Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Shuichi Majima
- Referee Koichiro Fukushima
- Referee Toshiyuki Tanaka
- Referee Osamu nomura
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Dec | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Nov | Ōita FC Trinita | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Nov | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Dec | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Sanfrecce Hiroshima get us underway at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Douglas Vieira suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Hiroshi Jofuku will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' It’s high time Hiroshi Jofuku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' Hayao Kawabe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
- 35' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 55' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' Naoki Maeda is replacing Hiroyuki Abe for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 57' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Yuki Nogami comes on to replace Sho Sasaki.
- 62' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 62 minutes.
- 63' Joao Schmidt has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takuji Yonemoto on 63 minute.
- 68' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 339 games and scored 435 goals.
- 73' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 78' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 83' Tomoya Fujii is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
- 86' What composure from Naoki Maeda! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 88' Yoshifumi Kashiwa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yusuke Chajima on 88 minute.
- 89' Mateus makes way for Shumpei Naruse at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 90' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 90 minute. Toshihiro Aoyama leaves to be changed by Hiroya Matsumoto.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Hiroyuki Abe ↓ Naoki Maeda 56'
-
2
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Joao Schmidt 63'
- 1
- 23
- 34
- 15
- 17
- 3
- 4
- 27
-
16
Mateus ↓ Shumpei Naruse 89'
Bench
-
8
Joao Schmidt ↑ 63'
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 56'
- 21
- 13
- 6
-
26
Shumpei Naruse ↑ 89'
- 24
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Sho Sasaki C ↓ Yuki Nogami 57'
- 6
- 1
-
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Kodai Dohi 90'
- 8
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Tomoya Fujii 88'
- 3
- 9
- 23
- 29
- 25
Bench
-
26
Kodai Dohi ↑ 90'
- 38
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 57'
- 30
-
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 88'
-
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 90'
-
50
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 88'
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 4 |
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2020-12-19
Nagoya Grampus
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2020-12-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Kashiwa Reysol
L
2020-12-12
FC Tōkyō
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2020-11-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2020-11-25
Shonan Bellmare
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2020-11-21
Cerezo Osaka FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
72%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
52%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

