Sunday , 16 August 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 29 Sep 2023 · 16:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep FC Schalke 04 H 3–1 W
22 Sep 1. FC Magdeburg A 1–1 D
15 Sep SV Wehen Wiesbaden H 2–1 W
02 Sep Holstein Kiel A 1–2 L
25 Aug 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 1–2 L
19 Aug TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep SC Paderborn 07 A 1–3 L
23 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–3 L
16 Sep 1. FC Magdeburg H 4–3 W
02 Sep SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 1–1 D
25 Aug Holstein Kiel H 0–2 L
20 Aug Eintracht Braunschweig A 0–1 L

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are looking to make home advantage count against FC Schalke 04.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' FC Schalke 04 come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' Florent Muslija is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Paderborn 07 so far.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Paderborn 07 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' Raphael Obermair has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 43' What a moment for Felix Platte! That strike on 43 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 48' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 51' Controversy at the stadium! Cedric Brunner argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 53' A goal from the Kosovo international Florent Muslija! He fires home on 53 to make it 2-0!
  • 58' FC Schalke 04 make a change. Paul Seguin trudges off to be replaced by Lino Tempelmann on 58 minutes.
  • 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
  • 65' Tobias Mohr is replacing Assan Ouedraogo for the FC Schalke 04 side.
  • 70' Czech Republic international Tomas Kalas has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 71' FC Schalke 04 receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 74' FC Schalke 04 ring the changes. Derry Murkin has done his job and it is now time for Kenan Karaman to step up.
  • 76' GOAL! Florent Muslija scores on 76.
  • 79' SC Paderborn 07 make a change. Felix Platte trudges off to be replaced by Ilyas Ansah on 79 minutes.
  • 81' Adriano Grimaldi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 84' A moment of madness from Ron Schallenberg on 84 minutes earns him a card. FC Schalke 04 will be frustrated.
  • 86' SC Paderborn 07 make a change. Kai Klefisch trudges off to be replaced by David Kinsombi on 86 minutes.
  • Another three points for SC Paderborn 07.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 FC Schalke 04 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0748% Draw25% FC Schalke 0427%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Schalke 04
52%
SC Paderborn 07 or FC Schalke 04
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0733% Draw44% FC Schalke 0423%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push FC Schalke 04 covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
27%
FC Schalke 04 keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.