Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 3 Oct 2020 · 08:00 UTC EDION Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+5'

Yuki Nogami 27' Y

Y 51' Fuchi Honda

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at EDION Stadium.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Shinji Ochi
Referee Yudai Yamamoto
Referee Yusuke Hamamoto
Referee Dai Matsumoto

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-07-12 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-07-13 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-05-17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-09-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–0	W
27 Sep	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L
23 Sep	Oita FC Trinita	A	2–0	W
19 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
13 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–5	L
09 Sep	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	4–1	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	FC Tōkyō	H	3–0	W
23 Sep	Vissel Kobe	A	3–4	L
19 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–3	L
16 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Sagan Tosu FC get us underway at EDION Stadium.
5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
20' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
21' GOAL! Yuya Asano scores on 21. Assisted by Yuki Nogami
26' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shunki Higashi suffering a number of foals already.
27' Yuki Nogami picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
32' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
42' Japan international Kaisei Ishii has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
46' What a moment for Shunki Higashi! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
46' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Ryang Yong Gi exits the field as Riki Harakawa enters on 46.
51' Fuchi Honda is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
56' What a strike from Toshihiro Aoyama! The score is 3-0.
61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
66' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
67' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Yusuke Chajima by Yoshifumi Kashiwa on 67 minute.
72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
77' Yuzo Kobayashi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
80' The crowd applauds Ryo Nagai as he leaves the pitch. Ezequiel steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
81' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Tomoya Koyamatsu trudges off to be replaced by Yohei Toyoda on 81 minutes.
86' The supporters are chanting for Leandro Pereira. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima on 86 minute.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki C
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↓ Kodai Dohi 80'
1
Takuto Hayashi
2
Yuki Nogami
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Leandro Pereira 86'
8
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
23
Hayato Araki
20
Ryo Nagai ↓ Ezequiel 80'
29
Yuya Asano ↓ Douglas Vieira 67'
25
Yusuke Chajima ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 67'

Bench

26
Kodai Dohi ↑ 80'
39
Leandro Pereira ↑ 86'
14
Ezequiel ↑ 80'
38
Keisuke Osako
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 67'
3
Akira Ibayashi
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 67'

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

18
Yohei Takaoka
4
Riki Harakawa ↑ 46'
11
Yohei Toyoda ↑ 81'
7
Takeshi Kanamori
2
Teruki Hara ↑ 46'
23
Fuchi Honda ↑ 46'
28
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 46'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Taishi Matsumoto	1
Yuji Takahashi	1
Taisei Miyashiro	1
Yuki Ohashi	1
Yuji Takahashi	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-09-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2020-09-23 Oita FC Trinita 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2020-09-19 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2020-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 5–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2020-09-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Shimizu S-Pulse W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-30 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-09-27 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 FC Tōkyō W 2020-09-23 Vissel Kobe 4–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-19 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2020-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.65 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.94 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima54% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC20%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.59

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

80%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

46%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Sagan Tosu FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima37% Draw47% Sagan Tosu FC16%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

1 – 0

11.5%

2 – 0

10%

0 – 0

9.5%

2 – 1

9.3%

0 – 1

3 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

5.1%

2 – 2

4.4%

0 – 2

3.2%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	24%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.