Sunday , 16 August 2026

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 16:45 UTC Akhmat Arena 5,328 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 86' Jhon Cordoba

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK KrasnodarRFPL at Akhmat Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Anton Frolov
  • Assistant 1 Kirill Bolshakov (Russia)
  • Assistant 2 Egor Bolkhovitin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr FK Krasnodar H 0–1 L
21 Mar FK Rostov H 1–0 W
15 Mar FK Akron Tolyatti A 1–1 D
09 Mar FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 2–2 D
01 Mar PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–0 W
05 Dec FK Orenburg H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–0 W
21 Mar FK Nizhny Novgorod H 5–0 W
14 Mar PFK Sochi A 2–1 W
08 Mar FK Rubin Kazan A 1–2 L
28 Feb FK Rostov H 2–1 W
07 Dec PFC CSKA Moskva H 3–2 W

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny FK Krasnodar
#9 Position #2
37 Points 66
30 Played 30
9 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 20 / 6 / 4
35 Scored 60
39 Conceded 23
-4 GD +37
1.23 PPG 2.20
30% Win % 67%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. RFK Akhmat Grozny kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' FK Krasnodar started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' RFK Akhmat Grozny are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Krasnodar's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 15' It looks surprising FK Krasnodar does not make any changes. Ousmane N'Dong has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' FK Krasnodar have won 423 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Egas Cacintura needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 13 Yellow cards this season.
  • 40' Giovanni Gonzalez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 50' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Brian Mansilla suffering a number of foals already.
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' Aleksandr Chernikov gets the nod from FK Krasnodar. He replaces Eduard Spertsyan and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' It’s high time Stanislav Cherchesov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 66' The RFK Akhmat Grozny bench stirs into life. Lechi Sadulaev is withdrawn and Papa Gadio gets his opportunity.
  • 71' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 73' Valentin Paltsev makes way for Moses Cobnan at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Krasnodar.
  • 75' The FK Krasnodar manager makes a substitution. Joao Batxi departs to be replaced by Juan Boselli.
  • 80' Lechi Sadulaev is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RFK Akhmat Grozny so far.
  • 83' Aleksandr Chernikov has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
  • 85' Mehdi Zare is replacing Klisman Cake for the RFK Akhmat Grozny side.
  • 86' The Colombia Jhon Cordoba breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 0-1!
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Ismael. He receives a card.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.77 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny22% Draw29% FK Krasnodar49%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
51%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
78%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Krasnodar
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny14% Draw50% FK Krasnodar36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
11.4%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
6.6%
0 – 3
5.7%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
2 – 0
2.8%
0 – 4
2.2%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap RFK Akhmat Grozny covers Push FK Krasnodar covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 12% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 25% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 17% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
23%
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
47%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.