Sunday , 16 August 2026

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
Fri 17 May 2024 · 18:45 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FCLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Olivier Thual

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Valenciennes FC H 3–0 W
10 May USL Dunkerque A 2–2 D
03 May Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr AS Saint-Étienne A 0–1 L
23 Apr FC Annecy H 2–1 W
20 Apr AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May SM Caen A 0–3 L
10 May US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 2–1 W
03 May ES Troyes AC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–0 W
23 Apr AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
20 Apr Paris FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SM Caen is hosting Valenciennes FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. David Kjaer Kruse has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 12' The supporters are chanting for Souleymane Basse. He replaces Flamarion on 12 minute.
  • 17' It looks like no one’s ball. Valenciennes FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 22' Alex Mendy is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SM Caen tonight.
  • 23' GOAL! Tidiam Gomis scores on 23.
  • 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jean Eric Moursou, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 33' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SM Caen and Valenciennes FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 38' Joffrey Cuffaut is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Valenciennes FC so far.
  • 43' Brahim Traore has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 399 appearances.
  • 48' A quiet spell here at Michel-d'Ornano. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 51' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Souleymane Basse on 51 minutes.
  • 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' Makabi Lilepo gets the nod from Valenciennes FC. He replaces Mathias Oyewusi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' What composure from Tidiam Gomis! The France international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 64' The whistle greets Quentin Daubin as he departs to be replaced by Amine Salama.
  • 69' It’s high time Patrice Sauvaget made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 74' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 76' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Tidiam Gomis is replaced by Mickael Le Bihan on 76 minute.
  • 81' Valenciennes FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 82' Jean Eric Moursou has so much to prove this time. He replaces Julien Masson on 82 minute.
  • 85' What a moment for Alex Mendy! That strike on 85 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 87' Another change for SM Caen made on 87 minute. Godson Kyeremeh leaves to be changed by Mohamed Hafid.
  • Valenciennes FC will have plenty to reflect on. SM Caen were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: SM Caen to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen56% Draw25% Valenciennes FC19%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
81%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
44%
SM Caen or Valenciennes FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen39% Draw47% Valenciennes FC14%
Actual: SM Caen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.4%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
43%
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.