SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- FC Schalke 04 34 games · 70 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Timo Gerach
15 games this season
🟨 1.1/game
⚽ 5.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | FC Schalke 04 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Sep | Holstein Kiel | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Sep | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 4–3 | W |
| 02 Sep | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | Holstein Kiel | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| SC Paderborn 07 | FC Schalke 04 | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #1 |
| 62 | Points | 70 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 21 / 7 / 6 |
| 59 | Scored | 50 |
| 45 | Conceded | 31 |
| +14 | GD | +19 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 53% | Win % | 62% |
Key Stats
88%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
41%
Clean Sheets
FC Schalke 04 this season
FC Schalke 04 this season
SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). FC Schalke 04 are 1st (70 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Schalke 04
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are looking to make home advantage count against FC Schalke 04.
- 5' Paul Seguin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Schalke 04 so far.
- 10' SC Paderborn 07 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Schalke 04 backline.
- 15' It’s high time Lukas Kwasniok made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' Mattes Hansen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Schalke 04 tonight.
- 25' Bryan Lasme has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' FC Schalke 04 has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 40' Derry Murkin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 43' GOAL! Felix Platte scores on 43. Assisted by Sebastian Klaas
- 48' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 51' Poor challenge from Cedric Brunner. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 53' A stunning finish from Florent Muslija — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 58' FC Schalke 04 ring the changes. Paul Seguin has done his job and it is now time for Lino Tempelmann to step up.
- 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 65' FC Schalke 04 ring the changes. Assan Ouedraogo has done his job and it is now time for Tobias Mohr to step up.
- 70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
- 71' The referee shows FC Schalke 04 player a card on 71.
- 74' Kenan Karaman is replacing Derry Murkin for the FC Schalke 04 side.
- 76' Magnificent from Florent Muslija! That is 13 goals in 291 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 79' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Felix Platte departs to be replaced by Ilyas Ansah.
- 81' A moment of madness from Adriano Grimaldi on 81 minutes earns him a card. SC Paderborn 07 will be frustrated.
- 84' Poor challenge from Ron Schallenberg. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 86' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! David Kinsombi comes on to replace Kai Klefisch.
- SC Paderborn 07 celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 30
-
36
Felix Platte ↓ Ilyas Ansah 79'
- 39
- 15
-
27
Kai Klefisch ↓ David Kinsombi 86'
- 23
-
6
Marco Schuster ↓ Visar Musliu 86'
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↓ Niclas Nadj 74'
- 33
- 22
Bench
- 10
-
8
David Kinsombi ↑ 86'
- 1
-
16
Visar Musliu ↑ 86'
-
40
Niclas Nadj ↑ 74'
-
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 86'
- 19
- 17
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 79'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
FC Schalke 04 Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
-
2
Thomas Ouwejan ↓ Yusuf Kabadayi 58'
-
11
Bryan Lasme ↓ Dominick Drexler 65'
-
7
Paul Seguin ↓ Lino Tempelmann 58'
- 34
- 40
- 27
- 35
- 6
-
5
Derry Murkin ↓ Kenan Karaman 74'
-
43
Assan Ouedraogo ↓ Tobias Mohr 65'
Bench
-
24
Dominick Drexler ↑ 65'
-
29
Tobias Mohr ↑ 65'
-
19
Kenan Karaman ↑ 74'
-
10
Lino Tempelmann ↑ 58'
- 28
- 21
- 41
- 42
-
17
Yusuf Kabadayi ↑ 58'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kenan Karaman | 3 |
| Florent Muslija | 2 |
| Amine Harit | 2 |
| Ahmed Kutucu | 2 |
| Dejan Ljubicic | 2 |
| Laurin Curda | 1 |
| Janik Bachmann | 1 |
| Yusuf Kabadayi | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2023-09-29
SC Paderborn 07
3–1
FC Schalke 04
W
2023-09-22
1. FC Magdeburg
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2023-09-15
SC Paderborn 07
2–1
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
W
2023-09-02
Holstein Kiel
2–1
SC Paderborn 07
L
2023-08-25
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
2023-08-19
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
FC Schalke 04 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
FC Schalke 04 xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Schalke 04
54%
SC Paderborn 07 or FC Schalke 04
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.2%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | FC Schalke 04 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
FC Schalke 04 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.