Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Ceará SC vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

0 – 2
Full Time
Wed 23 Jul 2025 · 22:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 18' Gabriel
Bruno 27' Y
Aylon 83' Y
Y 89' Danielzinho
Y 89' Roni

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Head-to-Head

2
Ceará SC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Mirassol FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Mirassol FC H 0–2 L
20 Jul SC Internacional A 0–1 L
16 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
13 Jul Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
04 Jun Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
01 Jun CA Mineiro H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Ceará SC A 2–0 W
19 Jul Santos FC H 3–0 W
16 Jul SE Palmeiras A 1–1 D
01 Jun SC Recife H 1–0 W
24 May Sao Paulo FC A 2–0 W
18 May SC Internacional A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 6 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Ceará SC welcome Mirassol FC for this crunch clash at Castelao.
  • 5' The travelling Mirassol FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Roni, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 16' GOAL! Chico fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 18' The referee has no hesitation. Gabriel is booked for Mirassol FC — card on 18.
  • 22' What composure from Negueba! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 27' Bruno is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
  • 32' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' Mirassol FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 46' Lourenco is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fernando Sobral at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Ceará SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Mirassol FC backline.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 57' Chico is replacing Gabriel for the Mirassol FC side.
  • 58' A change in the Mirassol FC ranks — Chico exits the field as Cristian Renato enters on 58.
  • 63' Another substitution for Mirassol FC to replace Alesson by Edson Carioca on 63 minute.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Ceara SC. Rafael Ramos is replaced by Bruno Tubarao.
  • 71' Gabriel Knesowitsch has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 76' The Ceara SC manager makes a substitution. Antonio Galeano departs to be replaced by Fernandinho.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Neto Moura as he leaves the pitch. Roni steps in for Mirassol FC.
  • 79' Mirassol FC ring the changes. Negueba has done his job and it is now time for Matheus Bianqui to step up.
  • 83' Aylon catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 83.
  • 84' Matheus Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dieguinho on 84 minute.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Danielzinho. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.72 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC21% Draw29% Mirassol FC50%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
50%
Draw or Mirassol FC
79%
Ceará SC or Mirassol FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC13% Draw52% Mirassol FC35%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
15.7%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.1%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 12% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 26% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 16% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.