Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 29 Sep 2023 · 16:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep FC Schalke 04 H 3–1 W
22 Sep 1. FC Magdeburg A 1–1 D
15 Sep SV Wehen Wiesbaden H 2–1 W
02 Sep Holstein Kiel A 1–2 L
25 Aug 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 1–2 L
19 Aug TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep SC Paderborn 07 A 1–3 L
23 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–3 L
16 Sep 1. FC Magdeburg H 4–3 W
02 Sep SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 1–1 D
25 Aug Holstein Kiel H 0–2 L
20 Aug Eintracht Braunschweig A 0–1 L

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' SC Paderborn 07 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Schalke 04 backline.
  • 15' Mattes Hansen has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Paderborn 07 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' SC Paderborn 07 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 43' Felix Platte makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and SC Paderborn 07 are in front.
  • 48' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 51' That looks like a foul for a card for Cedric Brunner.
  • 53' A stunning finish from Florent Muslija — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 58' A change in the FC Schalke 04 ranks — Paul Seguin exits the field as Lino Tempelmann enters on 58.
  • 63' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 65' A change in the FC Schalke 04 ranks — Assan Ouedraogo exits the field as Tobias Mohr enters on 65.
  • 70' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Paderborn 07 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 71' Marcin Kaminski catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Kenan Karaman. He replaces Derry Murkin on 74 minute.
  • 76' Florent Muslija with the second goal in the match!
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Ilyas Ansah. He replaces Felix Platte on 79 minute.
  • 81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Adriano Grimaldi on 81 minutes.
  • 84' Ron Schallenberg was booked on 84.
  • 86' David Kinsombi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kai Klefisch at the 86 minute mark.
  • It finishes all square. SC Paderborn 07 and FC Schalke 04 share the spoils 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 FC Schalke 04 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0748% Draw25% FC Schalke 0427%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Schalke 04
52%
SC Paderborn 07 or FC Schalke 04
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0733% Draw44% FC Schalke 0423%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push FC Schalke 04 covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
FC Schalke 04 keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.