SM Caen vs USL Dunkerque, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SM Caen vs USL Dunkerque — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.
- SM Caen 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- USL Dunkerque 12 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Pierre Legat
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier HSC | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Metz | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Annecy | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | USL Dunkerque | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Nantes | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot 63 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 12 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb | USL Dunkerque | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | ES Troyes AC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Jan | En Avant Guingamp | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jan | AC Ajaccio | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Jan | Grenoble Foot 38 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Jan | Clermont Foot 63 | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb | SM Caen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Jan | FC Martigues | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jan | FC Annecy | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | FC Lorient | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Jan | Pau FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jan | En Avant Guingamp | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
USL Dunkerque this season
USL Dunkerque this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
USL Dunkerque
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
5/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
USL Dunkerque
| Egor Prutsev | 3 G | 2 A |
| Souleymane Keita | 3 G | 1 A |
| Gaetan Robail | 2 G | |
| Opa Sangante | 2 G | |
| Marco Decherf | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SM Caen and USL Dunkerque has kicked off!
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 25' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Vincent Sasso on 25 minutes.
- 30' Noe Lebreton picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 35' Noe Lebreton has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bilal Brahimi on 37.
- 38' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
- 43' Nurio Fortuna has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 270 appearances.
- 45' Gaetan Courtet has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 46' SM Caen make a change. Ilyes Najim trudges off to be replaced by Valentin Henry on 46 minutes.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 54' Jules Gaudin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 54.
- 56' Naatan Skytta does the damage! The net is bulging and USL Dunkerque surge ahead!
- 61' Nurio Fortuna gets the nod from USL Dunkerque. He replaces Abner Felipe and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' With 0 assists to his name this season, Anthony Mandrea is clearly more than just a goal scorer for USL Dunkerque.
- 70' A tactical swap from SM Caen — Godson Kyeremeh on, Lamine Sy off on 70 minutes.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Yacine Bammou. He replaces Gessime Yassine on 75 minute.
- 79' Emmanuel Ntim gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Jules Gaudin and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined USL Dunkerque backline.
- 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yann M'Vila on 87.
- 89' Another change for USL Dunkerque made on 89 minute. Gaetan Courtet leaves to be changed by Abdoullah Ba.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yacine Bammou on 90 minutes.
- SM Caen will have plenty to reflect on. USL Dunkerque were simply the better side today.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 1
- 19
- 61
-
50
Ilyes Najim ↓ Valentin Henry 46'
-
27
Jules Gaudin ↓ Emmanuel Ntim 79'
-
25
Lamine Sy ↓ Godson Kyeremeh 70'
-
20
Noe Lebreton ↓ Yann M'Vila 46'
- 77
- 5
Bench
-
6
Yann M'Vila ↑ 46'
- 16
- 29
-
91
Emmanuel Ntim ↑ 79'
-
4
Valentin Henry ↑ 46'
- 14
-
17
Godson Kyeremeh ↑ 70'
Coach
Bruno Baltazar
USL Dunkerque Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 26
-
18
Gaetan Courtet ↓ Abdoullah Ba 89'
- 23
- 22
- 20
- 28
-
80
Gessime Yassine ↓ Yacine Bammou 75'
-
30
Abner Felipe ↓ Nurio Fortuna 61'
- 16
-
77
Muhannad Al Saad ↓ Kay Tejan 61'
Bench
-
9
Yacine Bammou ↑ 75'
- 12
-
–
Nurio Fortuna ↑ 61'
-
31
Abdoullah Ba ↑ 89'
-
19
Kay Tejan ↑ 61'
- 1
- 3
Coach
Luís Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gaetan Courtet | 2 |
| Mehdi Chahiri | 2 |
| Malik Tchokounte | 2 |
| Alex Mendy | 2 |
| Yoann Court | 2 |
| Yacine Bammou | 1 |
| Jessy Deminguet | 1 |
| Emeric Dudouit | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
USL Dunkerque xG
I would bet for:
USL Dunkerque or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: USL Dunkerque win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
57%
Draw or USL Dunkerque
73%
SM Caen or USL Dunkerque
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: USL Dunkerque win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
12.5%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | USL Dunkerque covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
USL Dunkerque keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

