Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroshi Yamauchi
- Referee Masuya Ueda
- Referee Yosuke Kubota
- Referee Noriyuki Suzuki
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–3 | L |
| 03 Oct | Ōita FC Trinita | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
| Se-hun Oh | 2 G |
| Koya Kitagawa | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yusuke Goto made 105 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Daiki Miya is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 27' Yugo Tatsuta picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 37' Brazil international Valdo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shimizu S-Pulse needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' Fresh legs for Shimizu S-Pulse! Ryo Okui comes on to replace Hwang Seokho.
- 51' Poor challenge from Yasufumi Nishimura. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kaisei Ishii suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Tiago Alves is replaced by Daichi Hayashi on 60 minute.
- 63' Shimizu S-Pulse ring the changes. Yuito Suzuki has done his job and it is now time for Yosuke Kawai to step up.
- 68' A quiet spell here at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 71' A stunning finish from Valdo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 73' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Cho Donggeon is replaced by Renzo Lopez on 73 minute.
- 78' Yuto Uchida is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
- 80' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Tomoya Koyamatsu is withdrawn and Takeshi Kanamori gets his opportunity.
- 81' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Tomoya Koyamatsu has done his job and it is now time for Takeshi Kanamori to step up.
- 82' Mitsunari Musaka is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yusuke Goto at the 82 minute mark.
- 85' GOAL! Daichi Hayashi fires home to make it 1-1!
- 90' The Shimizu S-Pulse manager makes a substitution. Yasufumi Nishimura departs to be replaced by Hikaru Naruoka.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 11
- 2
-
3
Hwang Seokho ↓ Ryo Okui 46'
- 28
-
14
Yusuke Goto ↓ Mitsunari Musaka 82'
- 22
- 16
- 31
- 10
-
37
Yuito Suzuki ↓ Yosuke Kawai 63'
Bench
- 39
-
17
Yosuke Kawai ↑ 63'
- 30
- 15
-
7
Mitsunari Musaka ↑ 82'
-
21
Ryo Okui ↑ 46'
-
40
Hikaru Naruoka ↑ 90'
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
50
Ryang Yong Gi ↓ Kaisei Ishii 73'
- 18
- 4
-
19
Cho Donggeon ↓ Renzo Lopez 73'
- 38
- 2
- 30
-
9
Tiago Alves ↓ Daichi Hayashi 60'
- 6
- 22
- 28
Bench
- 13
-
33
Kaisei Ishii ↑ 73'
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 80'
- 15
- 1
-
16
Daichi Hayashi ↑ 60'
-
20
Renzo Lopez ↑ 73'
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thiago Santana | 3 |
| Douglas | 3 |
| Riki Harakawa | 3 |
| Yuto Iwasaki | 2 |
| Fernando Torres | 2 |
| Carlinhos | 1 |
| Ahn Yongwoo | 1 |
| Daichi Hayashi | 1 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Shimizu S-Pulse or Sagan Tosu FC 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
70%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
59%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Sagan Tosu FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

