FK Dinamo Moskva vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

FK Dinamo Moskva

4 – 2

Full Time

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Sun 15 Sep 2024 · 11:15 UTC VTB Arena 10,582 HT 45' · FT 45'

Jorge Carrascal pen 43' 1–0

Konstantin Tyukavin 48' 2–0

2–1 54' Mauro Luna Diale

2–2 63' Lechi Sadulaev

Denis Makarov 90+3' 3–2

Luka Gagnidze 90+9' 4–2

Y 73' Lechi Sadulaev

Y 78' Darko Todorovic

Overview

Match Preview

FK Dinamo Moskva vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL at VTB Arena.

FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Dinamo Moskva 20 games · Avg 3.0 goals RFK Akhmat Grozny

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-15 FK Dinamo Moskva 4–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2024-03-09 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2023-10-01 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva 2023-05-14 FK Dinamo Moskva 0–3 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2022-10-02 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–1 FK Dinamo Moskva

Recent Form

FK Dinamo Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	4–2	W
01 Sep	FK Orenburg	A	2–2	D
25 Aug	FK Krasnodar	H	0–1	L
17 Aug	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	1–0	W
10 Aug	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–1	L
03 Aug	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	2–0	W

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	2–4	L
31 Aug	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	0–0	D
24 Aug	FK Khimki	H	3–3	D
19 Aug	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	0–1	L
11 Aug	FK Spartak Moskva	A	0–0	D
04 Aug	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	0–5	L

Season Stats

FK Dinamo Moskva		RFK Akhmat Grozny
#7	Position	#9
45	Points	37
30	Played	30
12 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 10 / 11
51	Scored	35
40	Conceded	39
+11	GD	-4
1.50	PPG	1.23
40%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at VTB Arena!
5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with RFK Akhmat Grozny winning 50% of all matches.
25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aleksandr Zhirov made 154 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
40' A quiet spell here at VTB Arena. RFK Akhmat Grozny seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
43' Jorge Carrascal puts FK Dinamo Moskva on the lead.
46' Vladislav Kamilov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniil Utkin at the 46 minute mark.
48' The Russia Konstantin Tyukavin breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 2-0!
53' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maksim Samorodov, as he is very good at scoring at VTB Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
54' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mauro Luna Diale makes it 2-1.
59' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
62' Time for substitution for RFK Akhmat Grozny. Felippe Cardoso is replaced by Maksim Samorodov.
63' Lechi Sadulaev adds to his 1 season tally! RFK Akhmat Grozny lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
67' A tactical swap from FK Dinamo Moskva — Nicolas Marichal on, Dmitrii Skopintsev off on 67 minutes.
72' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Dinamo Moskva and RFK Akhmat Grozny are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
73' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lechi Sadulaev.
75' A change in the RFK Akhmat Grozny ranks — Mauro Luna Diale exits the field as Ismael enters on 75.
76' Another substitution for RFK Akhmat Grozny to replace Lechi Sadulaev by Svetoslav Kovachev on 76 minute.
78' The referee has no hesitation. Darko Todorovic is booked for RFK Akhmat Grozny — card on 78.
82' Camilo makes way for Nader Ghandri at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from RFK Akhmat Grozny.
83' A tactical swap from FK Dinamo Moskva — Denis Makarov on, Yaroslav Gladyshev off on 83 minutes.
88' It looks surprising FK Dinamo Moskva does not make any changes. Svetoslav Kovachev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
90' FK Dinamo Moskva make a change. Bitelo trudges off to be replaced by Luka Gagnidze on 90 minutes.
RFK Akhmat Grozny will have plenty to reflect on. FK Dinamo Moskva were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

7
Dmitrii Skopintsev ↓ Nicolas Marichal 67'
1
Andrei Lunev
11
Arthur Gomes ↓ El Mehdi Maouhoub 67'
2
Eli Dasa
8
Jorge Carrascal ↓ Aleksandr Kutitskiy 90'
74
Daniil Fomin
70
Konstantin Tyukavin
91
Yaroslav Gladyshev ↓ Denis Makarov 83'
6
Roberto Fernandez
10
Bitelo ↓ Luka Gagnidze 90'
5
Milan Majstorovic

Bench

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

2
Aleksandr Zhirov
23
Anton Shvets
55
Darko Todorovic
30
Felippe Cardoso ↓ Maksim Samorodov 62'
88
Georgi Sheliya
47
Daniil Utkin ↓ Vladislav Kamilov 46'
19
Mauro Luna Diale ↓ Ismael 75'
95
Arsen Adamov
15
Camilo ↓ Nader Ghandri 82'
5
Milos Satara
10
Lechi Sadulaev ↓ Svetoslav Kovachev 76'

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Konstantin Tyukavin	3
Vladislav Karapuzov	2
Anton Shvets	2
Ivan Ordets	2
Luis Chavez	1
Odise Roshi	1
Mauro Luna Diale	1
Denis Glushakov	1

Head to Head

FK Dinamo Moskva Form

2024-09-15 FK Dinamo Moskva 4–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny W 2024-09-01 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2024-08-25 FK Dinamo Moskva 0–1 FK Krasnodar L 2024-08-17 FK Dinamo Moskva 1–0 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2024-08-10 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Dinamo Moskva L 2024-08-03 FK Akron Tolyatti 0–2 FK Dinamo Moskva W

RFK Akhmat Grozny Form

2024-09-15 FK Dinamo Moskva 4–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2024-08-31 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–0 FK Akron Tolyatti D 2024-08-24 RFK Akhmat Grozny 3–3 FK Khimki D 2024-08-19 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2024-08-11 FK Spartak Moskva 0–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny D 2024-08-04 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–5 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.97 FK Dinamo Moskva xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Dinamo Moskva54% Draw23% RFK Akhmat Grozny23%

Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.21

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

FK Dinamo Moskva or Draw

78%

Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny

46%

FK Dinamo Moskva or RFK Akhmat Grozny

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Dinamo Moskva39% Draw42% RFK Akhmat Grozny19%

Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

10.7%

2 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

7.8%

1 – 0

7.3%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

5.9%

2 – 2

5.8%

0 – 0

5.6%

3 – 0

0 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

3.9%

0 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Dinamo Moskva

Handicap	FK Dinamo Moskva covers	Push	RFK Akhmat Grozny covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	16%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	21%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.