Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Paris FC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
3 – 1
Full Time
Fri 7 Feb 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Sebastien Charlety HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Paris FC vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 at Stade Sebastien Charlety.

  • Paris FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
  • Pau FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Aurelien Petit
4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Pau FC H 3–1 W
01 Feb En Avant Guingamp A 1–0 W
25 Jan Red Star FC H 4–1 W
18 Jan FC Metz A 1–3 L
11 Jan Amiens SC H 1–0 W
03 Jan FC Martigues H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Paris FC A 1–3 L
31 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 1–1 D
24 Jan SC Bastia A 1–1 D
17 Jan Red Star FC A 3–1 W
10 Jan USL Dunkerque H 1–1 D
04 Jan FC Metz A 0–0 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
10% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Pau FC
Babacar Leye 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Pau FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The travelling Pau FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 9' Pathe Mboup has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 9 minutes.
  • 11' It’s gonna be a card for Pathe Mboup.
  • 16' Paris FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 26' A quiet spell here at Stade Sebastien Charlety. Paris FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 28' Brilliant from the left winger! Julien Lopez Baila makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 28.
  • 33' France international Timothee Kolodziejczak has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mathys Tourraine on 35.
  • 40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 49' Brilliant from the ! Jean-Philippe Krasso makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 49.
  • 54' Paris FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Pau FC's shape.
  • 59' Therence Koudou needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 63' A change in the Pau FC ranks — Mamady Bangre exits the field as Kandet Diawara enters on 63.
  • 68' Another substitution for Paris FC to replace Alimami Gory by Nouha Dicko on 68 minute.
  • 72' Adama Camara is replacing Vincent Marchetti for the Paris FC side.
  • 75' Mathieu Cafaro does the damage! The net is bulging and Paris FC surge ahead!
  • 76' That looks like a foul for a card for Antoine Mille.
  • 79' The Pau FC manager makes a substitution. Joseph Kalulu departs to be replaced by Johann Obiang.
  • 83' Lohann Doucet is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ilan Kebbal at the 83 minute mark.
  • 87' Steeve Beusnard makes way for Xavier Kouassi at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Pau FC.
  • 90' Paris FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 Paris FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC46% Draw28% Pau FC26%
Actual: Paris FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Paris FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Pau FC
54%
Paris FC or Pau FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC31% Draw48% Pau FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Paris FC

Handicap Paris FC covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Paris FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.