Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2019 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2019
Sat 28 Sep 2019 · 10:00 UTC HT 45+4' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Koji Murakami
  • Referee Minoru Tojo
  • Referee Mikiya Nishimura
  • Referee Junichi Kabasawa

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 1–1 D
14 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–3 L
31 Aug Jubilo Iwata A 2–0 W
24 Aug Oita FC Trinita H 0–0 D
17 Aug FC Tōkyō A 1–0 W
10 Aug Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
13 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–3 L
30 Aug FC Tōkyō H 1–2 L
24 Aug Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–5 L
18 Aug Matsumoto Yamaga FC A 1–1 D
10 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus
#4 Position #3
30 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 46
33 Conceded 44
+8 GD +2
1.67 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kicked off against Nagoya Grampus. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Yutaka Yoshida is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
  • 20' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' What a strike from Yuki Nogami! The score is 1-0.
  • 38' Keisuke Osako needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shinnosuke Nakatani made 439 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 44' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Naoki Maeda makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 49' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 54' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 57' Douglas Vieira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daiki Watari on 57 minute.
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Takuji Yonemoto. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 62' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Tsukasa Morishima scoring 1 goals.
  • 67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 72' Japan international Tsukasa Morishima has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 74' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Tsukasa Morishima by Kohei Shimizu on 74 minute.
  • 77' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 77 minute. Naoki Maeda leaves to be changed by Shuhei Akasaki.
  • 82' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Hayao Kawabe exits the field as Kosei Shibasaki enters on 82.
  • 87' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hayato Araki is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.08 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima49% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
72%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
51%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima37% Draw40% Nagoya Grampus23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 20% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
22%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.