Saturday , 14 November 2026

SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
SBV Excelsior
2 – 2
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 11:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 PSV 12 26
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 12 25
3 AFC Ajax 12 25
4 FC Twente '65 12 24
5 AZ 12 23
6 SC Heerenveen 12 21
7 Fortuna Sittard 12 20
8 Go Ahead Eagles 12 17
9 FC Groningen 12 15
10 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 12 15
11 NEC 12 14
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12 12
13 PEC Zwolle 12 12
14 FC Utrecht 12 12
15 SBV Excelsior 12 11
16 Telstar 1963 12 10
17 ADO Den Haag 12 9
18 Willem II Tilburg 12 3

Head-to-Head

1
4
4
SBV Excelsior 9 games · Avg 5.3 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-01 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax 2025-11-22 AFC Ajax 1–2 SBV Excelsior 2024-04-24 AFC Ajax 2–2 SBV Excelsior 2023-08-19 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax 2023-01-29 SBV Excelsior 1–4 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

SBV Excelsior
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
24 Jan FC Twente '65 A 0–0 D
21 Jan AZ A 1–1 D
17 Jan Telstar 1963 H 2–2 D
10 Jan PSV A 1–5 L
20 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D
28 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP H 1–2 L
24 Jan FC Volendam H 2–0 W
20 Jan Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
17 Jan Go Ahead Eagles H 2–2 D
11 Jan Telstar 1963 A 3–2 W

Season Stats

SBV Excelsior AFC Ajax
#15 Position #3
11 Points 25
12 Played 12
3 / 2 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 1
16 Scored 32
29 Conceded 15
-13 GD +17
0.92 PPG 2.08
25% Win % 58%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

SBV Excelsior are 15th (11 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/5
16-30
2/–
31-45
6/6
46-60
1/4
61-75
3/6
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
Irakli Yegoian 3 G 5 A
Aymen Sliti 3 G 1 A
David Garden 3 G
Noah Naujoks 2 G
Casper Widell 1 G
AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! SBV Excelsior welcome AFC Ajax for this crunch clash at .
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Dusan Tadic 5
Brian Brobbey 4
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 3
Mohammed Kudus 3
Davy Klaassen 2
Devyne Rensch 2
Donny van de Beek 2
Kasper Dolberg 2

Head to Head

2026-02-01 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax 2025-11-22 AFC Ajax 1–2 SBV Excelsior 2024-04-24 AFC Ajax 2–2 SBV Excelsior 2023-08-19 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax 2023-01-29 SBV Excelsior 1–4 AFC Ajax

SBV Excelsior Form

2026-02-01 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax D 2026-01-24 FC Twente '65 0–0 SBV Excelsior D 2026-01-21 AZ 1–1 SBV Excelsior D 2026-01-17 SBV Excelsior 2–2 Telstar 1963 D 2026-01-10 PSV 5–1 SBV Excelsior L 2025-12-20 SBV Excelsior 2–1 PEC Zwolle W

AFC Ajax Form

2026-02-01 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax D 2026-01-28 AFC Ajax 1–2 PAE Olympiakos SFP L 2026-01-24 AFC Ajax 2–0 FC Volendam W 2026-01-20 Villarreal CF 1–2 AFC Ajax W 2026-01-17 AFC Ajax 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles D 2026-01-11 Telstar 1963 2–3 AFC Ajax W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.67 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior26% Draw21% AFC Ajax53%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 4.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

SBV Excelsior or Draw
48%
Draw or AFC Ajax
74%
SBV Excelsior or AFC Ajax
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SBV Excelsior18% Draw35% AFC Ajax47%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 3
7.2%
1 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
5.2%
0 – 3
5.1%
1 – 4
4.8%
2 – 1
4.5%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
3.5%
0 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior

Handicap SBV Excelsior covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 11% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 38% — 62%
+1 38% 20% 43%
+1.5 57% — 43%
+2 57% 18% 25%
+2.5 75% — 25%

Clean Sheet

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.