RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Rubin Kazan, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

RFK Akhmat Grozny

2 – 1

Full Time

FK Rubin Kazan

Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 16:00 UTC Akhmat Arena 3,537 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 10' Dardan Shabanhaxhaj

Nader Ghandri pen 41' 1–1

Nader Ghandri 63' 2–1

Y 24' Nikola Cumic

Y 33' Igor Vujacic

Y 38' Egor Teslenko

Y 49' Rustam Ashurmatov

Lechi Sadulaev 75' Y

Daniil Utkin 90' Y

Y 90' Veldin Hodza

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Rubin Kazan — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.

RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
FK Rubin Kazan 30 games · 43 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny 14 games · Avg 1.9 goals FK Rubin Kazan

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-01 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–1 FK Rubin Kazan 2024-10-05 FK Rubin Kazan 2–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2024-03-31 FK Rubin Kazan 2–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2023-10-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–1 FK Rubin Kazan 2022-03-07 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Rubin Kazan

Recent Form

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Mar	FK Rubin Kazan	H	2–1	W
08 Dec	FK Orenburg	H	1–0	W
02 Dec	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	1–1	D
24 Nov	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	1–2	L
10 Nov	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	1–2	L
03 Nov	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	0–2	L

FK Rubin Kazan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Mar	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	3–2	W
30 Nov	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	2–2	D
22 Nov	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	3–0	W
10 Nov	FK Krasnodar	H	1–1	D
02 Nov	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny		FK Rubin Kazan
#9	Position	#8
37	Points	43
30	Played	30
9 / 10 / 11	W / D / L	11 / 10 / 9
35	Scored	29
39	Conceded	30
-4	GD	-1
1.23	PPG	1.43
30%	Win %	37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season

47% Clean Sheets
FK Rubin Kazan this season

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RFK Akhmat Grozny

0-15

1/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Rubin Kazan

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/1

61-75

–/3

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. RFK Akhmat Grozny is hosting FK Rubin Kazan for another epic battle.
5' The 25-year-old Marat Apshatsev has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
10' Dardan Shabanhaxhaj is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
15' RFK Akhmat Grozny seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
24' Nikola Cumic picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
29' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
33' The referee shows FK Rubin Kazan player a card on 33.
38' It’s gonna be a card for Egor Teslenko.
41' What a moment for Nader Ghandri! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
46' The crowd applauds Nikola Cumic as he leaves the pitch. Bogdan Jocic steps in for FK Rubin Kazan.
49' Rustam Ashurmatov catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 49.
54' RFK Akhmat Grozny are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Rubin Kazan's 5-4-1 shape.
59' The home supporters are growing impatient. RFK Akhmat Grozny must find a spark to ignite this game.
63' The Tunisia Nader Ghandri breaks the deadlock on 63 minutes. 2-1!
68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
71' RFK Akhmat Grozny make a change. Maksim Samorodov trudges off to be replaced by Daniil Zorin on 71 minutes.
75' A moment of madness from Lechi Sadulaev on 75 minutes earns him a card. RFK Akhmat Grozny will be frustrated.
78' Rodrigo Ruiz Diaz gets the nod from RFK Akhmat Grozny. He replaces Georgi Melkadze and will look to change the dynamic.
79' A tactical swap from RFK Akhmat Grozny — Vladislav Kamilov on, Mohamed Amine Talal off on 79 minutes.
82' Another substitution for FK Rubin Kazan to replace Dardan Shabanhaxhaj by Marvin Cuni on 82 minute.
86' Another change for FK Rubin Kazan made on 86 minute. Ugochukwu Iwu leaves to be changed by Oleg Ivanov.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Daniil Utkin.
2-1 the final result. FK Rubin Kazan will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

14
Mohamed Amine Talal ↓ Vladislav Kamilov 79'
55
Darko Todorovic
88
Georgi Sheliya
75
Nader Ghandri
47
Daniil Utkin
95
Arsen Adamov
10
Lechi Sadulaev
77
Georgi Melkadze ↓ Rodrigo Ruiz Diaz 78'
4
Turpal-Ali Ibishev
11
Ismael
20
Maksim Samorodov ↓ Daniil Zorin 71'

Bench

Coach Sergey Tashuev

FK Rubin Kazan Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

24
Nikola Cumic ↓ Bogdan Jocic 46'
15
Igor Vujacic
10
Mirlind Daku
99
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj ↓ Marvin Cuni 82'
18
Marat Apshatsev ↓ Veldin Hodza 46'
2
Egor Teslenko
5
Rustam Ashurmatov ↓ Valentin Vada 82'
6
Ugochukwu Iwu ↓ Oleg Ivanov 86'
70
Dmitriy Kabutov
51
Ilya Rozhkov
38
Evgeniy Staver

Bench

Coach Rashid Rakhimov

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniil Utkin	2
Mirlind Daku	2
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	2
Nader Ghandri	2
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj	1
Sead Haksabanovic	1
Ablay Mbengue	1
Oliver Abildgaard	1

Head to Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny Form

2025-03-01 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–1 FK Rubin Kazan W 2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg W 2024-12-02 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2024-11-24 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2024-11-10 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-11-03 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod L

FK Rubin Kazan Form

2025-03-01 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–1 FK Rubin Kazan L 2024-12-07 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 2–3 FK Rubin Kazan W 2024-11-30 PFC CSKA Moskva 2–2 FK Rubin Kazan D 2024-11-22 FK Rubin Kazan 3–0 FK Akron Tolyatti W 2024-11-10 FK Rubin Kazan 1–1 FK Krasnodar D 2024-11-02 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 FK Rubin Kazan L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.17 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 FK Rubin Kazan xG

I would bet for: RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Rubin Kazan 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny36% Draw30% FK Rubin Kazan34%

Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw

66%

Draw or FK Rubin Kazan

64%

RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Rubin Kazan

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny24% Draw50% FK Rubin Kazan26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

11.3%

0 – 1

10%

1 – 0

9.5%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

2 – 2

4.6%

1 – 3

3.2%

3 – 1

2.9%

0 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap	RFK Akhmat Grozny covers	Push	FK Rubin Kazan covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	19%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	20%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	11%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.