Saturday , 14 November 2026

SM Caen vs USL Dunkerque, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
0 – 2
Full Time
Mon 10 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs USL Dunkerque — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Pierre Legat

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Feb USL Dunkerque H 0–2 L
01 Feb ES Troyes AC A 0–3 L
24 Jan En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L
17 Jan AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
11 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 H 0–1 L
03 Jan Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Feb SM Caen A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Martigues H 0–1 L
27 Jan FC Annecy A 2–0 W
18 Jan FC Lorient H 0–1 L
10 Jan Pau FC A 1–1 D
04 Jan En Avant Guingamp A 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
USL Dunkerque this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

USL Dunkerque
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
5/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

USL Dunkerque
Egor Prutsev 3 G 2 A
Souleymane Keita 3 G 1 A
Gaetan Robail 2 G
Opa Sangante 2 G
Marco Decherf 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SM Caen and USL Dunkerque has kicked off!
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Vincent Sasso on 25 minutes.
  • 30' Noe Lebreton picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 35' Noe Lebreton has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bilal Brahimi on 37.
  • 38' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 43' Nurio Fortuna has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 270 appearances.
  • 45' Gaetan Courtet has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 46' SM Caen make a change. Ilyes Najim trudges off to be replaced by Valentin Henry on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 54' Jules Gaudin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 54.
  • 56' Naatan Skytta does the damage! The net is bulging and USL Dunkerque surge ahead!
  • 61' Nurio Fortuna gets the nod from USL Dunkerque. He replaces Abner Felipe and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' With 0 assists to his name this season, Anthony Mandrea is clearly more than just a goal scorer for USL Dunkerque.
  • 70' A tactical swap from SM Caen — Godson Kyeremeh on, Lamine Sy off on 70 minutes.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Yacine Bammou. He replaces Gessime Yassine on 75 minute.
  • 79' Emmanuel Ntim gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Jules Gaudin and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined USL Dunkerque backline.
  • 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yann M'Vila on 87.
  • 89' Another change for USL Dunkerque made on 89 minute. Gaetan Courtet leaves to be changed by Abdoullah Ba.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yacine Bammou on 90 minutes.
  • SM Caen will have plenty to reflect on. USL Dunkerque were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 USL Dunkerque xG
I would bet for: USL Dunkerque or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen27% Draw30% USL Dunkerque43%
Actual: USL Dunkerque win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
57%
Draw or USL Dunkerque
73%
SM Caen or USL Dunkerque
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen19% Draw51% USL Dunkerque30%
Actual: USL Dunkerque win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
12.5%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push USL Dunkerque covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 23% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
USL Dunkerque keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.