Italy vs Russia, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Russia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Real Valladolid CF | H | 6–2 | W |
| 26 Nov | Czechia | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Nov | RSC Anderlecht | H | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Nov | Hungary | A | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Switzerland | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Russia Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.48
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
Russia xG
I would bet for:
Italy or Russia 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
72%
Draw or Russia
55%
Italy or Russia
72%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Russia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Russia keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.