Saturday , 14 November 2026

RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 14:15 UTC Estadi Mallorca Son Moix 23,015 HT 45' · FT 45'
Manu Morlanes 41' 1–0
1–1 88' Eder Militao
Vedat Muriqi 90+1' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
5 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–1 W
21 Mar Elche CF A 1–2 L
15 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–1 W
07 Mar CA Osasuna A 2–2 D
28 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–1 L
22 Feb RC Celta de Vigo A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 3–2 W
17 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Elche CF H 4–1 W
11 Mar Manchester City FC H 3–0 W
06 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 13 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 4 G 3 A
Arda Guler 3 G 4 A
Yan Diomande 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Estadi Mallorca Son Moix that hosts another battle between RCD Mallorca and Real Madrid CF.
  • 5' Zito Luvumbo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' named a 4-1-2-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. RCD Mallorca seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leo Roman, as he is very good at scoring at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' Pablo Torre has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 525 appearances.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Martín Demichelis will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 41' Manu Morlanes puts RCD Mallorca on the lead.
  • 46' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pablo Maffeo made 449 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 47' A moment of madness from Dean Huijsen on 47 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 52' Real Madrid CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 52.
  • 57' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 59' Vinicius Junior is replacing Manuel Angel for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 64' Both keepers have barely been tested. RCD Mallorca and Real Madrid CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 66' The referee shows RCD Mallorca player a card on 66.
  • 70' Fresh legs for RCD Mallorca! Mateo Fernandez comes on to replace Manu Morlanes.
  • 72' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Arda Guler exits the field as Thiago Pitarch enters on 72.
  • 76' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Brahim Diaz departs to be replaced by Franco Mastantuono.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Zito Luvumbo as he leaves the pitch. Antonio Sanchez steps in for RCD Mallorca.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Martin Valjent. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 88' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Eder Militao makes it 1-1.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Franco Mastantuono.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. RCD Mallorca take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 RCD Mallorca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RCD Mallorca38% Draw29% Real Madrid CF33%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

RCD Mallorca or Draw
68%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
62%
RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RCD Mallorca27% Draw48% Real Madrid CF25%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — RCD Mallorca

Handicap RCD Mallorca covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

RCD Mallorca keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.