RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
- RCD Mallorca 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
9 games this season
🟨 0.6/game
⚽ 3.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Elche CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | CA Osasuna | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | RC Celta de Vigo | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Elche CF | H | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | Manchester City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | RC Celta de Vigo | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| RCD Mallorca | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #2 |
| 42 | Points | 86 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 11 / 9 / 18 | W / D / L | 27 / 5 / 6 |
| 47 | Scored | 77 |
| 57 | Conceded | 35 |
| -10 | GD | +42 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 2.26 |
| 29% | Win % | 71% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
RCD Mallorca are 17th (42 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: RCD Mallorca gets underway.
- 5' Samuel Almeida Costa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 24 Yellow cards this season.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Real Madrid CF winning 50% of all matches.
- 15' RCD Mallorca is showing some good football. However, RCD Mallorca are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Real Madrid CF looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Eder Militao scoring 1 goals.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RCD Mallorca that had 228 games and scored 207 goals.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Manuel Angel suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RCD Mallorca needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Martin Valjent made 190 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 41' RCD Mallorca is taking the lead after the goal scored by Manu Morlanes on 41.
- 46' It’s high time Martín Demichelis made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 47' The referee calls foul for Dean Huijsen. He receives a card.
- 52' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brahim Diaz, as he is very good at scoring at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Vinicius Junior. He replaces Manuel Angel on 59 minute.
- 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leo Roman on 66.
- 70' RCD Mallorca manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mateo Fernandez is hanging Manu Morlanes on the field on 70 minute.
- 72' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 72 minute. Arda Guler leaves to be changed by Thiago Pitarch.
- 76' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 76 minute. Brahim Diaz leaves to be changed by Franco Mastantuono.
- 81' Antonio Sanchez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zito Luvumbo on 81 minute.
- 84' RCD Mallorca receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
- 88' What a strike from Eder Militao! The score is 1-1.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Franco Mastantuono. He receives a card.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Real Madrid CF.
Lineups
RCD Mallorca Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 23
- 5
- 22
- 10
-
8
Manu Morlanes ↓ Mateo Fernandez 70'
- 24
- 7
- 12
-
15
Zito Luvumbo ↓ Antonio Sanchez 81'
- 1
-
20
Pablo Torre ↓ Jan Virgili 70'
Bench
- 11
- 25
- 3
- 4
- 9
- 2
- 19
-
18
Mateo Fernandez ↑ 70'
- 30
-
6
Antonio Sanchez ↑ 81'
-
27
David Lopez ↑ 70'
-
17
Jan Virgili ↑ 70'
Coach
Martín Demichelis
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
- 22
- 21
- 10
- 14
- 13
- 6
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Thiago Pitarch 72'
- 18
-
24
Dean Huijsen ↓ Eder Militao 59'
-
37
Manuel Angel ↓ Vinicius Junior 59'
Bench
- 4
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↑ 59'
- 2
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 59'
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↑ 59'
- 20
- 26
- 16
- 17
-
30
Franco Mastantuono ↑ 76'
-
45
Thiago Pitarch ↑ 72'
- 38
Coach
Arbeloa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Vedat Muriqi | 4 |
| Vinicius Junior | 4 |
| Marco Asensio | 3 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Antonio Rudiger | 2 |
| Junior Lago | 1 |
| Nacho | 1 |
Head to Head
RCD Mallorca Form
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.16
RCD Mallorca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: RCD Mallorca win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
RCD Mallorca or Draw
55%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
71%
RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RCD Mallorca win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
5.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — RCD Mallorca
| Handicap | RCD Mallorca covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
RCD Mallorca keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

