Paris FC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Aurelien Petit
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Troyes AC | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans FC | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Bastia | 34 | 28 |
| 4 | Amiens SC | 34 | 24 |
| 5 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Metz | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Nantes | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Saint-Étienne | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Red Star FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Stade de Reims | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Annecy | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | USL Dunkerque | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | En Avant Guingamp | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Clermont Foot 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | US Boulogne Cote d'Opale | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb | Pau FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | En Avant Guingamp | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | Red Star FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Jan | FC Metz | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Jan | Amiens SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Jan | FC Martigues | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb | Paris FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Jan | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jan | SC Bastia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jan | Red Star FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Jan | USL Dunkerque | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jan | FC Metz | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Paris FC and Pau FC has kicked off!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mamadou Mbow made 420 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 9' What a strike from Pathe Mboup! The score is 0-1.
- 11' Pathe Mboup was booked on 11.
- 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ilan Kebbal suffering a number of foals already.
- 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 28' GOAL! Julien Lopez Baila scores on 28.
- 33' Thibault De Smet needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 35' Mathys Tourraine is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
- 40' Pau FC is showing some good football. However, Pau FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paris FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 49' What a strike from Jean-Philippe Krasso! The score is 2-1.
- 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Paris FC that had 435 games and scored 359 goals.
- 59' The travelling Pau FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 63' Kandet Diawara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mamady Bangre on 63 minute.
- 68' Time for substitution for Paris FC. Alimami Gory is replaced by Nouha Dicko.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Adama Camara. He replaces Vincent Marchetti on 72 minute.
- 75' GOAL! Mathieu Cafaro scores on 75.
- 76' A meaty challenge results in booking for Antoine Mille on 76.
- 79' Johann Obiang is replacing Joseph Kalulu for the Pau FC side.
- 83' Another substitution for Paris FC to replace Ilan Kebbal by Lohann Doucet on 83 minute.
- 87' The Pau FC manager makes a substitution. Steeve Beusnard departs to be replaced by Xavier Kouassi.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Mathieu Cafaro. He receives a card.
- Another three points for Paris FC.
Lineups
Paris FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 15
-
21
Maxime Lopez ↓ Tuomas Ollila 83'
-
7
Alimami Gory ↓ Nouha Dicko 68'
- 4
- 28
- 16
- 11
-
10
Ilan Kebbal ↓ Lohann Doucet 83'
- 5
- 39
Bench
-
12
Nouha Dicko ↑ 68'
-
27
Mathieu Cafaro ↑ 68'
- 1
-
2
Tuomas Ollila ↑ 83'
- 31
-
8
Lohann Doucet ↑ 83'
-
17
Adama Camara ↑ 72'
Coach
Stephane Gilli
Pau FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
-
8
Joseph Lopy ↓ Oumar Ngom 63'
- 25
- 10
- 21
- 7
- 2
- 17
-
33
Joseph Kalulu ↓ Johann Obiang 79'
- 9
Bench
-
23
Johann Obiang ↑ 79'
- 55
- 18
- 12
-
4
Xavier Kouassi ↑ 87'
- 99
-
6
Oumar Ngom ↑ 63'
Coach
Nicolas Usai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Said Arab | 1 |
| Mons Bassouamina | 1 |
| Ali El Abdi | 1 |
| Julien Lopez Baila | 1 |
| Itaitinga | 1 |
| Mathieu Cafaro | 1 |
| Victor Lobry | 1 |
| Jean-Philippe Krasso | 1 |
Head to Head
Paris FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46
Paris FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Pau FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Paris FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Paris FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Pau FC
54%
Paris FC or Pau FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Paris FC
| Handicap | Paris FC covers | Push | Pau FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.