Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
Fri 17 May 2024 · 18:45 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Olivier Thual

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Valenciennes FC H 3–0 W
10 May USL Dunkerque A 2–2 D
03 May Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr AS Saint-Étienne A 0–1 L
23 Apr FC Annecy H 2–1 W
20 Apr AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May SM Caen A 0–3 L
10 May US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 2–1 W
03 May ES Troyes AC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–0 W
23 Apr AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
20 Apr Paris FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Quentin Daubin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 12' Valenciennes FC ring the changes. Flamarion has done his job and it is now time for Souleymane Basse to step up.
  • 17' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 22' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Jean Eric Moursou has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 23' What a moment for Tidiam Gomis! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 28' Over 28 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 33' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Valenciennes FC backline.
  • 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SM Caen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 43' It is a cagey affair so far. SM Caen in their trying to find a way past Valenciennes FC's compact .
  • 48' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 51' That is a card for Valenciennes FC. Souleymane Basse will be fuming at that decision.
  • 56' Flamarion has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 61' Makabi Lilepo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mathias Oyewusi at the 61 minute mark.
  • 63' Tidiam Gomis makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and SM Caen are in front.
  • 64' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Quentin Daubin by Amine Salama on 64 minute.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Kjaer Kruse made 367 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 74' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 76' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Tidiam Gomis is replaced by Mickael Le Bihan on 76 minute.
  • 81' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 82' Another change for Valenciennes FC made on 82 minute. Julien Masson leaves to be changed by Jean Eric Moursou.
  • 85' Alex Mendy adds to his 0 season tally! SM Caen lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 87' The whistle greets Godson Kyeremeh as he departs to be replaced by Mohamed Hafid.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. SM Caen take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: SM Caen to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen56% Draw25% Valenciennes FC19%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
81%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
44%
SM Caen or Valenciennes FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen39% Draw47% Valenciennes FC14%
Actual: SM Caen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.4%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.