Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2019 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2019

Sagan Tosu FC

0 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 13 Jul 2019 · 10:30 UTC HT 45+1' · FT 45+5'

Y 51' Yuki Nogami

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League .

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tomohiro Inoue
Referee Haruhiro Otsuka
Referee Akihito Kawasaki
Referee Tetsuro Yoshida

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2019-07-13 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-05-17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-09-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2018-04-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-03-05 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Jul	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–2	L
07 Jul	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–0	D
30 Jun	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	4–2	W
22 Jun	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–3	L
15 Jun	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
01 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–1	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–0	W
06 Jul	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–1	D
30 Jun	Kashima Antlers	A	2–2	D
14 Jun	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–0	W
01 Jun	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–1	L
26 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	4–0	W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/2

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	10 G	4 A
Mutsuki Kato	3 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	3 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Sagan Tosu FC host Sanfrecce Hiroshima — let the battle begin!
5' Yohei Toyoda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 456 goals from 348 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
20' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hideto Takahashi made 279 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
45' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
50' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
51' That is a Yellow card for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Yuki Nogami will be fuming at that decision.
56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sho Inagaki, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
61' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
65' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Sho Inagaki by Taishi Matsumoto on 65 minute.
68' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Ahn Yongwoo has done his job and it is now time for Akito Fukuta to step up.
72' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Kosei Shibasaki departs to be replaced by Daiki Watari.
75' Hayato Araki adds to his 1 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
76' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Fernando Torres by Yohei Toyoda on 76 minute.
80' The Brazil Rhayner breaks the deadlock on 80 minutes. 0-2!
80' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Fernando Torres trudges off to be replaced by Yohei Toyoda on 80 minutes.
81' Hiromu Mitsumaru is replacing Yuzo Kobayashi for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
82' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Teruki Hara departs to be replaced by Hiromu Mitsumaru.
83' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Fernando Torres by Yuji Ono on 83 minute.
86' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Rhayner departs to be replaced by Kohei Shimizu.
The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Honours even.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

9
Fernando Torres ↓ Yohei Toyoda 76'
18
Yohei Takaoka C
13
Yuzo Kobayashi ↓ Hiromu Mitsumaru 81'
3
Yuji Takahashi
4
Riki Harakawa
36
Hideto Takahashi
41
Daiki Matsuoka
44
Mu Kanazaki
25
Ahn Yongwoo ↓ Akito Fukuta 68'
22
Teruki Hara ↓ Hiromu Mitsumaru 82'
7
Isaac Cuenca

Bench

1
Takuo Okubo
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru ↑ 81'
24
Kazuki Anzai
14
Yoshiki Takahashi
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 68'
40
Yuji Ono ↑ 83'
11
Yohei Toyoda ↑ 76'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Tsukasa Shiotani	1
Yuya Asano	1
Shuto Nakano	1
Noriyoshi Sakai	1
Marcelo Ryan	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2019-07-13 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2019-07-07 Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2019-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2019-06-22 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2019-06-15 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2019-06-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2019-07-13 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2019-07-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2019-06-30 Kashima Antlers 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2019-06-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shonan Bellmare W 2019-06-01 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2019-05-26 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC34% Draw30% Sanfrecce Hiroshima36%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.42

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

64%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

66%

Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC24% Draw50% Sanfrecce Hiroshima26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

11%

0 – 1

9.9%

1 – 0

9.3%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 1

7.4%

0 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

2 – 2

4.7%

1 – 3

3.3%

3 – 1

2.9%

0 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	19%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	20%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	11%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.