Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 09:00 UTC Kashima Soccer Stadium 18,380 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuma Suzuki 13' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Takuto Okabe
  • Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
  • Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
02 Sep Shonan Bellmare A 2–2 D
26 Aug Albirex Niigata H 2–0 W
19 Aug Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
13 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
06 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
02 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 3–0 W
26 Aug Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
20 Aug Yokohama FC A 1–0 W
12 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
06 Aug FC Tōkyō H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Kashima Antlers Cerezo Osaka FC
#11 Position #2
45 Points 31
18 Played 18
15 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
40 Scored 48
20 Conceded 38
+20 GD +10
2.50 PPG 1.72
83% Win % 61%

Key Stats

35% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/
76+
6/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Kashima Soccer Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Akio Kogiku will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 13' What composure from Yuma Suzuki! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 18' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 23' Kashima Antlers currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' It’s gonna be a card for Diego Pituca.
  • 27' That is a card for Kashima Antlers. Daiki Iwamasa will be fuming at that decision.
  • 32' Kashima Antlers seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 37' Kashima Antlers are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Haruki Arai made 369 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Capixaba is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 59' Kashima Antlers receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
  • 62' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Satoki Uejo is withdrawn and Ryo Watanabe gets his opportunity.
  • 67' Yuki Kakita has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 8 cards already picked up this season.
  • 72' Kashima Antlers manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gaku Shibasaki is hanging Yuta Matsumura on the field on 72 minute.
  • 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Arthur Caike on 75.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Hidehiro Sugai. He replaces Rikuto Hirose on 77 minute.
  • 80' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FCHaruki Arai on, Hinata Kida off on 80 minutes.
  • 84' Matej Jonjic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryosuke Shindo at the 84 minute mark.
  • 86' Another substitution for Kashima Antlers to replace Koki Anzai by Gen Shoji on 86 minute.
  • 90' Hidehiro Sugai catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • Kashima Antlers celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.04 Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Kashima Antlers to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kashima Antlers62% Draw22% Cerezo Osaka FC16%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw
84%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
38%
Kashima Antlers or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kashima Antlers44% Draw42% Cerezo Osaka FC14%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.6%
3 – 0
7%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap Kashima Antlers covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 19% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 23% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
40%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.