Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Ajaccio vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
2 1
Full Time
Fri 17 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Michel-Moretti HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Ajaccio vs SM CaenLigue 2 at Stade Michel-Moretti.

Match Details

  • Referee Pierre Gaillouste

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan SM Caen H 2–1 W
11 Jan SC Bastia A 0–4 L
03 Jan FC Annecy H 1–2 L
13 Dec Pau FC A 0–1 L
07 Dec Paris FC H 0–2 L
25 Nov USL Dunkerque A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
11 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 H 0–1 L
03 Jan Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
16 Dec USL Dunkerque A 1–3 L
06 Dec Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
22 Nov Rodez Aveyron Football H 3–3 D

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AC Ajaccio and SM Caen is underway.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Quentin Lecoeuche made 218 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 16' Lorenzo Rajot is having his name booked by the referee on 16.
  • 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alex Moucketou-Moussounda suffering a number of foals already.
  • 26' Another change for AC Ajaccio made on 26 minute. Valentin Jacob leaves to be changed by Aboubakary Kante.
  • 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
  • 36' Moussa Soumano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 40' That looks like a foul for a card for Julien Anziani.
  • 42' That looks like a foul for a card for Axel Bamba.
  • 45' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Lorenzo Rajot by Mickael Le Bihan on 45 minute.
  • 50' Anthony Strata needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Yellow cards this season.
  • 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 60' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' Time for substitution for AC Ajaccio. Moussa Soumano is replaced by Ivane Chegra.
  • 62' What a strike from Alex Mendy! The score is 0-1.
  • 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' What an equalizer from Axel Bamba!
  • 71' Tidiam Gomis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ilyes Najim on 71 minute.
  • 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 79' The whistle greets Godson Kyeremeh as he departs to be replaced by Leo Milliner.
  • 80' The whistle greets Michael Barreto as he departs to be replaced by Mehdi Puch-Herrantz.
  • 83' What a strike from Aboubakary Kante! The score is 2-1.
  • 86' Another change for SM Caen made on 86 minute. Alex Mendy leaves to be changed by Diabe Bolumbu.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Benjamin Santelli.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 AC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio46% Draw27% SM Caen27%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AC Ajaccio or Draw
73%
Draw or SM Caen
54%
AC Ajaccio or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio30% Draw48% SM Caen22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Ajaccio

Handicap AC Ajaccio covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
33%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.