Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Shimizu S-Pulse

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 18 Oct 2020 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45+3' · FT 45+5'

Yugo Tatsuta 27' Y

Yasufumi Nishimura 51' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Hiroshi Yamauchi
Referee Masuya Ueda
Referee Yosuke Kubota
Referee Noriyuki Suzuki
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 12 games · Avg 2.6 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-18 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-07-22 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2019-12-07 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Shimizu S-Pulse 2018-08-01 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
14 Oct	FC Tōkyō	A	1–3	L
10 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–3	L
03 Oct	Oita FC Trinita	A	1–2	L
26 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–3	L
23 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–1	D
14 Oct	Kashima Antlers	H	0–2	L
10 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–1	L
07 Oct	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L
03 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

0-15

2/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/2

46-60

1/1

61-75

4/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
10' Shimizu S-Pulse are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
15' Shimizu S-Pulse is showing some good football. However, Shimizu S-Pulse are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
20' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
25' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
27' The referee has no hesitation. Yugo Tatsuta is booked for Shimizu S-Pulse — Yellow card on 27.
32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shimizu S-Pulse that had 367 games and scored 286 goals.
37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
46' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-Pulse — Ryo Okui on, Hwang Seokho off on 46 minutes.
51' That is a Yellow card for Shimizu S-Pulse. Yasufumi Nishimura will be fuming at that decision.
56' Shimizu S-Pulse have won 286 goals from 367 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
60' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Tiago Alves is replaced by Daichi Hayashi.
63' The supporters are chanting for Yosuke Kawai. He replaces Yuito Suzuki on 63 minute.
68' Both keepers have barely been tested. Shimizu S-Pulse and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
71' Magnificent from Valdo! That is 10 goals in 238 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
73' Renzo Lopez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cho Donggeon on 73 minute.
78' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 78.
80' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Tomoya Koyamatsu trudges off to be replaced by Takeshi Kanamori on 80 minutes.
81' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Tomoya Koyamatsu is withdrawn and Takeshi Kanamori gets his opportunity.
82' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-Pulse — Mitsunari Musaka on, Yusuke Goto off on 82 minutes.
85' A stunning finish from Daichi Hayashi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
90' It is a substitution in Shimizu S-Pulse team. Yasufumi Nishimura is replaced by Hikaru Naruoka on 90 minute.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

5
Valdo
11
Dutra Junior
2
Yugo Tatsuta C
3
Hwang Seokho ↓ Ryo Okui 46'
28
Yasufumi Nishimura ↓ Hikaru Naruoka 90'
14
Yusuke Goto ↓ Mitsunari Musaka 82'
22
Renato
16
Kenta Nishizawa
31
Togo Umeda
10
Carlinhos
37
Yuito Suzuki ↓ Yosuke Kawai 63'

Bench

39
Takuo Okubo
17
Yosuke Kawai ↑ 63'
30
Shota Kaneko
15
Takashi Kanai
7
Mitsunari Musaka ↑ 82'
21
Ryo Okui ↑ 46'
40
Hikaru Naruoka ↑ 90'

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

50
Ryang Yong Gi ↓ Kaisei Ishii 73'
18
Yohei Takaoka C
4
Riki Harakawa
19
Cho Donggeon ↓ Renzo Lopez 73'
38
Daiki Miya
2
Teruki Hara
30
Yuta Higuchi
9
Tiago Alves ↓ Daichi Hayashi 60'
6
Yuto Uchida
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 80'
28
Ryoya Morishita

Bench

13
Yuzo Kobayashi
33
Kaisei Ishii ↑ 73'
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 80'
15
Park Jeongsu
1
Tatsuya Morita
16
Daichi Hayashi ↑ 60'
20
Renzo Lopez ↑ 73'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Riki Harakawa	3
Thiago Santana	3
Douglas	3
Fernando Torres	2
Yuto Iwasaki	2
Douglas	1
Yoichi Naganuma	1
Yuki Horigome	1

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2020-10-18 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-10-14 FC Tōkyō 3–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2020-10-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2020-10-03 Oita FC Trinita 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2020-09-26 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2020-09-23 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-10-18 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-10-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Kashima Antlers L 2020-10-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-30 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.35 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.19 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Shimizu S-Pulse or Sagan Tosu FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse41% Draw28% Sagan Tosu FC31%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.54

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

70%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

59%

Shimizu S-Pulse or Sagan Tosu FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Shimizu S-Pulse28% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

10%

1 – 0

9.6%

0 – 1

8.3%

2 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 0

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

3 – 1

3.7%

3 – 0

3.1%

1 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	21%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	18%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.