Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Olympique de Marseille
5 – 2
Full Time
Paris FC
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Nantes 34 24
2 FC Metz 34 17
3 Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 0
4 Racing Club de Lens 0 0
5 Lille OSC 0 0
6 Olympique Lyonnais 0 0
7 Olympique de Marseille 0 0
8 Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 0
9 AS Monaco FC 0 0
10 RC Strasbourg Alsace 0 0
11 Toulouse FC 0 0
12 FC Lorient 0 0
13 Paris FC 0 0
14 Stade Brestois 29 0 0
15 ES Troyes AC 0 0
16 Angers SCO 0 0
17 Le Mans FC 0 0
18 Le Havre AC 0 0
19 AJ Auxerre 0 0
20 OGC Nice 0 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
Olympique de Marseille 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals Paris FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-23 Olympique de Marseille 5–2 Paris FC

Recent Form

Olympique de Marseille
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Paris FC H 5–2 W
15 Aug Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
17 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 4–2 W
10 May Le Havre AC A 3–1 W
04 May Lille OSC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Stade Brestois 29 H 4–1 W
Paris FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Olympique de Marseille A 2–5 L
17 Aug Angers SCO A 0–1 L
10 May AC Ajaccio H 2–0 W
02 May FC Martigues A 1–1 D
26 Apr Rodez Aveyron Football A 1–1 D
19 Apr SC Bastia H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Paris FC
#7 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
– PPG –
– Win % –

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts). Paris FC are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

Paris FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.08 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Paris FC xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille62% Draw22% Paris FC16%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
84%
Draw or Paris FC
38%
Olympique de Marseille or Paris FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille46% Draw42% Paris FC12%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
11.3%
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Paris FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 23% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.