Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Recife vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 1 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
31 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 2–3 L
25 Aug SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct SC Recife A 2–2 D
28 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
31 Aug Santos FC A 0–0 D
23 Aug RB Bragantino A 2–4 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SC Recife to score. At the same time, Fluminense FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' SC Recife are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Ramon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Recife must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 33' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ignacio Ramirez on 33 minutes.
  • 38' SC Recife currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Ignacio. He receives a card.
  • 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 59' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. Ignacio Ramirez is withdrawn and Pablo Felipe gets his opportunity.
  • 63' Matheus Alexandre has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 63.
  • 64' What a strike from Luciano Acosta! The score is 0-1.
  • 67' Guga makes way for Samuel Xavier at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 68' ze Lucas is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
  • 71' SC Recife ring the changes. ze Lucas has done his job and it is now time for Lucas Lima to step up.
  • 73' GOAL! Lucas Lima fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 76' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Agustin Canobbio is withdrawn and Yeferson Soteldo gets his opportunity.
  • 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 83' Goal! John Kennedy scores his 22 goal in 398 matches.
  • 87' It is a substitution in SC Recife team. Hyoran is replaced by Rodrigo Atencio on 87 minute.
  • 88' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Hercules is withdrawn and Otavio gets his opportunity.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: SC Recife or Fluminense FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife35% Draw29% Fluminense FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
64%
Draw or Fluminense FC
65%
SC Recife or Fluminense FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife26% Draw48% Fluminense FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.