Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs USL Dunkerque, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
0 2
Full Time
Mon 10 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs USL DunkerqueLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Pierre Legat

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Feb USL Dunkerque H 0–2 L
01 Feb ES Troyes AC A 0–3 L
24 Jan En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L
17 Jan AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
11 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 H 0–1 L
03 Jan Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Feb SM Caen A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Martigues H 0–1 L
27 Jan FC Annecy A 2–0 W
18 Jan FC Lorient H 0–1 L
10 Jan Pau FC A 1–1 D
04 Jan En Avant Guingamp A 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Michel-d'Ornano will turn into a battlefield for SM Caen and USL Dunkerque.
  • 5' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Samuel Grandsir, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 25' It’s gonna be a card for Vincent Sasso.
  • 30' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Naatan Skytta suffering a number of foals already.
  • 37' It’s gonna be a card for Bilal Brahimi.
  • 38' SM Caen receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
  • 43' It looks like no one’s ball. SM Caen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' Gaetan Courtet puts USL Dunkerque on the lead.
  • 46' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Ilyes Najim by Valentin Henry on 46 minute.
  • 51' It looks surprising USL Dunkerque does not make any changes. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 54' It’s gonna be a card for Jules Gaudin.
  • 56' What a strike from Naatan Skytta! The score is 0-2.
  • 61' Another change for USL Dunkerque made on 61 minute. Abner Felipe leaves to be changed by Nurio Fortuna.
  • 66' The travelling USL Dunkerque supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 70' The whistle greets Lamine Sy as he departs to be replaced by Godson Kyeremeh.
  • 75' Another substitution for USL Dunkerque to replace Gessime Yassine by Yacine Bammou on 75 minute.
  • 79' Emmanuel Ntim is replacing Jules Gaudin for the SM Caen side.
  • 84' It’s high time Luís Castro made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 87' Yann M'Vila was booked on 87.
  • 89' USL Dunkerque manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Abdoullah Ba is hanging Gaetan Courtet on the field on 89 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yacine Bammou on 90.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for SM Caen and USL Dunkerque (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 USL Dunkerque xG
I would bet for: USL Dunkerque or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen27% Draw30% USL Dunkerque43%
Actual: USL Dunkerque win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
57%
Draw or USL Dunkerque
73%
SM Caen or USL Dunkerque
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen19% Draw51% USL Dunkerque30%
Actual: USL Dunkerque win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
12.5%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push USL Dunkerque covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 23% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
27%
USL Dunkerque keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.