Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fluminense FC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 3 May 2025 · 21:30 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs SC RecifeSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SC Recife H 2–1 W
27 Apr Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
20 Apr EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
16 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–0 W
13 Apr Santos FC H 1–0 W
06 Apr RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
26 Apr Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
19 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–2 L
16 Apr RB Bragantino H 0–1 L
13 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–3 L
06 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Fluminense FC and SC Recife has kicked off!
  • 5' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Fabio needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 386 games and scored 415 goals.
  • 20' Hercules has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 24' Pablo Felipe puts SC Recife on the lead.
  • 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Carlos Alberto made 161 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
  • 39' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Samuel Xavier has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Kevin Serna. He replaces Agustin Canobbio on 46 minute.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 55' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 55 minute. Hercules leaves to be changed by Nonato.
  • 60' GOAL! Kevin Serna scores on 60. Assisted by Jhon Arias
  • 64' Rodrigo Atencio is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
  • 65' It is a substitution in SC Recife team. ze Lucas is replaced by Du Queiroz on 65 minute.
  • 70' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruben Lezcano is hanging Martinelli on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' The travelling SC Recife supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 76' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
  • 81' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 81.
  • 85' It is a substitution in SC Recife team. Pablo Felipe is replaced by Carlos Alberto on 85 minute.
  • 86' The whistle greets Chrystian Barletta as he departs to be replaced by Arthur.
  • 90' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Samuel Xavier departs to be replaced by Guga.
  • Full Time. Fluminense FC beats SC Recife

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC54% Draw26% SC Recife20%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
80%
Draw or SC Recife
46%
Fluminense FC or SC Recife
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC34% Draw49% SC Recife17%
Actual: SC Recife win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
40%
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.