Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2019 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Koji Murakami
- Referee Minoru Tojo
- Referee Mikiya Nishimura
- Referee Junichi Kabasawa
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | Jubilo Iwata | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | Oita FC Trinita | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–5 | L |
| 18 Aug | Matsumoto Yamaga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kicked off against Nagoya Grampus. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' Yutaka Yoshida is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 20' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 33' What a strike from Yuki Nogami! The score is 1-0.
- 38' Keisuke Osako needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shinnosuke Nakatani made 439 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 44' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Naoki Maeda makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 49' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 54' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 57' Douglas Vieira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daiki Watari on 57 minute.
- 57' The referee calls foul for Takuji Yonemoto. He receives a Yellow card.
- 62' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Tsukasa Morishima scoring 1 goals.
- 67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 72' Japan international Tsukasa Morishima has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 74' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Tsukasa Morishima by Kohei Shimizu on 74 minute.
- 77' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 77 minute. Naoki Maeda leaves to be changed by Shuhei Akasaki.
- 82' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Hayao Kawabe exits the field as Kosei Shibasaki enters on 82.
- 87' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hayato Araki is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 44
- 19
- 6
- 38
- 2
- 18
- 14
- 15
-
40
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Kosei Shibasaki 82'
-
16
Daiki Watari ↓ Douglas Vieira 57'
- 23
Bench
- 1
-
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↑ 82'
- 24
- 13
-
20
Douglas Vieira ↑ 57'
- 3
-
27
Kohei Shimizu ↑ 74'
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 36
- 2
- 1
- 23
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↓ Shuhei Akasaki 77'
- 17
- 29
- 10
- 7
- 20
Bench
-
32
Shuhei Akasaki ↑ 77'
- 5
- 16
- 34
- 6
- 9
- 21
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Mateus | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Mitch Langerak | 1 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 1 |
| Douglas Vieira | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2019-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Nagoya Grampus
D
2019-09-14
Yokohama F·Marinos
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2019-08-31
Jubilo Iwata
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2019-08-24
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Oita FC Trinita
D
2019-08-17
FC Tōkyō
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2019-08-10
Gamba Osaka
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.08
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
72%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
51%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

