Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 3 Oct 2020 · 08:00 UTC EDION Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+5'

Yuki Nogami 27' Y

Y 51' Fuchi Honda

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at EDION Stadium.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shinji Ochi
Referee Yudai Yamamoto
Referee Yusuke Hamamoto
Referee Dai Matsumoto

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-07-12 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-07-13 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-05-17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-09-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–0	W
27 Sep	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L
23 Sep	Ōita FC Trinita	A	2–0	W
19 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
13 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–5	L
09 Sep	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	4–1	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	FC Tokyo	H	3–0	W
23 Sep	Vissel Kobe	A	3–4	L
19 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	1–3	L
16 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at EDION Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
15' A quiet spell here at EDION Stadium. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
20' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
21' Yuya Asano makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
26' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sho Sasaki, as he is very good at scoring at EDION Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
27' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Yuki Nogami gets a Yellow card.
32' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
37' Yuta Higuchi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
46' Shunki Higashi adds to his 0 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
46' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Riki Harakawa on, Ryang Yong Gi off on 46 minutes.
51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Fuchi Honda.
56' Toshihiro Aoyama adds to his 0 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
61' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
66' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Hiroshi Jofuku will be considering his options from the bench.
67' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 67 minute. Yusuke Chajima leaves to be changed by Yoshifumi Kashiwa.
72' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
77' Daiki Matsuoka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
80' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Ryo Nagai exits the field as Ezequiel enters on 80.
81' Yohei Toyoda gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Tomoya Koyamatsu and will look to change the dynamic.
86' Leandro Pereira gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima and will look to change the dynamic.
With this win, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki C
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↓ Kodai Dohi 80'
1
Takuto Hayashi
2
Yuki Nogami
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Leandro Pereira 86'
8
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
23
Hayato Araki
20
Ryo Nagai ↓ Ezequiel 80'
29
Yuya Asano ↓ Douglas Vieira 67'
25
Yusuke Chajima ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 67'

Bench

26
Kodai Dohi ↑ 80'
39
Leandro Pereira ↑ 86'
14
Ezequiel ↑ 80'
38
Keisuke Osako
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 67'
3
Akira Ibayashi
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 67'

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

18
Yohei Takaoka
4
Riki Harakawa ↑ 46'
11
Yohei Toyoda ↑ 81'
7
Takeshi Kanamori
2
Teruki Hara ↑ 46'
23
Fuchi Honda ↑ 46'
28
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 46'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Hayato Araki	1
Takumu Kawamura	1
Toshihiro Aoyama	1
Shunki Higashi	1
Tsukasa Shiotani	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-09-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2020-09-23 Ōita FC Trinita 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2020-09-19 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2020-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 5–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2020-09-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Shimizu S-Pulse W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-30 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-09-27 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 FC Tokyo W 2020-09-23 Vissel Kobe 4–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-19 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2020-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.65 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.94 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima54% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC20%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.59

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

80%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

46%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Sagan Tosu FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima37% Draw47% Sagan Tosu FC16%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

1 – 0

11.5%

2 – 0

10%

0 – 0

9.5%

2 – 1

9.3%

0 – 1

3 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

5.1%

2 – 2

4.4%

0 – 2

3.2%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	24%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.