SSC Napoli vs Genoa CFC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

SSC Napoli

2 – 1

Full Time

Genoa CFC

Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs Genoa CFC — Serie A .

SSC Napoli 38 games · 76 pts (2026/27)
Genoa CFC 38 games · 41 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Federico La Penna

6 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 3.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

SSC Napoli 14 games · Avg 3.1 goals Genoa CFC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-05 SSC Napoli 2–1 Genoa CFC 2025-05-11 SSC Napoli 2–2 Genoa CFC 2024-12-21 Genoa CFC 1–2 SSC Napoli 2024-02-17 SSC Napoli 1–1 Genoa CFC 2023-09-16 Genoa CFC 2–2 SSC Napoli

Recent Form

SSC Napoli

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	Genoa CFC	H	2–1	W
01 Oct	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	2–1	W
28 Sep	AC Milan	A	1–2	L
22 Sep	AC Pisa 1909	H	3–2	W
18 Sep	Manchester City FC	A	0–2	L
13 Sep	ACF Fiorentina	A	3–1	W

Genoa CFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	SSC Napoli	A	1–2	L
29 Sep	SS Lazio	H	0–3	L
20 Sep	Bologna FC 1909	A	1–2	L
15 Sep	Como 1907	A	1–1	D
31 Aug	Juventus FC	H	0–1	L
23 Aug	US Lecce	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

SSC Napoli		Genoa CFC
#2	Position	#16
76	Points	41
38	Played	38
23 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 11 / 17
58	Scored	41
36	Conceded	51
+22	GD	-10
2.00	PPG	1.08
61%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

79% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts). Genoa CFC are 16th (41 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. SSC Napoli kicks off things out of here…
Another three points for SSC Napoli.

Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

Genoa CFC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Goran Pandev	4
Dries Mertens	3
Hirving Lozano	3
Matteo Politano	3
Lorenzo Insigne	2
Victor Osimhen	2
Eljif Elmas	2
Giacomo Raspadori	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.97 SSC Napoli xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.05 Genoa CFC xG

I would bet for: SSC Napoli to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SSC Napoli59% Draw23% Genoa CFC18%

Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 3.02

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw

82%

Draw or Genoa CFC

41%

SSC Napoli or Genoa CFC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SSC Napoli41% Draw43% Genoa CFC16%

Actual: Genoa CFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.9%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

9.4%

1 – 0

0 – 0

6.6%

3 – 1

6.3%

3 – 0

1 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

0 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

3.4%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap	SSC Napoli covers	Push	Genoa CFC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	18%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	23%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.