Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
Fri 17 May 2024 · 18:45 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FCLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Olivier Thual

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Valenciennes FC H 3–0 W
10 May USL Dunkerque A 2–2 D
03 May Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr AS Saint-Étienne A 0–1 L
23 Apr FC Annecy H 2–1 W
20 Apr AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May SM Caen A 0–3 L
10 May US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 2–1 W
03 May ES Troyes AC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–0 W
23 Apr AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
20 Apr Paris FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SM Caen and Valenciennes FC has kicked off!
  • 5' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Flamarion has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' The travelling Valenciennes FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 12' Time for substitution for Valenciennes FC. Flamarion is replaced by Souleymane Basse.
  • 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 22' Romain Thomas needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 23' Tidiam Gomis puts SM Caen on the lead.
  • 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Manga Foe Ondoa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 33' It looks like no one’s ball. SM Caen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 38' Diabe Bolumbu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jean Eric Moursou made 367 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 48' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 48.
  • 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Souleymane Basse on 51.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 61' The Valenciennes FC manager makes a substitution. Mathias Oyewusi departs to be replaced by Makabi Lilepo.
  • 63' Tidiam Gomis with the second goal in the match!
  • 64' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Amine Salama is hanging Quentin Daubin on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 69 minutes.
  • 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 76' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Tidiam Gomis is replaced by Mickael Le Bihan on 76 minute.
  • 81' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Jean Eric Moursou. He replaces Julien Masson on 82 minute.
  • 85' Goal! Alex Mendy scores his 86 goal in 391 matches.
  • 87' Time for substitution for SM Caen. Godson Kyeremeh is replaced by Mohamed Hafid.
  • With this win, SM Caen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: SM Caen to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen56% Draw25% Valenciennes FC19%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
81%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
44%
SM Caen or Valenciennes FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen39% Draw47% Valenciennes FC14%
Actual: SM Caen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.4%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
43%
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.