Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Ajaccio vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
2 1
Full Time
Sat 20 Apr 2024 · 17:00 UTC Francois Coty HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Ajaccio vs SM CaenLigue 2 at Francois Coty.

Match Details

  • Referee Remi Landry

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr SM Caen H 2–1 W
13 Apr AS Saint-Étienne H 2–0 W
06 Apr Pau FC A 1–1 D
01 Apr AJ Auxerre H 0–1 L
16 Mar Paris FC A 0–2 L
09 Mar FC Annecy H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
13 Apr Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–0 W
06 Apr FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 0–1 L
30 Mar US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 2–1 W
16 Mar AJ Auxerre A 1–2 L
09 Mar Paris FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AC Ajaccio vs SM Caen — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Ajaccio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Francois Coty. AC Ajaccio seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' Romain Thomas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 422 appearances.
  • 20' What a moment for Michael Barreto! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 20' That is a card for AC Ajaccio. Michael Barreto will be fuming at that decision.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' AC Ajaccio currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Ajaccio side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' The travelling SM Caen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' Christopher Ibayi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 46' The whistle greets Michael Barreto as he departs to be replaced by Riad Nouri.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' AC Ajaccio are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SM Caen's shape.
  • 59' Noe Lebreton has so much to prove this time. He replaces Quentin Daubin on 59 minute.
  • 64' Mohamed Youssouf has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 67' Moussa Soumano is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yoann Touzghar at the 67 minute mark.
  • 68' Mathias Autret gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Tidiam Gomis and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' Anthony Strata is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Ajaccio tonight.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi as he leaves the pitch. Hianga Mananga Mbock steps in for SM Caen.
  • 82' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 84' The AC Ajaccio manager makes a substitution. Tim Jabol-Folcarelli departs to be replaced by Owen Martinez-Jullien.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Valentin Jacob. He replaces Christopher Ibayi on 88 minute.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Francois-Joseph Sollacaro argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Ajaccio to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35 AC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: AC Ajaccio or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio45% Draw28% SM Caen27%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

AC Ajaccio or Draw
73%
Draw or SM Caen
55%
AC Ajaccio or SM Caen
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Ajaccio29% Draw49% SM Caen22%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Ajaccio

Handicap AC Ajaccio covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
34%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.