Thursday , 2 July 2026

PSV vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
5 1
Full Time
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs SBV ExcelsiorEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Joey Kooij

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan SBV Excelsior H 5–1 W
21 Dec FC Utrecht A 2–1 W
13 Dec Heracles Almelo H 4–3 W
09 Dec Club Atletico de Madrid H 2–3 L
06 Dec SC Heerenveen A 2–0 W
30 Nov FC Volendam H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan PSV A 1–5 L
20 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
05 Dec FC Groningen H 0–2 L
29 Nov NAC Breda H 1–0 W
22 Nov AFC Ajax A 2–1 W
08 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L

Season Stats

PSV SBV Excelsior
#12 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PSV are 12th (0 pts). SBV Excelsior are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SBV Excelsior gets underway.
  • The final score is 5-1.

Lineups

PSV Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.81 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: PSV to win 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV65% Draw23% SBV Excelsior12%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
88%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
35%
PSV or SBV Excelsior
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PSV44% Draw46% SBV Excelsior10%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
15.2%
2 – 0
14%
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 20% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 26% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
54%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.