Real Madrid CF vs UD Almería, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs UD Almería — La Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
- UD Almería 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Aitor Villate Martinez (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | UD Almería | H | 3–2 | W |
| 03 Jan | RCD Mallorca | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Deportivo Alaves | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Dec | Villarreal CF | H | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Dec | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Dec | Real Betis Balompie | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | Girona FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Jan | CA Osasuna | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Dec | FC Barcelona | A | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Dec | RCD Mallorca | H | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Dec | Club Atletico de Madrid | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid CF are looking to make home advantage count against UD Almeria.
- 1' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Largie Ramazani makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 6' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a 4-3-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against UD Almeria's 5-4-1 shape.
- 11' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 16' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 21' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 26' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 36' UD Almeria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aurelien Tchouameni made 391 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 43' What composure from Edgar Gonzalez! The Spain international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 46' Brahim Diaz is replacing Nacho for the Real Madrid CF side.
- 51' The travelling UD Almeria supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 52' UD Almeria player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 57' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jude Bellingham makes it 1-2.
- 61' Magnificent from Sergio Arribas! That is 21 goals in 545 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 64' The referee has no hesitation. Dion Lopy is booked for UD Almeria — Yellow card on 64.
- 65' UD Almeria player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 67' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 67. Assisted by Aurelien Tchouameni
- 70' UD Almeria make a change. Marc Pubill trudges off to be replaced by Alejandro Pozo on 70 minutes.
- 72' UD Almeria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alejandro Pozo is hanging Marc Pubill on the field on 72 minute.
- 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alejandro Pozo on 74.
- 77' Another change for UD Almeria made on 77 minute. Largie Ramazani leaves to be changed by Adri Embarba.
- 78' Time for substitution for UD Almeria. Largie Ramazani is replaced by Adri Embarba.
- 82' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 82 minute. Toni Kroos leaves to be changed by Eduardo Camavinga.
- 84' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Edgar Gonzalez on 84 minutes.
- 85' Gonzalo Melero is replacing Lucas Robertone for the UD Almeria side.
- 90' The referee shows UD Almeria player a Red card on 90.
- It finishes all square. Real Madrid CF and UD Almeria share the spoils 3-2.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 22
- 25
-
23
Ferland Mendy ↓ Fran Garcia 46'
- 18
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Eduardo Camavinga 82'
-
6
Nacho ↓ Brahim Diaz 46'
- 15
- 7
- 2
- 11
- 5
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 46'
-
14
Joselu ↑ 46'
- 13
- 10
- 17
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↑ 70'
-
12
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 82'
- 24
- 26
-
20
Fran Garcia ↑ 46'
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
UD Almería Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 3
- 25
- 15
- 5
- 6
-
7
Largie Ramazani ↓ Adri Embarba 77'
-
19
Sergio Arribas ↓ Lazaro 77'
- 2
-
18
Marc Pubill ↓ Alejandro Pozo 70'
- 21
-
29
Marko Milovanovic ↓ Luis Suarez 70'
Bench
- 20
-
17
Alejandro Pozo ↑ 70'
- 1
- 13
-
10
Adri Embarba ↑ 77'
-
9
Luis Suarez ↑ 70'
-
14
Lazaro ↑ 77'
-
11
Gonzalo Melero ↑ 85'
- 33
- 27
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 3 |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 |
| Largie Ramazani | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 |
| David Alaba | 1 |
| Edgar Gonzalez | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
UD Almería xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
81%
Draw or UD Almería
40%
Real Madrid CF or UD Almería
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: UD Almería win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | UD Almería covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 22% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

