Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Ajaccio vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
2 1
Full Time
Fri 17 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Michel-Moretti HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Ajaccio vs SM CaenLigue 2 at Stade Michel-Moretti.

Match Details

  • Referee Pierre Gaillouste

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan SM Caen H 2–1 W
11 Jan SC Bastia A 0–4 L
03 Jan FC Annecy H 1–2 L
13 Dec Pau FC A 0–1 L
07 Dec Paris FC H 0–2 L
25 Nov USL Dunkerque A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
11 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 H 0–1 L
03 Jan Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
16 Dec USL Dunkerque A 1–3 L
06 Dec Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
22 Nov Rodez Aveyron Football H 3–3 D

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Stade Michel-Moretti as AC Ajaccio face off against SM Caen in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Anthony Strata has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 4 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 16' That looks like a foul for a card for Lorenzo Rajot.
  • 21' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 26' A tactical swap from AC AjaccioAboubakary Kante on, Valentin Jacob off on 26 minutes.
  • 31' The travelling SM Caen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' AC Ajaccio player sees a card in front of him.
  • 42' Controversy at the stadium! Axel Bamba argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 45' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mickael Le Bihan is hanging Lorenzo Rajot on the field on 45 minute.
  • 50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 61' Time for substitution for AC Ajaccio. Moussa Soumano is replaced by Ivane Chegra.
  • 62' Brilliant from the ! Alex Mendy makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 62.
  • 67' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 70' Axel Bamba is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 71' Tidiam Gomis gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Ilyes Najim and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Christopher Ibayi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 9 Yellow cards this season.
  • 79' Leo Milliner has so much to prove this time. He replaces Godson Kyeremeh on 79 minute.
  • 80' AC Ajaccio make a change. Michael Barreto trudges off to be replaced by Mehdi Puch-Herrantz on 80 minutes.
  • 83' Aboubakary Kante makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and AC Ajaccio are in front.
  • 86' SM Caen ring the changes. Alex Mendy has done his job and it is now time for Diabe Bolumbu to step up.
  • 90' AC Ajaccio player sees a card in front of him.
  • It finishes all square. AC Ajaccio and SM Caen share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 AC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio46% Draw27% SM Caen27%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AC Ajaccio or Draw
73%
Draw or SM Caen
54%
AC Ajaccio or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio30% Draw48% SM Caen22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Ajaccio

Handicap AC Ajaccio covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
33%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.