ES Troyes AC vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
ES Troyes AC vs SM Caen — Ligue 2 at Matmut Atlantique.
- ES Troyes AC 34 games · 67 pts (2026/27)
- SM Caen 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Aurelien Petit
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Annecy | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | USL Dunkerque | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Metz | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Montpellier HSC | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Red Star FC | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | En Avant Guingamp | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Stade de Reims | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Nantes | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | SM Caen | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Jan | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jan | FC Annecy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Jan | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Jan | Amiens SC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Dec | FC Martigues | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | ES Troyes AC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Jan | En Avant Guingamp | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jan | AC Ajaccio | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Jan | Grenoble Foot 38 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Jan | Clermont Foot 63 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Dec | USL Dunkerque | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Matmut Atlantique. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His ES Troyes AC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' SM Caen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 18' That is a card for SM Caen. Mickael Le Bihan will be fuming at that decision.
- 23' The 25-year-old Ismaelben Boura has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 28' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolas de Preville on 28.
- 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 38' SM Caen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 43' France international Adrien Monfray has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 48' Magnificent from Youssouf M'Changama! That is 26 goals in 433 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 51' GOAL! Rafiki Said Ahamada fires home to make it 2-0!
- 56' ES Troyes AC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SM Caen's shape.
- 59' The whistle greets Mickael Le Bihan as he departs to be replaced by Godson Kyeremeh.
- 64' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 68' Fresh legs for ES Troyes AC! Martin Adeline comes on to replace Nicolas de Preville.
- 70' The Senegal Mouhamed Diop breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 3-0!
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Valentin Henry. He replaces Lamine Sy on 75 minute.
- 80' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ES Troyes AC that had 445 games and scored 360 goals.
- 83' The ES Troyes AC manager makes a substitution. Cyriaque Irie departs to be replaced by Jaures Assoumou.
- 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi.
- 89' ES Troyes AC ring the changes. Rafiki Said Ahamada has done his job and it is now time for Mathys Detourbet to step up.
- ES Troyes AC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
ES Troyes AC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 6
- 16
- 17
- 10
- 14
- 11
-
8
Mouhamed Diop ↓ Pape Ibnou Ba 89'
- 4
- 42
-
21
Cyriaque Irie ↓ Jaures Assoumou 83'
Bench
- 1
- 23
-
25
Pape Ibnou Ba ↑ 89'
- 18
-
24
Martin Adeline ↑ 68'
-
15
Jaures Assoumou ↑ 83'
-
32
Mathys Detourbet ↑ 89'
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 8
- 1
- 19
- 28
-
61
Brahim Traore ↓ Romain Thomas 75'
- 50
-
25
Lamine Sy ↓ Valentin Henry 75'
- 20
- 77
- 5
Bench
- 6
- 16
-
29
Romain Thomas ↑ 75'
-
4
Valentin Henry ↑ 75'
- 14
- 24
-
17
Godson Kyeremeh ↑ 59'
Coach
Bruno Baltazar
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lenny Pintor | 2 |
| Rafiki Said Ahamada | 2 |
| Mouhamed Diop | 1 |
| Baissama Sankoh | 1 |
| Dylan Chambost | 1 |
| Tristan Dingome | 1 |
| Alex Mendy | 1 |
| Luka Ilic | 1 |
Head to Head
ES Troyes AC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71
ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71
SM Caen xG
I would bet for:
ES Troyes AC to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: ES Troyes AC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
ES Troyes AC or Draw
86%
Draw or SM Caen
38%
ES Troyes AC or SM Caen
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.4%
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC
| Handicap | ES Troyes AC covers | Push | SM Caen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 19% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
50%
✗
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.