Saturday , 14 November 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Olympique de Marseille
5 – 2
Full Time
Paris FC
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier
6 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 10 23
2 Lille OSC 10 21
3 Paris FC 10 20
4 Olympique de Marseille 10 18
5 Olympique Lyonnais 10 17
6 OGC Nice 10 17
7 AS Monaco FC 10 16
8 Stade Rennais FC 1901 10 16
9 Stade Brestois 29 10 15
10 FC Lorient 10 15
11 Racing Club de Lens 10 13
12 Toulouse FC 10 13
13 RC Strasbourg Alsace 10 10
14 AJ Auxerre 10 10
15 Le Mans FC 10 8
16 Angers SCO 10 8
17 ES Troyes AC 10 8
18 Le Havre AC 10 2

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Olympique de Marseille 3 games · Avg 5.3 goals Paris FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-23 Olympique de Marseille 5–2 Paris FC

Recent Form

Olympique de Marseille
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Paris FC H 5–2 W
15 Aug Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
17 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 4–2 W
10 May Le Havre AC A 3–1 W
04 May Lille OSC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Stade Brestois 29 H 4–1 W
Paris FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Olympique de Marseille A 2–5 L
17 Aug Angers SCO A 0–1 L
10 May AC Ajaccio H 2–0 W
02 May FC Martigues A 1–1 D
26 Apr Rodez Aveyron Football A 1–1 D
19 Apr SC Bastia H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Paris FC
#4 Position #3
18 Points 20
10 Played 10
6 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 6 / 2 / 2
22 Scored 17
14 Conceded 10
+8 GD +7
1.80 PPG 2.00
60% Win % 60%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
40% Clean Sheets
Paris FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 4th (18 pts). Paris FC are 3rd (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
4/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/4
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 7 G 3 A
Amine Harit 3 G 1 A
Himad Abdelli 3 G
Igor Paixao 2 G 1 A
Keyliane Abdallah 2 G
Paris FC
Lassine Sinayoko 9 G 5 A
Pablo Pagis 2 G 2 A
Maxime Lopez 2 G 1 A
Vincent Marchetti 1 G
Samir Chergui 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

Paris FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.94 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 Paris FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille61% Draw19% Paris FC20%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
80%
Draw or Paris FC
39%
Olympique de Marseille or Paris FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille48% Draw33% Paris FC19%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.6%
4 – 1
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
4 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Paris FC covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 18% 56%
-1.5 44% — 56%
-1 44% 19% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 10% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.