FK Dinamo Moskva vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

FK Dinamo Moskva

4 – 2

Full Time

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Sun 15 Sep 2024 · 11:15 UTC VTB Arena 10,582 HT 45' · FT 45'

Jorge Carrascal pen 43' 1–0

Konstantin Tyukavin 48' 2–0

2–1 54' Mauro Luna Diale

2–2 63' Lechi Sadulaev

Denis Makarov 90+3' 3–2

Luka Gagnidze 90+9' 4–2

Y 73' Lechi Sadulaev

Y 78' Darko Todorovic

Overview

Match Preview

FK Dinamo Moskva vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL at VTB Arena.

FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2025/26)
RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Dinamo Moskva 20 games · Avg 3.0 goals RFK Akhmat Grozny

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-15 FK Dinamo Moskva 4–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2024-03-09 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2023-10-01 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva 2023-05-14 FK Dinamo Moskva 0–3 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2022-10-02 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–1 FK Dinamo Moskva

Recent Form

FK Dinamo Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	4–2	W
01 Sep	FK Orenburg	A	2–2	D
25 Aug	FK Krasnodar	H	0–1	L
17 Aug	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	1–0	W
10 Aug	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–1	L
03 Aug	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	2–0	W

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	2–4	L
31 Aug	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	0–0	D
24 Aug	FK Khimki	H	3–3	D
19 Aug	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	0–1	L
11 Aug	FK Spartak Moskva	A	0–0	D
04 Aug	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	0–5	L

Season Stats

FK Dinamo Moskva		RFK Akhmat Grozny
#7	Position	#9
45	Points	37
30	Played	30
12 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 10 / 11
51	Scored	35
40	Conceded	39
+11	GD	-4
1.50	PPG	1.23
40%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
FK Dinamo Moskva this season

20% Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season

FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Dinamo Moskva

0-15

2/–

16-30

3/1

31-45

2/4

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

RFK Akhmat Grozny

0-15

1/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! FK Dinamo Moskva vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — let the football do the talking.
5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Milos Satara is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Dinamo Moskva.
10' Lechi Sadulaev has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
20' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Dinamo Moskva is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
30' RFK Akhmat Grozny looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
35' Bitelo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Dinamo Moskva so far.
40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
43' What composure from Jorge Carrascal! The Colombia international strokes it home. 1-0.
46' A tactical swap from RFK Akhmat Grozny — Vladislav Kamilov on, Daniil Utkin off on 46 minutes.
48' Konstantin Tyukavin does the damage! The net is bulging and FK Dinamo Moskva surge ahead!
53' FK Dinamo Moskva have won 348 goals from 363 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
54' The deadlock is broken! Mauro Luna Diale gets on the scoresheet on 54 minutes.
59' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Dinamo Moskva that had 363 games and scored 348 goals.
62' Fresh legs for RFK Akhmat Grozny! Maksim Samorodov comes on to replace Felippe Cardoso.
63' A goal from the Russia international Lechi Sadulaev! He fires home on 63 to make it 2-2!
67' The crowd applauds Dmitrii Skopintsev as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Marichal steps in for FK Dinamo Moskva.
72' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
73' Controversy at the stadium! Lechi Sadulaev argues furiously but the card stands.
75' RFK Akhmat Grozny manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ismael is hanging Mauro Luna Diale on the field on 75 minute.
76' Svetoslav Kovachev gets the nod from RFK Akhmat Grozny. He replaces Lechi Sadulaev and will look to change the dynamic.
78' It’s a booking for RFK Akhmat Grozny player. Darko Todorovic gets a card.
82' Nader Ghandri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Camilo on 82 minute.
83' A change in the FK Dinamo Moskva ranks — Yaroslav Gladyshev exits the field as Denis Makarov enters on 83.
88' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Dinamo Moskva and RFK Akhmat Grozny are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
90' The supporters are chanting for Luka Gagnidze. He replaces Bitelo on 90 minute.
It finishes all square. FK Dinamo Moskva and RFK Akhmat Grozny share the spoils 4-2.

Lineups

FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

7
Dmitrii Skopintsev ↓ Nicolas Marichal 67'
1
Andrei Lunev
11
Arthur Gomes ↓ El Mehdi Maouhoub 67'
2
Eli Dasa
8
Jorge Carrascal ↓ Aleksandr Kutitskiy 90'
74
Daniil Fomin
70
Konstantin Tyukavin
91
Yaroslav Gladyshev ↓ Denis Makarov 83'
6
Roberto Fernandez
10
Bitelo ↓ Luka Gagnidze 90'
5
Milan Majstorovic

Bench

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

2
Aleksandr Zhirov
23
Anton Shvets
55
Darko Todorovic
30
Felippe Cardoso ↓ Maksim Samorodov 62'
88
Georgi Sheliya
47
Daniil Utkin ↓ Vladislav Kamilov 46'
19
Mauro Luna Diale ↓ Ismael 75'
95
Arsen Adamov
15
Camilo ↓ Nader Ghandri 82'
5
Milos Satara
10
Lechi Sadulaev ↓ Svetoslav Kovachev 76'

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Konstantin Tyukavin	3
Ivan Ordets	2
Vladislav Karapuzov	2
Anton Shvets	2
Anton Shunin	1
Svetoslav Kovachev	1
Andres Ponce	1
Zoran Nizic	1

Head to Head

FK Dinamo Moskva Form

2024-09-15 FK Dinamo Moskva 4–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny W 2024-09-01 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2024-08-25 FK Dinamo Moskva 0–1 FK Krasnodar L 2024-08-17 FK Dinamo Moskva 1–0 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2024-08-10 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Dinamo Moskva L 2024-08-03 FK Akron Tolyatti 0–2 FK Dinamo Moskva W

RFK Akhmat Grozny Form

2024-09-15 FK Dinamo Moskva 4–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2024-08-31 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–0 FK Akron Tolyatti D 2024-08-24 RFK Akhmat Grozny 3–3 FK Khimki D 2024-08-19 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2024-08-11 FK Spartak Moskva 0–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny D 2024-08-04 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–5 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.97 FK Dinamo Moskva xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Dinamo Moskva54% Draw23% RFK Akhmat Grozny23%

Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.21

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

FK Dinamo Moskva or Draw

78%

Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny

46%

FK Dinamo Moskva or RFK Akhmat Grozny

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Dinamo Moskva39% Draw42% RFK Akhmat Grozny19%

Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

10.7%

2 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

7.8%

1 – 0

7.3%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

5.9%

2 – 2

5.8%

0 – 0

5.6%

3 – 0

0 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

3.9%

0 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Dinamo Moskva

Handicap	FK Dinamo Moskva covers	Push	RFK Akhmat Grozny covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	16%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	21%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.