Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Shimizu S-Pulse

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 18 Oct 2020 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45+3' · FT 45+5'

Yugo Tatsuta 27' Y

Yasufumi Nishimura 51' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hiroshi Yamauchi
Referee Masuya Ueda
Referee Yosuke Kubota
Referee Noriyuki Suzuki
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 12 games · Avg 2.6 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-18 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-07-22 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2019-12-07 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Shimizu S-Pulse 2018-08-01 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
14 Oct	FC Tōkyō	A	1–3	L
10 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–3	L
03 Oct	Ōita FC Trinita	A	1–2	L
26 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–3	L
23 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–1	D
14 Oct	Kashima Antlers	H	0–2	L
10 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–1	L
07 Oct	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L
03 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

8% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/4

61-75

4/6

76+

1/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

Se-hun Oh	2 G
Koya Kitagawa	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Shimizu S-Pulse launch into their encounter with Sagan Tosu FC.
5' Kaisei Ishii has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
10' Shimizu S-Pulse are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shimizu S-Pulse must find a spark to ignite this game.
20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
25' Valdo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 238 appearances.
27' It’s a booking for Shimizu S-Pulse player. Yugo Tatsuta gets a Yellow card.
32' Renato needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
37' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yasufumi Nishimura made 380 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
46' Hwang Seokho makes way for Ryo Okui at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
51' A moment of madness from Yasufumi Nishimura on 51 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Shimizu S-Pulse will be frustrated.
56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Shimizu S-Pulse side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
60' The whistle greets Tiago Alves as he departs to be replaced by Daichi Hayashi.
63' Shimizu S-Pulse make a change. Yuito Suzuki trudges off to be replaced by Yosuke Kawai on 63 minutes.
68' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
71' Valdo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
73' Renzo Lopez gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Cho Donggeon and will look to change the dynamic.
78' The energy levels are beginning to show. Myung-Hwi Kim might look to freshen things up shortly.
80' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Takeshi Kanamori on, Tomoya Koyamatsu off on 80 minutes.
81' Takeshi Kanamori has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomoya Koyamatsu on 81 minute.
82' Mitsunari Musaka is replacing Yusuke Goto for the Shimizu S-Pulse side.
85' Daichi Hayashi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
90' A change in the Shimizu S-Pulse ranks — Yasufumi Nishimura exits the field as Hikaru Naruoka enters on 90.
The points are shared — Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Sagan Tosu FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

5
Valdo
11
Dutra Junior
2
Yugo Tatsuta C
3
Hwang Seokho ↓ Ryo Okui 46'
28
Yasufumi Nishimura ↓ Hikaru Naruoka 90'
14
Yusuke Goto ↓ Mitsunari Musaka 82'
22
Renato
16
Kenta Nishizawa
31
Togo Umeda
10
Carlinhos
37
Yuito Suzuki ↓ Yosuke Kawai 63'

Bench

39
Takuo Okubo
17
Yosuke Kawai ↑ 63'
30
Shota Kaneko
15
Takashi Kanai
7
Mitsunari Musaka ↑ 82'
21
Ryo Okui ↑ 46'
40
Hikaru Naruoka ↑ 90'

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

50
Ryang Yong Gi ↓ Kaisei Ishii 73'
18
Yohei Takaoka C
4
Riki Harakawa
19
Cho Donggeon ↓ Renzo Lopez 73'
38
Daiki Miya
2
Teruki Hara
30
Yuta Higuchi
9
Tiago Alves ↓ Daichi Hayashi 60'
6
Yuto Uchida
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 80'
28
Ryoya Morishita

Bench

13
Yuzo Kobayashi
33
Kaisei Ishii ↑ 73'
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 80'
15
Park Jeongsu
1
Tatsuya Morita
16
Daichi Hayashi ↑ 60'
20
Renzo Lopez ↑ 73'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Riki Harakawa	3
Thiago Santana	3
Douglas	3
Yuto Iwasaki	2
Fernando Torres	2
Hideto Takahashi	1
Koya Kitagawa	1
Renato	1

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2020-10-18 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-10-14 FC Tōkyō 3–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2020-10-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2020-10-03 Ōita FC Trinita 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2020-09-26 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2020-09-23 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-10-18 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-10-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Kashima Antlers L 2020-10-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-30 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.35 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.19 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Shimizu S-Pulse or Sagan Tosu FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse41% Draw28% Sagan Tosu FC31%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.54

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

70%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

59%

Shimizu S-Pulse or Sagan Tosu FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Shimizu S-Pulse28% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

10%

1 – 0

9.6%

0 – 1

8.3%

2 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 0

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

3 – 1

3.7%

3 – 0

3.1%

1 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	21%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	18%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.