SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .
- SBV Excelsior 34 games · 38 pts (2025/26)
- AFC Ajax 34 games · 56 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
20 games this season 🟨 0.3/game ⚽ 4.1 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 PSV 34 84 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 34 65 3 NEC 34 59 4 FC Twente '65 34 58 5 AFC Ajax 34 56 6 FC Utrecht 34 53 7 AZ 34 52 8 SC Heerenveen 34 51 9 FC Groningen 34 48 10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 43 11 Fortuna Sittard 34 39 12 Go Ahead Eagles 34 38 13 SBV Excelsior 34 38 14 Telstar 1963 34 37 15 PEC Zwolle 34 37 16 FC Volendam 34 32 17 NAC Breda 34 29 18 Heracles Almelo 34 19 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 01 Feb AFC Ajax H 2–2 D 24 Jan FC Twente '65 A 0–0 D 21 Jan AZ A 1–1 D 17 Jan Telstar 1963 H 2–2 D 10 Jan PSV A 1–5 L 20 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D 28 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP H 1–2 L 24 Jan FC Volendam H 2–0 W 20 Jan Villarreal CF A 2–1 W 17 Jan Go Ahead Eagles H 2–2 D 11 Jan Telstar 1963 A 3–2 W Season Stats
SBV Excelsior AFC Ajax #13 Position #5 38 Points 56 34 Played 34 10 / 8 / 16 W / D / L 14 / 14 / 6 43 Scored 62 56 Conceded 41 -13 GD +21 1.12 PPG 1.65 29% Win % 41% Key Stats
100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history18% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this seasonSBV Excelsior are 13th (38 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (56 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SBV Excelsior0-151/316-301/131-452/–46-602/361-753/176+3/1■ Scored ■ ConcededAFC Ajax0-151/116-303/131-452/–46-601/–61-75–/–76+2/4■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for SBV Excelsior and AFC Ajax.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
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Lineups
SBV Excelsior Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Dusan Tadic 5 Brian Brobbey 4 Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 3 Mohammed Kudus 3 Davy Klaassen 2 Devyne Rensch 2 Donny van de Beek 2 Kasper Dolberg 2 Head to Head
SBV Excelsior Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.5 SBV Excelsior xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.99 AFC Ajax xGI would bet for: SBV Excelsior or AFC Ajax 75% + Both teams to score 67%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.49Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 96% 4% ± 1.5 86% 14% ± 2.5 67% 33% ± 3.5 46% 54% ± 4.5 27% 73% Double Chance
SBV Excelsior or Draw 58%Draw or AFC Ajax 67%SBV Excelsior or AFC Ajax 75%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 10%1 – 2 8.7%2 – 1 6.6%2 – 2 Actual0 – 2 6%1 – 3 5.7%0 – 1 5.5%0 – 0 4.4%2 – 3 4.3%1 – 0 4%0 – 3 3.9%2 – 0 3.5%Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior
Handicap SBV Excelsior covers Push AFC Ajax covers -2.5 5% — 95% -2 5% 8% 86% -1.5 14% — 86% -1 14% 15% 71% -0.5 29% — 71% +0.5 52% — 48% +1 52% 20% 28% +1.5 72% — 28% +2 72% 15% 13% +2.5 87% — 13% Clean Sheet
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet 15% ✓AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet 23% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.