%

2 – 0

0 – 0

5.8%

0 – 1

5.3%

3 – 1

4.9%

0 – 2

4.5%

3 – 2

3.7%

1 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	13%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	20%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	17%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

24% ✗

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.