Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 3 Oct 2020 · 08:00 UTC EDION Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+5'

Yuki Nogami 27' Y

Y 51' Fuchi Honda

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at EDION Stadium.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shinji Ochi
Referee Yudai Yamamoto
Referee Yusuke Hamamoto
Referee Dai Matsumoto

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-07-12 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-07-13 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-05-17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-09-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–0	W
27 Sep	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L
23 Sep	Oita FC Trinita	A	2–0	W
19 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
13 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–5	L
09 Sep	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	4–1	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	FC Tokyo	H	3–0	W
23 Sep	Vissel Kobe	A	3–4	L
19 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	1–3	L
16 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at EDION Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
15' The 32-year-old Riki Harakawa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
21' The deadlock is broken! Yuya Asano gets on the scoresheet on 21 minutes.
26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
27' Sanfrecce Hiroshima receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 27.
32' A quiet spell here at EDION Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
37' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
42' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
46' What composure from Shunki Higashi! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
46' Riki Harakawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryang Yong Gi at the 46 minute mark.
51' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Fuchi Honda on 51 minutes.
56' GOAL! Toshihiro Aoyama scores on 56. Assisted by Yusuke Chajima
61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
66' The energy levels are beginning to show. Hiroshi Jofuku might look to freshen things up shortly.
67' The supporters are chanting for Yoshifumi Kashiwa. He replaces Yusuke Chajima on 67 minute.
72' It’s high time Hiroshi Jofuku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
77' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
80' The whistle greets Ryo Nagai as he departs to be replaced by Ezequiel.
81' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Tomoya Koyamatsu is replaced by Yohei Toyoda.
86' Leandro Pereira is replacing Tsukasa Morishima for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Sanfrecce Hiroshima take all three points.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki C
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↓ Kodai Dohi 80'
1
Takuto Hayashi
2
Yuki Nogami
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Leandro Pereira 86'
8
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
23
Hayato Araki
20
Ryo Nagai ↓ Ezequiel 80'
29
Yuya Asano ↓ Douglas Vieira 67'
25
Yusuke Chajima ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 67'

Bench

26
Kodai Dohi ↑ 80'
39
Leandro Pereira ↑ 86'
14
Ezequiel ↑ 80'
38
Keisuke Osako
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 67'
3
Akira Ibayashi
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 67'

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

18
Yohei Takaoka
4
Riki Harakawa ↑ 46'
11
Yohei Toyoda ↑ 81'
7
Takeshi Kanamori
2
Teruki Hara ↑ 46'
23
Fuchi Honda ↑ 46'
28
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 46'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Taishi Matsumoto	1
Yuji Takahashi	1
Taisei Miyashiro	1
Yuki Ohashi	1
Yuji Takahashi	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-09-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2020-09-23 Oita FC Trinita 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2020-09-19 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2020-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 5–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2020-09-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Shimizu S-Pulse W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-30 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-09-27 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 FC Tokyo W 2020-09-23 Vissel Kobe 4–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-19 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2020-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.65 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.94 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima54% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC20%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.59

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

80%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

46%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Sagan Tosu FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima37% Draw47% Sagan Tosu FC16%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

1 – 0

11.5%

2 – 0

10%

0 – 0

9.5%

2 – 1

9.3%

0 – 1

3 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

5.1%

2 – 2

4.4%

0 – 2

3.2%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	24%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.