Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sun 19 Aug 2018 · 09:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Ryo Hirama
  • Referee Takahiro Okano
  • Referee Toru Kakinuma
  • Referee Kenya Ohara

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Sagan Tosu FC H 3–0 W
15 Aug Yokohama F·Marinos A 2–1 W
11 Aug Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
05 Aug Gamba Osaka H 3–2 W
01 Aug Vegalta Sendai A 2–1 W
22 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 0–3 L
15 Aug Kawasaki Frontale A 0–0 D
11 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–0 W
05 Aug Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
01 Aug Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–1 L
28 Jul Júbilo Iwata H 0–0 D

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC get this one started.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kim Minhyeok is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Naoki Maeda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Gabriel Xavier has been relatively quiet despite scoring 23 goals in his last 444 appearances.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' Shinnosuke Nakatani needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 45' It’s high time Massimo Ficcadenti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' A quiet spell here at . Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 65' The energy levels are beginning to show. Yahiro Kazama might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 70' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 75' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 80' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
  • 90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yatsunori Shimaya suffering a number of foals already.
  • Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus55% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
45%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus37% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC15%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 25% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.