Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SM Caen vs USL Dunkerque, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
0 – 2
Full Time
Mon 10 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs USL Dunkerque — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Pierre Legat

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Feb USL Dunkerque H 0–2 L
01 Feb ES Troyes AC A 0–3 L
24 Jan En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L
17 Jan AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
11 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 H 0–1 L
03 Jan Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Feb SM Caen A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Martigues H 0–1 L
27 Jan FC Annecy A 2–0 W
18 Jan FC Lorient H 0–1 L
10 Jan Pau FC A 1–1 D
04 Jan En Avant Guingamp A 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
USL Dunkerque this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

USL Dunkerque
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

USL Dunkerque
Egor Prutsev 2 G 1 A
Souleymane Keita 2 G
Marco Decherf 1 G 2 A
Adrien Lebeau 1 G 1 A
Victor Mayela 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SM Caen to score. At the same time, USL Dunkerque does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' USL Dunkerque started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. SM Caen and USL Dunkerque are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Vincent Sasso on 25 minutes.
  • 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Noe Lebreton.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. SM Caen in their trying to find a way past USL Dunkerque's compact .
  • 37' Bilal Brahimi is having his name booked by the referee on 37.
  • 38' The referee has no hesitation. Yannis Clementia is booked for SM Caen — card on 38.
  • 43' Naatan Skytta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SM Caen tonight.
  • 45' Gaetan Courtet makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and USL Dunkerque are in front.
  • 46' Valentin Henry has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ilyes Najim on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 54' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' GOAL! Naatan Skytta fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 61' USL Dunkerque manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nurio Fortuna is hanging Abner Felipe on the field on 61 minute.
  • 66' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 70' Godson Kyeremeh is replacing Lamine Sy for the SM Caen side.
  • 75' Yacine Bammou is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gessime Yassine at the 75 minute mark.
  • 79' A tactical swap from SM Caen — Emmanuel Ntim on, Jules Gaudin off on 79 minutes.
  • 84' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Nurio Fortuna has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 87' A moment of madness from Yann M'Vila on 87 minutes earns him a card. SM Caen will be frustrated.
  • 89' Fresh legs for USL Dunkerque! Abdoullah Ba comes on to replace Gaetan Courtet.
  • 90' Yacine Bammou catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • SM Caen will have plenty to reflect on. USL Dunkerque were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 USL Dunkerque xG
I would bet for: USL Dunkerque or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen27% Draw30% USL Dunkerque43%
Actual: USL Dunkerque win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
57%
Draw or USL Dunkerque
73%
SM Caen or USL Dunkerque
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen19% Draw51% USL Dunkerque30%
Actual: USL Dunkerque win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
12.5%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push USL Dunkerque covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 23% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
USL Dunkerque keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.