Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sun 14 Mar 2021 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45+4' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Match Details

  • Referee Satoshi Karakami
  • Referee Takeshi Suhara
  • Referee Yosuke Kubota
  • Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
  • Referee Ryo Tanimoto

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Sagan Tosu FC H 0–0 D
10 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
06 Mar Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
27 Feb Kashima Antlers A 3–1 W
19 Dec Gamba Osaka A 2–0 W
16 Dec Vegalta Sendai H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–0 D
10 Mar Vegalta Sendai H 5–0 W
06 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–0 W
27 Feb Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
19 Dec Ōita FC Trinita H 2–2 D
16 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
Se-hun Oh 2 G
Koya Kitagawa 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Shimizu S-Pulse welcome Sagan Tosu FC for this crunch clash at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
  • 5' Japan international Ayumu Ohata has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' The 25-year-old Daiki Matsuoka has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Shimizu S-Pulse is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eduardo, as he is very good at scoring at IAI Stadium Nihondaira with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 45' Shimizu S-Pulse is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 50' Carlinhos, a Brazil forward, has 9 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 52' The referee calls foul for Teruki Hara. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 57' Shinya Nakano was booked on 57.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Daichi Hayashi is replaced by Fuchi Honda on 62 minute.
  • 64' Ryo Takeuchi gets the nod from Shimizu S-Pulse. He replaces Renato and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 69' Shimizu S-Pulse are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Keita Nakamura. He replaces Yosuke Kawai on 72 minute.
  • 73' The whistle greets Thiago Santana as he departs to be replaced by Akira Disaro.
  • 78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 83' Kenta Nishizawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Carlinhos at the 83 minute mark.
  • 88' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shimizu S-Pulse must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 89' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 89 minute. Keita Yamashita leaves to be changed by Noriyoshi Sakai.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Shimizu S-Pulse or Sagan Tosu FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Shimizu S-Pulse35% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
66%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
65%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Sagan Tosu FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse23% Draw53% Sagan Tosu FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
11%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 20% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.