Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fluminense FC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 3 May 2025 · 21:30 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs SC Recife — Serie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SC Recife H 2–1 W
27 Apr Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
20 Apr EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
16 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–0 W
13 Apr Santos FC H 1–0 W
06 Apr RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
26 Apr Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
19 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–2 L
16 Apr RB Bragantino H 0–1 L
13 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–3 L
06 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Fluminense FC and SC Recife has kicked off!
  • 5' ze Lucas has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and SC Recife are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fluminense FC and SC Recife are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 24' What composure from Pablo Felipe! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 29' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Recife needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' SC Recife fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' Kevin Serna is replacing Agustin Canobbio for the Fluminense FC side.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 55' Nonato gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Hercules and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 60' GOAL! Kevin Serna fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 64' Rodrigo Atencio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 64.
  • 65' The crowd applauds ze Lucas as he leaves the pitch. Du Queiroz steps in for SC Recife.
  • 70' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Martinelli has done his job and it is now time for Ruben Lezcano to step up.
  • 75' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Recife that had 240 games and scored 123 goals.
  • 76' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
  • 81' Lucas Lima catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
  • 85' Carlos Alberto gets the nod from SC Recife. He replaces Pablo Felipe and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Time for substitution for SC Recife. Chrystian Barletta is replaced by Arthur.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Fluminense FC player. Lima gets a card.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Samuel Xavier is replaced by Guga.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC54% Draw26% SC Recife20%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
80%
Draw or SC Recife
46%
Fluminense FC or SC Recife
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC34% Draw49% SC Recife17%
Actual: SC Recife win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.