Thursday , 2 July 2026

SPAL 2013 vs AC Milan, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
2 3
Full Time
Sun 26 May 2019 · 18:30 UTC Stadio Paolo Mazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SPAL 2013 vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Paolo Mazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Stefano Alassio
  • Referee Ciro Carbone
  • Referee Federico Dionisi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 May AC Milan H 2–3 L
18 May Udinese Calcio A 2–3 L
12 May SSC Napoli H 1–2 L
04 May AC Chievo Verona A 4–0 W
28 Apr Genoa CFC H 1–1 D
20 Apr Empoli FC A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 May SPAL 2013 A 3–2 W
19 May Frosinone Calcio H 2–0 W
11 May ACF Fiorentina A 1–0 W
06 May Bologna FC 1909 H 2–1 W
28 Apr Torino FC A 0–2 L
20 Apr Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between SPAL 2013 and AC Milan is underway.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mohamed Salim Fares, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Paolo Mazza with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 10' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' SPAL 2013 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 18' What a strike from Hakan Calhanoglu! The score is 0-1.
  • 21' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Gianluigi Donnarumma is replaced by Pepe Reina on 21 minute.
  • 23' Franck Kessie makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and AC Milan are in front.
  • 27' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 27.
  • 28' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Francesco Vicari makes it 1-2.
  • 33' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 36' The referee calls foul for Kevin Bonifazi. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leonardo Semplici will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SPAL 2013 and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 51' SPAL 2013 is showing some good football. However, SPAL 2013 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 53' Mohamed Salim Fares is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 58' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 63' A tactical swap from AC MilanPatrick Cutrone on, Ignazio Abate off on 63 minutes.
  • 65' SPAL 2013 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 65.
  • 66' Franck Kessie puts AC Milan on the lead.
  • 71' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 72' The SPAL 2013 bench stirs into life. Mattia Valoti is withdrawn and Marko Jankovic gets his opportunity.
  • 77' It is a substitution in SPAL 2013 team. Thiago Cionek is replaced by Sergio Floccari on 77 minute.
  • 80' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Fabio Borini is replaced by Andrea Conti on 80 minute.
  • 81' Tiemoue Bakayoko picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 86' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' SPAL 2013 make a change. Alessandro Murgia trudges off to be replaced by Lorenco Simic on 90 minutes.
  • Another three points for AC Milan.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 SPAL 2013 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: SPAL 2013 or AC Milan 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SPAL 201336% Draw29% AC Milan35%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

SPAL 2013 or Draw
64%
Draw or AC Milan
64%
SPAL 2013 or AC Milan
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SPAL 201327% Draw47% AC Milan26%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
8%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SPAL 2013

Handicap SPAL 2013 covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SPAL 2013 keeps clean sheet
26%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.