Sunday , 16 August 2026

SM Caen vs AC Ajaccio, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
3 0
Full Time
Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 17:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs AC AjaccioLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Aurelien Petit

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug AC Ajaccio H 3–0 W
19 Aug US Concarneau A 2–0 W
12 Aug Pau FC H 2–0 W
05 Aug Paris FC A 2–0 W
02 Jun Pau FC A 0–1 L
26 May AS Saint-Étienne H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug SM Caen A 0–3 L
21 Aug FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 0–0 D
12 Aug US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 1–0 W
05 Aug Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–1 D
03 Jun Olympique de Marseille H 1–0 W
27 May Racing Club de Lens A 0–3 L

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Michel-d'Ornano will turn into a battlefield for SM Caen and AC Ajaccio.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Mounaim El Idrissy needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 18' A tactical swap from SM CaenGodson Kyeremeh on, Yoann Court off on 18 minutes.
  • 23' Mickael Alphonse is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Ajaccio tonight.
  • 28' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Ajaccio backline.
  • 33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Romain Thomas is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Ajaccio.
  • 36' The deadlock is broken! Alex Mendy gets on the scoresheet on 36 minutes.
  • 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' Alex Mendy is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the centre-forward.
  • 46' Another change for AC Ajaccio made on 46 minute. Mounaim El Idrissy leaves to be changed by Moussa Soumano.
  • 51' AC Ajaccio come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 53' Cyrille Bayala was booked on 53.
  • 58' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 63' Alex Mendy is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the centre-forward.
  • 65' Ivane Chegra is replacing Cyrille Bayala for the AC Ajaccio side.
  • 66' The referee has no hesitation. Yacine Bammou is booked for AC Ajaccio — card on 66.
  • 67' SM Caen make a change. Brahim Traore trudges off to be replaced by Alexandre Coeff on 67 minutes.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Mehdi Puch-Herrantz as he leaves the pitch. Everson Pereira steps in for AC Ajaccio.
  • 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 80' A quiet spell here at Michel-d'Ornano. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 82' Salomon Abergel gets the nod from AC Ajaccio. He replaces Riad Nouri and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' A change in the SM Caen ranks — Bilal Brahimi exits the field as Noe Lebreton enters on 85.
  • 87' Godson Kyeremeh is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
  • SM Caen celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 AC Ajaccio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen53% Draw27% AC Ajaccio20%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
80%
Draw or AC Ajaccio
47%
SM Caen or AC Ajaccio
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen36% Draw49% AC Ajaccio15%
Actual: SM Caen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push AC Ajaccio covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
45%
AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.