Thursday , 2 July 2026

Pau FC vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
1 0
Full Time
Fri 2 Jun 2023 · 18:45 UTC Stade du Hameau HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jun SM Caen H 1–0 W
26 May Rodez Aveyron Football A 3–2 W
20 May SC Bastia H 2–6 L
13 May Valenciennes FC A 1–1 D
06 May US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 3–4 L
29 Apr Nimes Olympique A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jun Pau FC A 0–1 L
26 May AS Saint-Étienne H 2–2 D
20 May Amiens SC A 3–1 W
13 May Nimes Olympique H 4–2 W
06 May FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–1 L
29 Apr Le Havre AC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Pau FC and SM Caen get this one started.
  • 5' Samuel Essende is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Pau FC tonight.
  • 10' Pau FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' Pau FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SM Caen's shape.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Pau FC and SM Caen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 28' It is a substitution in Pau FC team. Noe Sow is replaced by Quentin Boisgard on 28 minute.
  • 31' What a moment for Mayron George! That strike on 31 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 35' Romain Thomas is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
  • 40' France international Jean Ruiz has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 45' SM Caen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Jessy Deminguet by Mohamed Hafid on 46 minute.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Pau FC and SM Caen are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 63' Caleb Zady Sery gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Yoann Court and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Pau FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 69' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Noe Lebreton is hanging Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi on the field on 69 minute.
  • 70' The whistle greets Mayron George as he departs to be replaced by Mons Bassouamina.
  • 75' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yannis Clementia, as he is very good at scoring at Stade du Hameau with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 77' The referee has no hesitation. Sessi D'Almeida is booked for Pau FC — Red card on 77.
  • 82' Steeve Beusnard, a France , has 22 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 87' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • Full Time. Pau FC beats SM Caen

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.34 Pau FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Pau FC or SM Caen 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Pau FC44% Draw27% SM Caen29%
Actual: Pau FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Pau FC or Draw
70%
Draw or SM Caen
56%
Pau FC or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Pau FC27% Draw48% SM Caen25%
Actual: Pau FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Pau FC

Handicap Pau FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Pau FC keeps clean sheet
29%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.