SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .
- SBV Excelsior 7 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
3 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 7.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | AFC Ajax | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Jan | FC Twente '65 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jan | AZ | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jan | Telstar 1963 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Jan | PSV | A | 1–5 | L |
| 20 Dec | PEC Zwolle | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | SBV Excelsior | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Jan | PAE Olympiakos SFP | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | FC Volendam | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jan | Villarreal CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Jan | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Jan | Telstar 1963 | A | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| SBV Excelsior | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 11 | Points | 14 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 3 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 1 |
| 15 | Scored | 21 |
| 9 | Conceded | 9 |
| +6 | GD | +12 |
| 1.57 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 43% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
SBV Excelsior this season
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SBV Excelsior
| Aymen Sliti | 3 G | 1 A |
| David Garden | 3 G | |
| Irakli Yegoian | 2 G | 5 A |
| Noah Naujoks | 2 G | |
| Casper Widell | 1 G |
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax — let the football do the talking.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
SBV Excelsior Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 5 |
| Brian Brobbey | 4 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 3 |
| Mohammed Kudus | 3 |
| Donny van de Beek | 2 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 |
| Jorge Sanchez | 2 |
| Nikolas Agrafiotis | 2 |
Head to Head
SBV Excelsior Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78
SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
SBV Excelsior or AFC Ajax 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
SBV Excelsior or Draw
60%
Draw or AFC Ajax
63%
SBV Excelsior or AFC Ajax
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
4%
0 – 1
4%
2 – 0
3.5%
1 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior
| Handicap | SBV Excelsior covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 16% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 18% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.