Thursday , 2 July 2026

Genoa CFC vs SS Lazio, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
0 3
Full Time
Mon 29 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Genoa CFC vs SS LazioSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Giovanni Ayroldi
8 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 6.9 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep SS Lazio H 0–3 L
20 Sep Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
15 Sep Como 1907 A 1–1 D
31 Aug Juventus FC H 0–1 L
23 Aug US Lecce H 0–0 D
24 May Bologna FC 1909 A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep Genoa CFC A 3–0 W
21 Sep AS Roma H 0–1 L
14 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–1 L
31 Aug Hellas Verona FC H 4–0 W
24 Aug Como 1907 A 0–2 L
25 May US Lecce H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Genoa CFC SS Lazio
#16 Position #9
41 Points 54
38 Played 38
10 / 11 / 17 W / D / L 14 / 12 / 12
41 Scored 41
51 Conceded 40
-10 GD +1
1.08 PPG 1.42
26% Win % 37%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
68% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Genoa CFC are 16th (41 pts). SS Lazio are 9th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Genoa CFC Lineups

SS Lazio Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.71 Genoa CFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 SS Lazio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Genoa CFC22% Draw30% SS Lazio48%
Actual: SS Lazio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Genoa CFC or Draw
52%
Draw or SS Lazio
78%
Genoa CFC or SS Lazio
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Genoa CFC13% Draw52% SS Lazio35%
Actual: SS Lazio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
15.9%
0 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 2
11.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3%
2 – 0
2.8%
0 – 4
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Genoa CFC

Handicap Genoa CFC covers Push SS Lazio covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 12% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 26% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 16% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
25%
SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
50%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.