Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Shuichi Majima
- Referee Koichiro Fukushima
- Referee Toshiyuki Tanaka
- Referee Osamu nomura
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Dec | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Nov | Oita FC Trinita | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Nov | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Dec | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Nagoya Grampus have kicked off against Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Takuto Hayashi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Hiroshi Jofuku will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hayao Kawabe made 335 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' Yutaka Yoshida is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
- 35' Ryogo Yamasaki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 40' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Hayao Kawabe scoring 1 goals.
- 45' The 40-year-old Toshihiro Aoyama has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 50' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 55' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
- 56' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Hiroyuki Abe is replaced by Naoki Maeda.
- 57' Yuki Nogami has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sho Sasaki on 57 minute.
- 62' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 63' The whistle greets Takuji Yonemoto as he departs to be replaced by Joao Schmidt.
- 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mitch Langerak suffering a number of foals already.
- 73' A quiet spell here at Paloma Mizuho Stadium. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 83' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
- 86' The Japan Naoki Maeda breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 1-0!
- 88' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Yusuke Chajima trudges off to be replaced by Yoshifumi Kashiwa on 88 minutes.
- 89' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Mateus is withdrawn and Shumpei Naruse gets his opportunity.
- 90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hiroya Matsumoto is hanging Toshihiro Aoyama on the field on 90 minute.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Hiroyuki Abe ↓ Naoki Maeda 56'
-
2
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Joao Schmidt 63'
- 1
- 23
- 34
- 15
- 17
- 3
- 4
- 27
-
16
Mateus ↓ Shumpei Naruse 89'
Bench
-
8
Joao Schmidt ↑ 63'
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 56'
- 21
- 13
- 6
-
26
Shumpei Naruse ↑ 89'
- 24
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Sho Sasaki C ↓ Yuki Nogami 57'
- 6
- 1
-
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Kodai Dohi 90'
- 8
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Tomoya Fujii 88'
- 3
- 9
- 23
- 29
- 25
Bench
-
26
Kodai Dohi ↑ 90'
- 38
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 57'
- 30
-
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 88'
-
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 90'
-
50
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 88'
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 4 |
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 1 |
| Jo | 1 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2020-12-19
Nagoya Grampus
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2020-12-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Kashiwa Reysol
L
2020-12-12
FC Tōkyō
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2020-11-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2020-11-25
Shonan Bellmare
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2020-11-21
Cerezo Osaka FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
72%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
52%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

