SE Palmeiras vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- Ceará SC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 36 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Ceará SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Jul | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jul | Mirassol FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | SC Internacional | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
77%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Mauricio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' SE Palmeiras have kicked off against Ceará SC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fabiano Silva made 428 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ceará SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' It looks surprising Ceará SC does not make any changes. Richardson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' The referee calls foul for Richardson. He receives a card.
- 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SE Palmeiras and Ceará SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 35' SE Palmeiras are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Ceará SC backline.
- 38' The referee calls foul for Matheus Bahia. He receives a card.
- 43' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Anibal Moreno will be fuming at that decision.
- 48' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SE Palmeiras side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 51' The deadlock is broken! Lourenco gets on the scoresheet on 51 minutes.
- 56' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Facundo Torres Perez departs to be replaced by Felipe Anderson.
- 61' Ceará SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 67' What a moment for Jose Manuel Lopez! That strike on 67 puts his side firmly in control.
- 68' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Lourenco by Nicolas Vichiatto on 68 minute.
- 69' Vitor Roque makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
- 74' Micael has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 76' Ceara SC make a change. Richardson trudges off to be replaced by Aylon on 76 minutes.
- 81' Ceará SC have won 233 goals from 238 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 84' SE Palmeiras make a change. Vitor Roque trudges off to be replaced by Allan on 84 minutes.
- 86' Ceara SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Guilherme Luiz is hanging Matheus Bahia on the field on 86 minute.
- 87' The referee calls foul for Richard. He receives a card.
- 90' SE Palmeiras make a change. Mauricio trudges off to be replaced by Khellven on 90 minutes.
- SE Palmeiras celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
- 30
- 5
- 18
- 17
- 22
- 13
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Allan 84'
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↓ Jose Manuel Lopez 56'
- 4
Bench
- 2
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↑ 56'
- 14
-
12
Khellven ↑ 90'
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 56'
- 26
-
32
Emiliano Martinez ↑ 84'
- 31
- 43
- 39
-
40
Allan ↑ 84'
- 56
Coach
Abel Ferreira
Ceará SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
26
Richardson ↓ Aylon 76'
- 3
-
97
Lourenco ↓ Nicolas Vichiatto 68'
-
10
Lucas Mugni ↓ Fernando Sobral 68'
- 94
- 9
-
79
Matheus Bahia ↓ Guilherme Luiz 86'
-
70
Fabiano Silva ↓ Rafael Ramos 86'
- 20
- 27
- 23
Bench
-
11
Aylon ↑ 76'
- 33
- 1
-
30
Nicolas Vichiatto ↑ 68'
-
2
Rafael Ramos ↑ 86'
-
88
Fernando Sobral ↑ 68'
- 8
- 29
- 44
- 31
-
80
Guilherme Luiz ↑ 86'
Coach
Leo Condé
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Stiven Mendoza | 3 |
| Ze Rafael | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 2 |
| Bruno Henrique | 2 |
| Jorge | 1 |
| Brock | 1 |
| Lucas Ribeiro | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Ceará SC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
77%
Draw or Ceará SC
48%
SE Palmeiras or Ceará SC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Ceará SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.