RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
- RCD Mallorca 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 12 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
5 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 14.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 12 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla FC | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 12 | 15 |
| 9 | Villarreal CF | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | RC Celta de Vigo | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportivo Alavés | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 11 | 12 |
| 14 | CA Osasuna | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 12 | 12 |
| 16 | Getafe CF | 12 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 12 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 12 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga CF | 12 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Elche CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | CA Osasuna | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | RC Celta de Vigo | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Elche CF | H | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | Manchester City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | RC Celta de Vigo | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 13 G | 2 A |
| Jude Bellingham | 4 G | 3 A |
| Arda Guler | 3 G | 4 A |
| Yan Diomande | 3 G | 2 A |
| Carlos Espi | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Estadi Mallorca Son Moix that hosts another battle between RCD Mallorca and Real Madrid CF.
- 5' Zito Luvumbo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 10' named a 4-1-2-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. RCD Mallorca seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leo Roman, as he is very good at scoring at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' Pablo Torre has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 525 appearances.
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Martín Demichelis will be considering his options from the bench.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 41' Manu Morlanes puts RCD Mallorca on the lead.
- 46' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pablo Maffeo made 449 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 47' A moment of madness from Dean Huijsen on 47 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
- 52' Real Madrid CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 52.
- 57' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 59' Vinicius Junior is replacing Manuel Angel for the Real Madrid CF side.
- 64' Both keepers have barely been tested. RCD Mallorca and Real Madrid CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 66' The referee shows RCD Mallorca player a card on 66.
- 70' Fresh legs for RCD Mallorca! Mateo Fernandez comes on to replace Manu Morlanes.
- 72' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Arda Guler exits the field as Thiago Pitarch enters on 72.
- 76' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Brahim Diaz departs to be replaced by Franco Mastantuono.
- 81' The crowd applauds Zito Luvumbo as he leaves the pitch. Antonio Sanchez steps in for RCD Mallorca.
- 84' Poor challenge from Martin Valjent. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 88' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Eder Militao makes it 1-1.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Franco Mastantuono.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. RCD Mallorca take all three points.
Lineups
RCD Mallorca Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 23
- 5
- 22
- 10
-
8
Manu Morlanes ↓ Mateo Fernandez 70'
- 24
- 7
- 12
-
15
Zito Luvumbo ↓ Antonio Sanchez 81'
- 1
-
20
Pablo Torre ↓ Jan Virgili 70'
Bench
- 11
- 25
- 3
- 4
- 9
- 2
- 19
-
18
Mateo Fernandez ↑ 70'
- 30
-
6
Antonio Sanchez ↑ 81'
-
27
David Lopez ↑ 70'
-
17
Jan Virgili ↑ 70'
Coach
Martín Demichelis
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
- 22
- 21
- 10
- 14
- 13
- 6
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Thiago Pitarch 72'
- 18
-
24
Dean Huijsen ↓ Eder Militao 59'
-
37
Manuel Angel ↓ Vinicius Junior 59'
Bench
- 4
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↑ 59'
- 2
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 59'
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↑ 59'
- 20
- 26
- 16
- 17
-
30
Franco Mastantuono ↑ 76'
-
45
Thiago Pitarch ↑ 72'
- 38
Coach
Arbeloa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Vedat Muriqi | 4 |
| Vinicius Junior | 4 |
| Marco Asensio | 3 |
| Antonio Rudiger | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Eder Militao | 1 |
| Manu Morlanes | 1 |
Head to Head
RCD Mallorca Form
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32
RCD Mallorca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RCD Mallorca win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
RCD Mallorca or Draw
68%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
62%
RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RCD Mallorca win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — RCD Mallorca
| Handicap | RCD Mallorca covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
RCD Mallorca keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

