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Real Madrid CF vs AS Roma, 2018-19 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Champions League · 2018-19
3 0
Full Time
Wed 19 Sep 2018 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs AS Roma — Champions League .

Match Details

  • Referee Bjorn Kuipers
  • Referee Sander van Roekel
  • Referee Erwin Zeinstra
  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Dennis Higler

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep AS Roma H 3–0 W
15 Sep Athletic Club A 1–1 D
01 Sep CD Leganes H 4–1 W
26 Aug Girona FC A 4–1 W
19 Aug Getafe CF H 2–0 W
05 May Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Real Madrid CF A 0–3 L
16 Sep AC Chievo Verona H 2–2 D
31 Aug AC Milan A 1–2 L
27 Aug Atalanta BC H 3–3 D
19 Aug Torino FC A 1–0 W
05 May Albania A 2–2 D

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 15 G 1 A
Vinicius Junior 5 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Real Madrid CF and AS Roma has kicked off!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AS Roma needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Gareth Bale has been relatively quiet despite scoring 43 goals in his last 545 appearances.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alessandro Florenzi made 527 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 23' The referee has no hesitation. Sergio Ramos is booked for Real Madrid CF — Yellow card on 23.
  • 28' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Real Madrid CF and AS Roma are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 43' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 44' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Daniele De Rossi.
  • 45' Isco doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 50' Real Madrid CF have won 775 goals from 545 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 54' Time for substitution for AS Roma. Nicolo Zaniolo is replaced by Lorenzo Pellegrini.
  • 58' What a moment for Gareth Bale! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CFMarco Asensio on, Karim Benzema off on 62 minutes.
  • 67' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 69' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Steven N'Zonzi is withdrawn and Patrik Schick gets his opportunity.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Mariano Diaz comes on to replace Gareth Bale.
  • 76' AS Roma player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Stephan El Shaarawy suffering a number of foals already.
  • 85' Dani Ceballos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luka Modric on 85 minute.
  • 90' Brilliant from the ! Mariano Diaz makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 90.
  • AS Roma will have plenty to reflect on. Real Madrid CF were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF63% Draw23% AS Roma14%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
86%
Draw or AS Roma
37%
Real Madrid CF or AS Roma
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF43% Draw46% AS Roma11%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.2%
2 – 0
12.4%
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 25% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
48%
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.