Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at EDION Stadium.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Shinji Ochi
- Referee Haruhiro Otsuka
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Oct | Vegalta Sendai | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Oct | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Vegalta Sendai | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 335 games and scored 427 goals.
- 10' A quiet spell here at EDION Stadium. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 16' Leandro Pereira has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 16 minutes.
- 21' Shinnosuke Nakatani has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 26' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Massimo Ficcadenti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 36' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 40' Toshihiro Aoyama catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 40.
- 45' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 48' Ryotaro Ishida has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mu Kanazaki on 48 minute.
- 53' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 57' Takuji Yonemoto was booked on 57.
- 62' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 67' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 69' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Shumpei Naruse is replaced by Oh Jaeseok.
- 74' Yoshifumi Kashiwa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yusuke Chajima at the 74 minute mark.
- 79' What an equalizer from Mitch Langerak!
- 82' Kazuya Miyahara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yutaka Yoshida on 82 minute.
- 84' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Shunki Higashi is replaced by Akira Ibayashi on 84 minute.
- 87' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Ezequiel on, Toshihiro Aoyama off on 87 minutes.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
39
Leandro Pereira ↓ Ryo Nagai 84'
- 19
-
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↓ Ezequiel 87'
- 1
- 2
- 10
- 8
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Akira Ibayashi 84'
- 23
-
29
Yuya Asano ↓ Douglas Vieira 74'
- 25
Bench
- 26
-
14
Ezequiel ↑ 87'
- 38
-
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 74'
-
3
Akira Ibayashi ↑ 84'
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 74'
-
20
Ryo Nagai ↑ 84'
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
2
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Joao Schmidt 82'
- 1
- 23
-
44
Mu Kanazaki ↓ Ryotaro Ishida 48'
- 15
- 3
-
26
Shumpei Naruse ↓ Oh Jaeseok 69'
- 4
-
27
Yuki Soma ↓ Naoki Maeda 69'
- 16
Bench
-
8
Joao Schmidt ↑ 82'
-
34
Oh Jaeseok ↑ 69'
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 69'
- 21
- 13
-
6
Kazuya Miyahara ↑ 82'
-
24
Ryotaro Ishida ↑ 48'
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Mateus | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 1 |
| Ezequiel | 1 |
| Mitch Langerak | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2020-11-11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Nagoya Grampus
W
2020-11-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
D
2020-10-31
Vegalta Sendai
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2020-10-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–1
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2020-10-24
Kashima Antlers
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2020-10-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Vissel Kobe
W
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
76%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
47%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
3.5%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 21% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

