Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Shuichi Majima
- Referee Koichiro Fukushima
- Referee Toshiyuki Tanaka
- Referee Osamu nomura
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Dec | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Nov | Oita FC Trinita | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Nov | FC Tokyo | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Dec | FC Tokyo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Paloma Mizuho Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 50% of all matches.
- 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Mitch Langerak has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 45' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 50' Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 55' Hiroyuki Abe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 56' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Naoki Maeda is hanging Hiroyuki Abe on the field on 56 minute.
- 57' Yuki Nogami has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sho Sasaki on 57 minute.
- 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 63' Joao Schmidt is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takuji Yonemoto at the 63 minute mark.
- 68' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 73' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Hayao Kawabe scoring 1 goals.
- 78' Yusuke Chajima has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 83' Supporters expect more eagerness from Douglas Vieira, as he is very good at scoring at Paloma Mizuho Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 86' GOAL! Naoki Maeda scores on 86. Assisted by Ryogo Yamasaki
- 88' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Yusuke Chajima is withdrawn and Yoshifumi Kashiwa gets his opportunity.
- 89' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Shumpei Naruse on, Mateus off on 89 minutes.
- 90' Hiroya Matsumoto is replacing Toshihiro Aoyama for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Hiroyuki Abe ↓ Naoki Maeda 56'
-
2
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Joao Schmidt 63'
- 1
- 23
- 34
- 15
- 17
- 3
- 4
- 27
-
16
Mateus ↓ Shumpei Naruse 89'
Bench
-
8
Joao Schmidt ↑ 63'
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 56'
- 21
- 13
- 6
-
26
Shumpei Naruse ↑ 89'
- 24
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Sho Sasaki C ↓ Yuki Nogami 57'
- 6
- 1
-
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Kodai Dohi 90'
- 8
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Tomoya Fujii 88'
- 3
- 9
- 23
- 29
- 25
Bench
-
26
Kodai Dohi ↑ 90'
- 38
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 57'
- 30
-
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 88'
-
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 90'
-
50
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 88'
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Mateus | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 1 |
| Ezequiel | 1 |
| Mitch Langerak | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2020-12-19
Nagoya Grampus
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2020-12-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Kashiwa Reysol
L
2020-12-12
FC Tokyo
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2020-11-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2020-11-25
Shonan Bellmare
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2020-11-21
Cerezo Osaka FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
72%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
52%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

