Sunday , 16 August 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Olympique de Marseille
5 – 2
Full Time
Paris FC
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Nantes 34 24
2 FC Metz 34 17
3 Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 0
4 Racing Club de Lens 0 0
5 Lille OSC 0 0
6 Olympique Lyonnais 0 0
7 Olympique de Marseille 0 0
8 Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 0
9 AS Monaco FC 0 0
10 RC Strasbourg Alsace 0 0
11 Toulouse FC 0 0
12 FC Lorient 0 0
13 Paris FC 0 0
14 Stade Brestois 29 0 0
15 ES Troyes AC 0 0
16 Angers SCO 0 0
17 Le Mans FC 0 0
18 Le Havre AC 0 0
19 AJ Auxerre 0 0
20 OGC Nice 0 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
Olympique de Marseille 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals Paris FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-23 Olympique de Marseille 5–2 Paris FC

Recent Form

Olympique de Marseille
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Paris FC H 5–2 W
15 Aug Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
17 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 4–2 W
10 May Le Havre AC A 3–1 W
04 May Lille OSC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Stade Brestois 29 H 4–1 W
Paris FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Olympique de Marseille A 2–5 L
17 Aug Angers SCO A 0–1 L
10 May AC Ajaccio H 2–0 W
02 May FC Martigues A 1–1 D
26 Apr Rodez Aveyron Football A 1–1 D
19 Apr SC Bastia H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Paris FC
#7 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
– PPG –
– Win % –

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts). Paris FC are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Olympique de Marseille get us underway at .
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

Paris FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.08 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Paris FC xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille62% Draw22% Paris FC16%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
84%
Draw or Paris FC
38%
Olympique de Marseille or Paris FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille46% Draw42% Paris FC12%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
11.3%
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Paris FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 23% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.